Category: Your Money

Analysis: ACC

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This week’s pick is [stockquote]ACC[/stockquote] limited. Trading somewhere close to it’s 52 week high, the return over the last 9 month period is about 16%. Recently, the stock saw a close below the level of 1300, but picked up quite strongly the next day, signaling a support at those levels.

Currently oscillators like RSI and CMO are at 59 and 39, which is in the mid zone for this particular scrip. It has still got some time to reach the overbought/oversold signals and hence they don’t suggest much. MACD line and signal line are moving very close to each other and hence again are not giving any signal currently.

Looking at GMMA for a medium to long term outlook proves to be quite positive. The long term lines are holding quite distinctly and are separated from each other (signaling a continuing long term trend). Also the increasing separation in the short term lines backs up the positive outlook given by the long term lines for the near term. It would be suggested to hold your breath and be long the stock until you come across the squeezing long term lines following the overlaps in the short term lines.

Looking at the trend-line we can say that it is in the right place. Also, the stock has tested 1400 levels quite many times during the last 3 quarters. It can act as a strong resistance for the up-move, but a breakout above this level might prove to be a real deal for the portfolios. So this stock currently is a hold from our side and can continue the current uptrend if it closes successfully above 1400 levels.

Time to Deboard KFA

We caught a glimpse of the falling knife and also identified the good times during the last 3 weeks time. In this period [stockquote]KFA[/stockquote] has seen a low of Rs. 9.10 to the recent intraday high of Rs. 14.15 with a close of Rs. 13.45 awarding a whopping 48% return. 

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Well in the past 3 – 4 trading days , the stock has seen many drops. It has also developed a short term resistance around Rs. 13.9. The technicals like CMO, MACD and RSI are identifying a reversal of the past weeks trend.

You can wait for a break-out of the resistance level, or can use this opportunity to book your profits and alight the flight of KFA while it is still flying.

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Weekly Recap

NIFTY.2012-09-17.2012-09-21

The NIFTY ended on a bullish note, shooting up +1.99% for the week.
Biggest losers were TCS (-7.72%), DRREDDY (-5.94%) and WIPRO (-3.46%).
And the biggest winners were PNB (+18.08%), RELINFRA (+15.50%) and BANKBARODA (+14.62%).
Advancers lead decliners 34 vs 16
Gold: -1.77%, Banks: +8.66%. Infrastructure: +5.12%

fii.2012-09-17.2012-09-21Net FII flows for the week: $1,151.58 mm (Equity) and $360.31 mm (Debt)
Net domestic institutional flows for the week: -$1,162.00 mm (Equity) and $9,178.20 mm (Debt)

We award the quote of the week to Scott Price, Wal-Mart’s Asia chief executive: “… this idea that the gates have been opened and there’s going to be a flood (of investment) is overwrought.” Didi, are you listening?
Daily news summaries are here.

Weekly Recap

NIFTY.2012-09-10.2012-09-14

The NIFTY ended on a bullish note, shooting up +4.06% for the week.
Biggest losers were CIPLA (-5.61%), RANBAXY (-2.12%) and NTPC (-1.95%).
And the biggest winners were HINDALCO (+10.76%), TATAMOTORS (+10.01%) and JPASSOCIAT (+9.10%).
Advancers lead decliners 44 vs 6
fii.2012-09-10.2012-09-14Gold: +1.00%, Banks: +5.22%. Infrastructure: +4.25%,

Net FII flows for the week: $502.88 mm (Equity) and $87.94 mm (Debt)
Net domestic institutional flows for the week: -$153.30 mm (Equity) and $1,278.60 mm (Debt)

Between now and Christmas the US Fed is pumping $85 billion per month of free money into the markets (and $40 billion a month thereafter). Our government finally grew a pair of cohones and cleared FDI in retail and civil aviation. Things are finally looking good and unless Europe does something really asinine, we are all set for a bull run into the end of the year. Cheers!

Daily news summaries are here.