KFA: Trying to break free?

A 6% return in a 5 days time and the scrip still headed up. [stockquote]KFA[/stockquote] was trading cheap about a week ago. With hopes of FDI in the airline industry, it seems to have gotten the push. The technicals as of yesterday suggest a hold, but fundamentals haven’t improved that much over the week.

Prices pierced through the last 20 days triangle with the support of higher volumes suggesting a bullish breakout.

So, set your stop-losses at 9.50 and wait for the trend to play itself out. image

Sticker shock!

Stocks worth more than Rs.1000 a year ago show an average yearly return of 9%, versus the 4% and –2% of [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote] and [stockquote]JUNIORBEES[/stockquote].

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Is the 4 digit price tag a psychological barrier that stops you from buying them?
 
Average returns of the top 5 performers for the last year [stockquote]ULTRACEMCO[/stockquote] ,[stockquote]OFSS[/stockquote], [stockquote]DPSCLTD[/stockquote], [stockquote]EICHERMOT[/stockquote], and [stockquote]MRF[/stockquote] is about 50%.
 
Higher ticker prices do not necessarily mean “expensive”. Investors who can tune themselves to ignore the price and focus on valuation will profit from trades that typical retail investors stay out of. 
 

Weekly Recap

NIFTY.2012-09-03.2012-09-07

The NIFTY ended on a bullish note, shooting up +2.29% for the week.
Biggest losers were IDFC (-5.07%), BHEL (-3.89%) and TATAPOWER (-3.42%).
And the biggest winners were HCLTECH (+5.99%), MARUTI (+5.40%) and INFY (+5.32%).
Advancers lead decliners 34 vs 16
fii.2012-09-03.2012-09-07Gold: +2.37%, Banks: +1.30%. Infrastructure: -1.67%

Net FII flows for the week: $17.76 mm (Equity) and -$273.72 mm (Debt)

China’s plans to build roads to nowhere (again), ECB’s unlimited bond-buying boosted the markets.

Daily news summaries are here.

To Catch a Falling Knife: KFA

The bird in the picture is none other than the brightly colored Kingfisher. Wikipedia has established in their status and conversation page on Kingfisher (birds) that “A few species are considered threatened by human activities and are in danger of extinction”. Can it be true for the Indian Kingfisher airlines [stockquote]KFA[/stockquote] as well?

Let’s have a look at what the technical tools are suggesting.

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Prices have broken the 6 months trend line with good volumes. The heavy buying at the 52 weeks low also is suggestive of a potential resistance (You might want to check for another bounce back for confirmation).

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Going forward, Guppy’s short term lines contraction are clearly suggesting an up move for the scrip in the near term. MACD is also lending a hand for this suggestion as the MACD line has just crossed the signal line from below (Pointing an upward possibility) .

Technicals suggest a short-term buying opportunity in Kingfisher. But long-term issues remain unresolved – this is purely a short-term, technical call.