Tag: monthly

Monthly Recap: The Fallacy of Success

nifty monthly performance heatmap

The Nifty went completely bonkers this month: +9.83% (+12.28% in USD terms)

Index Performance

Banks stole the show…

index performance

Top winners and losers

BANKINDIA +32.89%
JPASSOCIAT +36.53%
ADANIENT +47.53%
CIPLA -4.46%
EXIDEIND -3.52%
MPHASIS -3.50%
High beta took flight…

ETFs

PSUBNKBEES +19.26%
BANKBEES +17.78%
NIFTYBEES +9.22%
INFRABEES +6.94%
JUNIORBEES +6.67%
GOLDBEES +0.83%
PSU Banks showed how government backed entities don’t have to create value for their stock prices to go up…

Advancers and Declines

The A/D line is finally trending up… longer, stronger, better?

advance decline line

Yield Curve

Is the yield curve finally pricing in growth?

india yield curve

Interbank Rates

mumbai interbank rates

Sector Performance

monthly sector performance

Investment Theme Performance

Value out-performed story themes…

Thought to sum up the month

There has appeared in our time a particular class of books and articles which I sincerely and solemnly think may be called the silliest ever known among men. They are much more wild than the wildest romances of chivalry and much more dull than the dullest religious tract. Moreover, the romances of chivalry were at least about chivalry; the religious tracts are about religion. But these things are about nothing; they are about what is called Success.

Source: THE FALLACY OF SUCCESS
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Monthly Recap: September 2013

Nifty monthly performance heatmap

The NIFTY ended the month up 4.82% (+11.16% in USD) on the back of improving sentiment regarding the economy and the US Fed’s continued QE program.

Index Performance

FMCG was the leader but commodities was not too far behind.

Index performance

Top Winners and Losers

ULTRACEMCO +22.68%
ASHOKLEY +26.25%
JSWSTEEL +34.76%
RANBAXY -19.01%
TCS -5.18%
SESAGOA -4.24%
The perfecta: Cement, Auto and Steel

ETFs

JUNIORBEES +8.00%
BANKBEES +7.33%
NIFTYBEES +5.71%
INFRABEES +0.61%
GOLDBEES -2.39%
PSUBNKBEES -6.51%
Better quality midcaps seem to have caught a bid…

Advancers and Decliners

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

It was the month of the “surprise” rate hike…
Indian yield curve

Interbank Rates

The volatility in the interbank rates over the last month has been phenomenal…

india interbank rates

Sector Performance

sector performance

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Monthly Recap: An Exchange Goes Down

monthly nifty heat map

The Nifty went down -4.71% (INR) / -12.52% (USD) in August. IT and Metals were the few bright spots.

Index Performance

The worst performer of the month award goes to Indian banks thanks to the deadly triumvirate of the falling rupee, rising rates and an asinine government.

index performance

Top Winners and Losers

TATASTEEL +27.03%
RANBAXY +42.36%
SESAGOA +47.63%
FEDERALBNK -26.74%
IDFC -26.48%
CANBK -25.96%
How long will the metals rise? It seems completely counter-intuitive given the worsening credit and growth outlook.

ETFs

GOLDBEES +8.89%
INFRABEES +5.26%
NIFTYBEES -5.24%
JUNIORBEES -7.26%
PSUBNKBEES -10.58%
BANKBEES -13.93%
Gold was the only place to hide from the sinking rupee. But then, the government doesn’t want you to buy gold. Good luck with that…

Advancers and Decliners

advance decline

Yield Curve

Long-term rates continue to rise but the curve remains inverted.
yield curve

MIBOR

Overnight MIBOR (inter-bank) rates seem to have stabilized at higher levels after gyrating wildly in July.

MIBOR overnight

MIBOR 3 months

Sector Performance

sector performance

The National Spot Exchange: Rs. 8000 crore scam?

NSEL’s role was to bring farmers and buyers together by eliminating middlemen but it forged/manipulated documents regarding stocks and liquidity and allowed some of the companies to pledge the same stock with more than one financial institutions.

Source: Live Mint Coverage
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Monthly Recap

NIFTY.2013-05-31.2013-06-28

The Nifty was off 2.40% for the month where most emerging market stocks got slaughtered by all the “tapering” talk. The best performer was IT, although the latest outlook by Accenture doesn’t paint a rosy picture.

FIIs pulled close to $1.85 billion out of equity markets and close to $5.68 billion out of debt. Domestic institutionals hoovered up about Rs. 64 thousand crores of debt and blew out Rs. 98 crores of equity.

ETFs

NIFTYBEES -2.00%
PSUBNKBEES -2.21%
INFRABEES -3.22%
JUNIORBEES -5.48%
BANKBEES -6.90%
GOLDBEES -7.45%
Gold was the most under-performing asset in June with banks following a close second-to-last.

Top Winners and Losers (CNX 100)

IDEA +7.97%
TECHM +9.54%
RCOM +11.42%
TITAN -23.86%
MPHASIS -23.66%
JINDALSTEL -23.55%
Titan followed most gold retailers and miners down, hit by a double whammy of falling international gold prices and the RBI’s effort to curb gold investments.

Index Performance

indexperf.2013-05-31.2013-06-28

Sector Performance

sectorperf.2013-05-31.2013-06-28

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