Tag: monthly

Monthly Recap: Letting Go of the Why

world.2015-05-29.2015-06-30

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -4.11%
CAC(FRA) -4.35%
UKX(GBR) -6.64%
NKY(JPN) -1.35%
SPX(USA) -2.33%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -5.63%
INMEX(MEX) +0.08%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -2.49%
XU030(TUR) -0.56%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -0.64%
SHCOMP(CHN) -7.62%
NIFTY(IND) -0.57%
INDEXCF(RUS) +2.82%
TOP40(ZAF) -0.31%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -4.12%
WTI Crude Oil -2.96%
Heating Oil -3.91%
Ethanol +4.61%
Natural Gas +7.28%
RBOB Gasoline -2.67%
Metals
Palladium -12.83%
Platinum -2.52%
Copper -5.07%
Gold 100oz -1.45%
Silver 5000oz -6.59%

Currencies

USDEUR:-1.33% USDJPY:-1.15%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.69%
USDMXN(MEX) +2.29%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.15%
USDTRY(TUR) +0.73%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -2.61%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.06%
USDINR(IND) -0.25%
USDRUB(RUS) +6.14%
USDZAR(ZAF) +0.09%
Agricultural
Corn +17.28%
Soybeans +12.15%
White Sugar +5.92%
Cattle -2.87%
Cocoa +1.42%
Coffee (Arabica) +3.44%
Feeder Cattle -3.67%
Lumber +5.57%
Soybean Meal +16.68%
Sugar #11 +4.00%
Wheat +27.02%
Coffee (Robusta) +15.36%
Cotton +4.09%
Lean Hogs -9.18%
Orange Juice +0.57%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -0.46%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.63%
Markit CDX NA IG +3.48%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +1.61%
Markit iTraxx Australia +1.97%
Markit iTraxx Europe +3.03%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +10.35%
Markit iTraxx Japan +4.34%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -0.80%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.04%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) -1.32%
An eventful month comes to an end. The Chinese bubble popped, the Greek drama is playing out, people stopped obsessing about the Fed raising rates and monsoons went from being a headwind to a tailwind.

Index Returns

index.performance.2015-05-29.2015-06-30

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -5.56% 59/70
2 -2.35% 56/73
3 -2.72% 58/71
4 -2.32% 58/71
5 -0.54% 62/67
6 -4.34% 59/70
7 -1.46% 64/65
8 -2.39% 53/76
9 -2.65% 57/72
10 (mega) -0.34% 64/65
Midcaps got totally hammered with the Midcap Index down 4.73%.

Top Winners and Losers

ZEEL +13.64%
RELIANCE +14.04%
GODREJCP +17.82%
CANBK -19.08%
RPOWER -15.14%
UNIONBANK -14.85%
Media companies as a whole did well. The CNX Media Index was the best performing index in June…

ETF Performance

INFRABEES +1.52%
NIFTYBEES -0.32%
JUNIORBEES -0.69%
CPSEETF -0.99%
BANKBEES -1.52%
GOLDBEES -1.63%
PSUBNKBEES -8.23%
Most PSU banks are just zombies at this point – the walking dead…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-05-29.2015-06-30

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.51 +0.82%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.15 +1.17%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.08 +0.17%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.14 -0.97%
Bonds were buffeted by gyrations in international bond markets and currency volatility…

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought to sum up the month

When you’re constantly looking for a catalyst to explain every single move in the markets you start to see signals and correlations that just don’t exist. Most of the time we won’t know exactly why the markets moved a certain way until much later. Sometimes even with the benefit of perfect hindsight, investors still can’t agree on the specifics of the cause and effect. But to some the ‘why’ in the markets will always seem easy after the fact, so they keep searching for the answers.

Source: Letting Go of the Why

Monthly Recap: Don’t Follow Your Passion

world.2015-04-30.2015-05-29

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -0.35%
CAC(FRA) -0.76%
UKX(GBR) +0.34%
NKY(JPN) +5.69%
SPX(USA) +1.05%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +2.55%
INMEX(MEX) +0.49%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -1.15%
XU030(TUR) -1.35%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -6.17%
SHCOMP(CHN) +3.83%
NIFTY(IND) +3.08%
INDEXCF(RUS) -4.69%
TOP40(ZAF) -3.96%

Commodities

Energy
Natural Gas -2.94%
Brent Crude Oil -1.50%
Heating Oil -1.61%
WTI Crude Oil +1.09%
Ethanol -4.82%
RBOB Gasoline +0.90%
Metals
Gold 100oz +0.67%
Palladium -0.28%
Platinum -2.68%
Copper -4.50%
Silver 5000oz +3.73%

Currencies

USDEUR:+2.00% USDJPY:+3.80%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +1.94%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.12%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.13%
USDTRY(TUR) -0.46%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +5.45%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.09%
USDINR(IND) +0.63%
USDRUB(RUS) +1.47%
USDZAR(ZAF) +2.06%
Agricultural
Cattle -4.39%
Cocoa +5.87%
Coffee (Arabica) -7.84%
Coffee (Robusta) -6.74%
Sugar #11 -8.74%
Wheat +1.92%
Feeder Cattle +2.52%
Lean Hogs +9.14%
Lumber +7.22%
Orange Juice +1.92%
White Sugar -7.19%
Corn -2.83%
Cotton -5.45%
Soybean Meal -4.16%
Soybeans -4.69%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.52%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.09%
Markit CDX NA IG +0.14%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +0.03%
Markit iTraxx Australia +2.12%
Markit iTraxx Europe +0.71%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +2.06%
Markit iTraxx Japan +2.85%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -1.04%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.05%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +4.83%
The US Dollar rallied, Nifty put in a decent show and gold flat lined.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-04-30.2015-05-29

Index Returns

index performance.2015-04-30.2015-05-29

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-04-30.2015-05-29

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-04-30.2015-05-29

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -2.14% 64/65
2 -0.23% 64/64
3 -0.66% 60/68
4 +3.15% 68/60
5 -0.13% 61/67
6 -0.16% 66/62
7 -0.04% 61/67
8 +1.24% 67/61
9 +0.23% 58/70
10 (mega) +2.38% 70/59
Large and mid-caps turned in a good show…

Top Winners and Losers

INFRATEL +19.32%
UNIONBANK +20.58%
EICHERMOT +24.39%
SRTRANSFIN -15.08%
TECHM -10.77%
EXIDEIND -10.41%
Bullet the blue sky…

ETF Performance

CPSEETF +6.50%
NIFTYBEES +2.88%
JUNIORBEES +2.85%
PSUBNKBEES +2.11%
BANKBEES +1.66%
INFRABEES +1.42%
GOLDBEES -0.98%
Interesting to see Nifty out-performing private banks…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-04-30.2015-05-29

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.24 +0.56%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.53 +0.31%
GSEC SUB 3-8 -0.05 -0.27%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.09 -0.05%
Indian gilts were not immune to the global dislocations in the bond market…

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought to sum up the month

Monthly Recap: Good investing hurts

world.2015-03-31.2015-04-30

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -4.28%
CAC(FRA) +0.26%
UKX(GBR) +3.14%
NKY(JPN) +1.69%
SPX(USA) +1.41%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -7.83%
INMEX(MEX) +1.82%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +9.31%
XU030(TUR) +3.34%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +9.54%
SHCOMP(CHN) +18.51%
NIFTY(IND) -3.65%
INDEXCF(RUS) +3.82%
TOP40(ZAF) +4.73%

Commodities

Energy
WTI Crude Oil +23.33%
Ethanol +7.84%
Heating Oil +15.86%
RBOB Gasoline +14.75%
Brent Crude Oil +19.90%
Natural Gas +4.57%
Metals
Copper +6.91%
Palladium +5.40%
Gold 100oz -0.37%
Silver 5000oz -3.01%
Platinum -0.82%

Currencies

USDEUR:-4.08% USDJPY:+0.18%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.96%
USDMXN(MEX) +1.88%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.62%
USDTRY(TUR) +4.23%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -6.36%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.06%
USDINR(IND) +1.48%
USDRUB(RUS) -10.79%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.61%
Agricultural
Cocoa +4.00%
Coffee (Arabica) -0.94%
Coffee (Robusta) +1.94%
Cotton +4.63%
Soybean Meal -3.44%
Corn -4.25%
Lean Hogs +22.47%
Lumber -8.52%
Orange Juice -8.61%
Soybeans -0.44%
Sugar #11 +7.58%
Feeder Cattle -2.02%
Wheat -8.19%
Cattle -7.48%
White Sugar +4.89%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +3.58%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.55%
Markit CDX NA IG -2.44%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +7.09%
Markit iTraxx Australia +6.74%
Markit iTraxx Europe +9.57%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +1.39%
Markit iTraxx Japan -3.23%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +2.17%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.11%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +1.70%
Both the NIFTY and the rupee put in performances that they sooner forget. Stretched evaluations met a tepid earnings season and retroactive tax demands on FIIs. May will see more firms coming out earnings and we expect the markets to remain choppy.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-03-31.2015-04-30

Index Returns

For a deeper dive into indices, check out our weekly Index Update.
index performance.2015-03-31.2015-04-30

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) +3.97% 82/50
2 +10.85% 82/49
3 +7.66% 78/53
4 +6.24% 68/64
5 +4.32% 72/59
6 +2.89% 68/63
7 +2.84% 71/61
8 -2.06% 66/65
9 -3.55% 64/67
10 (mega) -2.64% 58/74
This doesn’t make any sense…

Top Winners and Losers

UPL +10.97%
GLENMARK +13.25%
TATASTEEL +13.76%
APOLLOHOSP -16.95%
WIPRO -14.35%
SRTRANSFIN -12.97%
A smorgasbord of performance…

ETF Performance

GOLDBEES +3.56%
PSUBNKBEES +2.07%
BANKBEES +1.54%
JUNIORBEES -0.62%
CPSEETF -2.15%
NIFTYBEES -3.29%
INFRABEES -5.49%
Infrastructure got whipped…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-03-31.2015-04-30

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.09 +0.66%
GSEC SUB 1-3 -0.60 +0.25%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.04 +0.20%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.16 -0.07%
Listless…

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought to sum up the month

Good investing hurts. Investors pay a high price for comfort and get paid a high price for doing what few others will. That will always be the case.

Source: This Was Never Easy

Monthly Recap: Robot in the China store?

world.2015-2-27.2015-3-31

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +4.96%
CAC(FRA) +2.48%
UKX(GBR) -1.63%
NKY(JPN) +3.39%
SPX(USA) -2.02%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +0.11%
INMEX(MEX) -0.19%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +18.68%
XU030(TUR) -2.85%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +2.41%
SHCOMP(CHN) +16.72%
NIFTY(IND) -2.92%
INDEXCF(RUS) -4.43%
TOP40(ZAF) -2.36%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -10.09%
WTI Crude Oil +1.01%
Heating Oil -23.24%
Ethanol +9.68%
Natural Gas -0.59%
RBOB Gasoline -0.11%
Metals
Palladium -8.72%
Silver 5000oz +0.60%
Platinum -2.66%
Gold 100oz -1.21%
Copper +1.48%

Currencies

USDEUR:+2.88% USDJPY:-0.02%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.63%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.50%
USDNGN(NGA) -1.89%
USDTRY(TUR) +3.30%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +9.03%
USDCNY(CHN) -1.26%
USDINR(IND) +1.07%
USDRUB(RUS) -8.43%
USDZAR(ZAF) +2.31%
Agricultural
Corn +0.39%
Cotton -0.53%
Sugar #11 -8.55%
Wheat +3.22%
Coffee (Arabica) +2.84%
Coffee (Robusta) -5.17%
White Sugar -1.21%
Cattle +1.89%
Cocoa -4.76%
Lean Hogs -6.81%
Lumber -6.01%
Soybeans -4.13%
Feeder Cattle +9.48%
Orange Juice +2.60%
Soybean Meal -7.10%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -0.40%
Markit CDX NA IG +2.83%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +1.68%
Markit iTraxx Australia -3.30%
Markit iTraxx Europe +1.27%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +3.62%
Markit iTraxx Japan -7.25%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -0.63%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.10%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +3.28%
The Shanghai stock market was on fire this month while Europe was enjoying QE sugar highs. Nifty got dinged early on but recovered towards the end of the month.

Index Returns

index performance.2015-2-27.2015-3-31

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-2-27.2015-3-31

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-2-27.2015-3-31

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -13.05% 64/69
2 -11.54% 52/81
3 -10.26% 47/86
4 -5.80% 62/71
5 -6.35% 57/75
6 -4.82% 55/78
7 -2.37% 66/67
8 -0.22% 76/57
9 +0.71% 67/66
10 (mega) -1.25% 68/65
Red ink across the board with small caps hit exceptionally hard…

Top Winners and Losers

SUNPHARMA +16.50%
AUROPHARMA +18.24%
IDEA +18.90%
JINDALSTEL -19.11%
ITC -17.23%
BANKINDIA -16.87%
Pharma broadly out-performed the rest…

ETF Performance

INFRABEES +0.77%
GOLDBEES -1.55%
JUNIORBEES -1.92%
CPSEETF -2.89%
NIFTYBEES -4.29%
BANKBEES -5.23%
PSUBNKBEES -9.61%
PSU banks – have they finally found a bottom?

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-2-27.2015-3-31

Interbank lending rates

mibor.30days.2015-3-31

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.16 +0.73%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.05 +0.47%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.00 +0.87%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.01 +0.29%
Almost motionless…

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Something to think about

China is letting low-cost production shift out of the country and is focusing instead on capital-intensive industries. Chinese labor costs have soared, undermining the calculus that brought all those jobs to China in the first place, and new robot technology is cheaper and easier to deploy than ever before.

But, if everybody has access to the same technology, why manufacture in China and pay shipping?

Source: WSJ

Monthly Recap: A Dozen Things Taught by Warren Buffett

world.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +6.61%
CAC(FRA) +7.54%
UKX(GBR) +2.92%
NKY(JPN) +6.36%
SPX(USA) +4.95%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +3.04%
INMEX(MEX) +8.10%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +1.83%
XU030(TUR) -6.16%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +10.38%
SHCOMP(CHN) +3.11%
NIFTY(IND) +0.41%
INDEXCF(RUS) +6.75%
TOP40(ZAF) +4.55%

Commodities

Energy
Heating Oil +15.87%
Ethanol +4.71%
Natural Gas +1.65%
WTI Crude Oil +4.03%
Brent Crude Oil +19.84%
RBOB Gasoline +38.27%
Metals
Silver 5000oz -4.07%
Palladium +6.05%
Copper +7.54%
Gold 100oz -4.89%
Platinum -3.99%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.87% USDJPY:+1.87%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +2.06%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.30%
USDNGN(NGA) +7.50%
USDTRY(TUR) +2.56%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +5.81%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.30%
USDINR(IND) -0.05%
USDRUB(RUS) -11.87%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.01%
Agricultural
Coffee (Arabica) -15.10%
Orange Juice -13.76%
White Sugar -3.00%
Cocoa +6.99%
Lean Hogs +0.07%
Wheat +2.68%
Coffee (Robusta) -2.39%
Corn +3.30%
Feeder Cattle -4.76%
Lumber -7.83%
Cattle -1.67%
Cotton +7.53%
Soybean Meal +6.62%
Soybeans +7.05%
Sugar #11 -6.49%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.80%
Markit CDX NA IG -6.65%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -12.04%
Markit iTraxx Australia -12.42%
Markit iTraxx Europe -8.36%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -53.54%
Markit iTraxx Japan -4.43%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -1.77%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.03%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) -1.59%
Most world markets ended in the green. The energy complex clocked in some impressive gains as well…

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Index Returns

index performance.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -0.87% 66/66
2 -3.59% 63/68
3 +3.03% 62/70
4 -1.24% 54/77
5 +1.86% 67/65
6 +1.88% 68/64
7 -0.26% 59/72
8 +3.20% 74/58
9 +1.42% 67/65
10 (mega) -0.02% 66/66
Mid-caps caught a bid but large-caps were mostly in the red…

Top Winners and Losers

BHARATFORG +21.26%
JINDALSTEL +23.38%
SIEMENS +28.31%
UNIONBANK -18.00%
RCOM -13.94%
AUROPHARMA -13.17%
Make defense stuff in India…

ETF Performance

JUNIORBEES +0.31%
NIFTYBEES -0.04%
CPSEETF -0.36%
BANKBEES -1.65%
INFRABEES -1.76%
GOLDBEES -5.38%
PSUBNKBEES -6.40%
Not takers for PSU banks and their bag of worries…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.19 +0.55%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.34 +0.01%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.08 +0.09%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.04 +0.07%
A flat yield curve means you only get to clip the coupon…

Interbank lending rates

mibor.30days.2015-02-28

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thoughts to sum up the month

A business with terrific economics can be a bad investment if it is bought for too high a price. In other words, a sound investment can morph into a rash speculation if it is bought at an elevated price.

Source: A Dozen Things Taught by Warren Buffett in his 50th Anniversary Letter that will Benefit Ordinary Investors