Author: stockviz

Correlation Update 08.08.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Index Update 01.08.2015

MOMENTUM

We run our proprietary momentum scoring algorithm on indices just like we do on stocks. You can use the momentum scores of sub-indices to get a sense for which sectors have the wind on their backs and those that are facing headwinds.

Traders can pick their longs in sectors with high short-term momentum and their shorts in sectors with low momentum. Investors can use the longer lookback scores to position themselves using our re-factored index Themes.

You can see how the momentum algorithm has performed on individual stocks here.

Here are the best and the worst sub-indices:

index momentum best 365 2015-07-31 png

index momentum best 50 2015-07-31 png

index momentum worst 365 2015-07-31 png

index momentum worst 50 2015-07-31 png

Relative Strength Spread

CNX_500 relative-spread-index 50 2015-07-31 png

Refactored Index Performance

50-day performance, from May 25, 2015 through July 31, 2015:

Trend Model Summary

Index Signal % From Peak Day of Peak
CNX AUTO SHORT
6.10
2015-Jan-27
CNX BANK SHORT
8.88
2015-Jan-27
CNX COMMODITIES SHORT
29.07
2008-Jan-04
CNX CONSUMPTION SHORT
0.00
2015-Jul-31
CNX ENERGY LONG
27.48
2008-Jan-14
CNX FMCG SHORT
6.17
2015-Feb-25
CNX INFRA LONG
47.33
2008-Jan-09
CNX IT SHORT
87.86
2000-Feb-21
CNX MEDIA SHORT
16.68
2008-Jan-04
CNX METAL LONG
61.25
2008-Jan-04
CNX MNC SHORT
0.00
2015-Jul-31
CNX NIFTY SHORT
5.15
2015-Mar-03
CNX PHARMA LONG
10.69
2015-Apr-08
CNX PSE LONG
24.77
2008-Jan-04
CNX PSU BANK SHORT
36.53
2010-Nov-05
CNX REALTY LONG
90.60
2008-Jan-14
CNX SERVICE SHORT
6.10
2015-Mar-03
Relative strength spread shot through its long-term median – good for momentum strategies.
CONSUMPTION and MNC indices recovered from their drawdowns. Will NIFTY be next?

Correlation Update 01.08.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Index Update 25.07.2015

MOMENTUM

We run our proprietary momentum scoring algorithm on indices just like we do on stocks. You can use the momentum scores of sub-indices to get a sense for which sectors have the wind on their backs and those that are facing headwinds.

Traders can pick their longs in sectors with high short-term momentum and their shorts in sectors with low momentum. Investors can use the longer lookback scores to position themselves using our re-factored index Themes.

You can see how the momentum algorithm has performed on individual stocks here.

Here are the best and the worst sub-indices:

index momentum best 365 2015-07-24 png

index momentum best 50 2015-07-24 png

index momentum worst 365 2015-07-24 png

index momentum worst 50 2015-07-24 png

Relative Strength Spread

CNX_500 relative-spread-index 50 2015-07-24 png

Refactored Index Performance

50-day performance, from May 18, 2015 through July 24, 2015:

Trend Model Summary

Index Signal % From Peak Day of Peak
CNX AUTO LONG
6.90
2015-Jan-27
CNX BANK SHORT
9.34
2015-Jan-27
CNX COMMODITIES SHORT
27.83
2008-Jan-04
CNX CONSUMPTION LONG
0.49
2015-Jul-22
CNX ENERGY LONG
25.60
2008-Jan-14
CNX FMCG SHORT
8.93
2015-Feb-25
CNX INFRA SHORT
46.63
2008-Jan-09
CNX IT LONG
88.00
2000-Feb-21
CNX MEDIA LONG
19.72
2008-Jan-04
CNX METAL SHORT
60.84
2008-Jan-04
CNX MNC SHORT
0.95
2015-Jul-16
CNX NIFTY LONG
5.28
2015-Mar-03
CNX PHARMA LONG
11.60
2015-Apr-08
CNX PSE LONG
23.77
2008-Jan-04
CNX PSU BANK SHORT
39.09
2010-Nov-05
CNX REALTY LONG
90.87
2008-Jan-14
CNX SERVICE LONG
6.07
2015-Mar-03
Index momentum seems to have leveled off. Are we seeing a near-term top? NIFTY is still 5% below its April top…

Correlation Update 25.07.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.