Tag: weekly

Weekly Recap: AI

world.2014-10-22.2014-10-31

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +4.33%
CAC(FRA) +3.12%
UKX(GBR) +2.29%
NKY(JPN) +8.02%
SPX(USA) +4.36%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +0.30%
INMEX(MEX) +3.90%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -3.70%
XU030(TUR) +3.53%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +4.73%
SHCOMP(CHN) +4.02%
NIFTY(IND) +4.08%
INDEXCF(RUS) +8.32%
TOP40(ZAF) +3.14%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +0.98%
Ethanol +3.33%
Heating Oil +1.93%
Natural Gas +5.71%
RBOB Gasoline -0.35%
WTI Crude Oil -2.17%
Metals
Copper +0.99%
Gold 100oz -6.21%
Palladium +2.45%
Platinum -2.39%
Silver 5000oz -9.14%

Currencies

USDEUR:+1.01% USDJPY:+4.80%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.60%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.57%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.27%
USDTRY(TUR) -1.08%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -0.40%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.08%
USDINR(IND) +0.14%
USDRUB(RUS) +4.02%
USDZAR(ZAF) +0.26%
Agricultural
Cattle +1.19%
Cocoa -5.73%
Coffee (Arabica) -1.57%
Coffee (Robusta) +1.29%
Corn +6.31%
Cotton +2.32%
Feeder Cattle -2.09%
Lean Hogs -1.76%
Lumber -1.03%
Orange Juice -4.90%
Soybean Meal +14.76%
Soybeans +8.13%
Sugar #11 -3.09%
Wheat +1.82%
White Sugar -0.40%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.71%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.05%
Markit CDX NA IG -0.50%
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL -3.58%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -6.34%
Markit iTraxx Australia -6.48%
Markit iTraxx Europe -1.58%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -0.61%
Markit iTraxx Japan -6.54%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -0.61%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.08%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) -2.24%
So what if the US Fed stopped QE? Japan rode to the rescue in style. If you thought that the Fed buying up treasuries was skewing the market, wait until Japan’s public pension fund starts buying equities and foreign bonds. The markets understandably went “yipi ka yei” on the news.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-10-22.2014-10-31

Index Returns

index performance.2014-10-22.2014-10-31

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-10-22.2014-10-31

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-10-22.2014-10-31

Market Cap Decline Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) +1.38% 68/62
2 +6.38% 78/53
3 +4.52% 74/58
4 +4.30% 71/60
5 +4.00% 70/62
6 +3.98% 74/58
7 +3.13% 75/56
8 +2.85% 71/61
9 +3.03% 74/58
10 (mega) +3.59% 68/64
Stocks rallied across the board after last week’s bloodbath.

Top Winners and Losers

GAIL +9.47%
YESBANK +10.19%
HINDALCO +10.27%
WIPRO -3.42%
BHARTIARTL -2.58%
HINDUNILVR -2.52%
The first week of November is going to see a lot of earnings announcements. Expect a lot of them to miss estimates, given how weak the overall economy was in the last quarter.

ETFs

JUNIORBEES +4.47%
BANKBEES +4.38%
NIFTYBEES +4.25%
CPSEETF +3.79%
INFRABEES +1.22%
PSUBNKBEES -0.67%
GOLDBEES -3.92%
If Fed QE was bullish for gold, shouldn’t Japanese QE also be bullish? Apparently not.

Yield Curve

Quick! The Japanese are coming!

yield Curve.2014-10-22.2014-10-31

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.24 +0.13%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.27 -0.09%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.08 +0.04%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.06 +0.89%
Long bonds FTW!

Theme Performance

Thought for the weekend

The chief virtue of AIs will be their alien intelligence. An AI will think about food differently than any chef, allowing us to think about food differently. Or to think about manufacturing materials differently. Or clothes. Or financial derivatives. Or any branch of science and art. The alienness of artificial intelligence will become more valuable to us than its speed or power.

Source: The Three Breakthroughs That Have Finally Unleashed AI on the World

Weekly Recap: Why do we want to be rich?

world.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +0.70%
CAC(FRA) -0.99%
UKX(GBR) -0.47%
NKY(JPN) -5.02%
SPX(USA) -2.08%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +1.33%
INMEX(MEX) -1.04%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -5.55%
XU030(TUR) +3.10%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -0.94%
SHCOMP(CHN) -1.40%
NIFTY(IND) -1.02%
INDEXCF(RUS) +1.50%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.97%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -4.30%
Ethanol +9.65%
Heating Oil -2.29%
Natural Gas -2.44%
RBOB Gasoline -0.99%
WTI Crude Oil -3.31%
Metals
Copper -0.99%
Gold 100oz +1.32%
Palladium -3.78%
Platinum +0.05%
Silver 5000oz +0.58%

Currencies

USDEUR:-1.07% USDJPY:-0.89%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.92%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.81%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.39%
USDTRY(TUR) -1.74%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +1.26%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.09%
USDINR(IND) +0.18%
USDRUB(RUS) +0.69%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.12%
Agricultural
Cattle -0.10%
Cocoa -0.97%
Coffee (Arabica) -5.03%
Coffee (Robusta) -2.13%
Corn +3.96%
Cotton -1.90%
Feeder Cattle -0.85%
Lean Hogs -17.59%
Lumber -2.48%
Orange Juice -2.49%
Soybean Meal -2.28%
Soybeans +2.92%
Sugar #11 +0.24%
Wheat +3.36%
White Sugar +1.00%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -1.19%
Markit CDX NA HY -1.17%
Markit CDX NA IG +4.11%
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL +15.62%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +7.44%
Markit iTraxx Australia +6.28%
Markit iTraxx Europe +8.22%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +47.19%
Markit iTraxx Japan +6.47%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +1.20%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.40%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +2.31%
Markets were in full-blown panic mode this week. So much so that the president of the St. Louis Fed, James Bullard, a hawk, had to come out and say that central-bank bond buying should continue beyond its scheduled end this month. And the chief economist at the Bank of England, Andrew Haldane, said “interest rates could remain lower for longer.” Previously, UK interest rates had been expected to rise early next year.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Index Returns

index performance.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Market cap decile performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -9.23% 70/65
2 -3.31% 56/79
3 -3.21% 58/78
4 -2.90% 59/75
5 -3.38% 58/77
6 -2.42% 60/75
7 -3.11% 59/77
8 -1.58% 61/73
9 -2.56% 71/64
10 (mega) -0.98% 67/69
A total bloodbath beyond the mega-caps.

Top winners and losers

LICHSGFIN +6.63%
BANKINDIA +7.90%
UNIONBANK +8.26%
DLF -27.55%
HCLTECH -13.35%
TCS -8.86%
Are rate-cut expectations running ahead of themselves? Rally in banking and home-finance stocks feel a bit overdone. TCS and HCLTECH sold off on earnings. But read this. DLF got royally fcuked by the SEBI.

ETFs

BANKBEES +2.96%
PSUBNKBEES +1.98%
GOLDBEES +1.06%
CPSEETF +0.25%
JUNIORBEES -0.04%
NIFTYBEES -1.11%
INFRABEES -1.63%
A surprising rally in banks while infrastructure remains sick…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.29 +0.24%
GSEC SUB 1-3 -0.65 -0.25%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.01 -0.59%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.03 +0.11%
Curve can’t get any flatter…

Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Bank Nifty OI

bank-nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Theme Performance

The CNX 100 Tactical Theme spent the whole week in cash. Both value and momentum strategies got pummeled.

Thought for the weekend

Fearing the future is natural, as is the conviction that ultimately we each must depend on ourselves. But in truth, our safest asset is our collective prosperity. Technological progress and productivity gains continue to make us richer on the supply side.

It would be tragic if productivity gains end up making most of us poorer, just because we find it uncomfortable to face the euthanasia of the rentier.

Source: safe assets, secular stagnation, and financial repression

Weekly Recap: October

world.2014-10-1.2014-10-10

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -6.32%
CAC(FRA) -6.68%
NKY(JPN) -4.86%
SPX(USA) -2.16%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -3.46%
INMEX(MEX) -2.65%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -1.86%
XU030(TUR) -0.82%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +4.47%
SHCOMP(CHN) +0.45%
NIFTY(IND) -1.08%
INDEXCF(RUS) -2.55%
TOP40(ZAF) -4.05%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -4.18%
Ethanol +4.04%
Heating Oil -3.48%
Natural Gas -4.43%
RBOB Gasoline -7.66%
WTI Crude Oil -5.83%
Metals
Copper +0.00%
Gold 100oz +0.69%
Palladium +0.44%
Platinum -1.99%
Silver 5000oz +0.58%

Currencies

USDEUR:-0.13% USDJPY:-1.46%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.72%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.18%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.49%
USDTRY(TUR) +0.20%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -2.06%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.14%
USDINR(IND) -0.45%
USDRUB(RUS) +1.70%
USDZAR(ZAF) -1.23%
Agricultural
Cattle +1.77%
Cocoa +1.08%
Coffee (Arabica) +10.84%
Coffee (Robusta) +5.01%
Corn +4.28%
Cotton +3.95%
Feeder Cattle +0.92%
Lean Hogs +1.99%
Lumber +0.38%
Orange Juice -3.85%
Soybean Meal +10.54%
Soybeans +0.60%
Sugar #11 +3.25%
Wheat +4.13%
White Sugar +1.08%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -14.82%
Markit CDX NA IG +2.60%
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL +22.00%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +18.07%
Markit iTraxx Australia +11.93%
Markit iTraxx Europe +4.57%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +93.24%
Markit iTraxx Japan +7.25%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -0.82%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.17%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +3.90%
Markets seesawed between “good news is bad news” (US recovery means end of ZIRP) and “bad news is bad news” (slowing global growth) resulting in some serious whiplash. Credit blew out, European markets tanked and oil got crushed…

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-10-1.2014-10-10

Index Returns

index performance.2014-10-1.2014-10-10

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-10-1.2014-10-10

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-10-1.2014-10-10

Market cap decile performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -6.80% 69/66
2 -2.31% 63/70
3 -0.18% 66/69
4 -2.54% 65/70
5 +0.24% 62/72
6 -1.06% 60/75
7 +0.00% 72/63
8 -0.35% 74/61
9 -0.53% 66/69
10 (mega) -1.15% 66/69
Small-caps bore the brunt of the market correction.

Top winners and losers

RCOM +5.06%
UNIONBANK +5.37%
BHEL +11.11%
NMDC -8.95%
JINDALSTEL -8.72%
IDEA -8.45%
JSPL continued to get pummeled, it is now -38.74% for the year.

ETFs

GOLDBEES +0.67%
BANKBEES +0.45%
INFRABEES +0.45%
CPSEETF -0.41%
NIFTYBEES -1.03%
PSUBNKBEES -1.09%
JUNIORBEES -3.01%
Negative for the most part…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-10-1.2014-10-10

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.03 +0.21%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.04 +0.36%
GSEC SUB 3-8 -0.06 +0.66%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.05 -0.04%
The long end was affected by RBI’s OMO – apparently they were mopping up excess liquidity…

Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-10-01.2014-10-10

Bank Nifty OI

bank-nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-10-01.2014-10-10

Theme Performance

Momentum carried through this week, but barely. Most themes ended in the red.

Thought for the weekend

twain october

Weekly Recap: We Are All Charlatans!

world.2014-09-26.2014-10-01

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -1.14%
CAC(FRA) -0.67%
UKX(GBR) -1.38%
NKY(JPN) -2.68%
SPX(USA) -1.69%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -1.65%
INMEX(MEX) -0.89%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +0.96%
XU030(TUR) -0.78%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -7.82%
SHCOMP(CHN) +0.69%
NIFTY(IND) -0.29%
INDEXCF(RUS) -2.39%
TOP40(ZAF) -1.86%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -3.03%
Ethanol -2.97%
Heating Oil -1.53%
Natural Gas +1.03%
RBOB Gasoline -7.99%
WTI Crude Oil -2.79%
Metals
Copper +0.00%
Gold 100oz -0.16%
Palladium +0.80%
Platinum -0.69%
Silver 5000oz -1.15%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.22% USDJPY:-0.59%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +1.02%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.07%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.37%
USDTRY(TUR) +0.71%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +2.67%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.22%
USDINR(IND) +0.74%
USDRUB(RUS) +1.33%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.05%
Agricultural
Cattle +2.83%
Cocoa -4.47%
Coffee (Arabica) +8.16%
Coffee (Robusta) +5.12%
Corn -0.54%
Cotton -1.32%
Feeder Cattle +3.22%
Lean Hogs +0.54%
Lumber +5.46%
Orange Juice +0.35%
Soybean Meal -0.72%
Soybeans +0.96%
Sugar #11 +3.35%
Wheat +1.74%
White Sugar -2.27%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -1.00%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.63%
Markit CDX NA IG +5.15%
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL +10.77%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +6.34%
Markit iTraxx Australia +3.53%
Markit iTraxx Europe +5.31%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +15.46%
Markit iTraxx Japan +2.44%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +1.45%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.06%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +6.13%
Rate sensitives took a dive. Credit spreads widened across the board. The dollar continued to strengthen. Indian IT and pharma continued to rally…

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-09-26.2014-10-01

Index Returns

index performance.2014-09-26.2014-10-01

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-09-26.2014-10-01

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-09-26.2014-10-01

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -4.54% 76/59
2 +1.48% 74/61
3 +1.06% 71/65
4 +0.99% 66/68
5 +2.01% 70/65
6 -0.04% 70/65
7 +1.61% 71/64
8 +1.52% 72/63
9 +0.52% 64/71
10 (mega) -0.11% 65/71
Small and Mid-caps bounced back while Mega-caps remained under pressure.

Top Winners and Losers

COLPAL +5.87%
BAJAJFINSV +6.42%
SUNPHARMA +6.72%
DLF -7.47%
JINDALSTEL -7.15%
BANKINDIA -6.45%
RBI’s steadfast focus on inflation means we are in a holding pattern on rates. Whatever hopium that real-estate and banks were smoking is quickly fading away…

ETFs

INFRABEES +1.32%
JUNIORBEES +1.24%
PSUBNKBEES +0.26%
GOLDBEES -0.28%
NIFTYBEES -0.42%
CPSEETF -0.89%
BANKBEES -1.93%
Gold is getting totally pummeled by a rising US Dollar…

Gold Since 2008

Goldman - Gold ETF

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-09-26.2014-10-01

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.10 +0.14%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.02 +0.20%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.09 -0.17%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.21 -1.57%
Is this the start of the curve getting steeper?

Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-09-26.2014-10-1

Bank Nifty OI

bank-nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-09-26.2014-10-1

Theme Performance

Thought for the weekend

We all make forecasts about the future. All of our portfolios are constructed by making forecasts and implicit assumptions about how certain asset class weightings will help us achieve our financial goals.

Of course, the future is extremely difficult to forecast. We don’t deal in certainties in life. We deal in probabilities.

Constructing a portfolio is a lot like forecasting the weather where you want to get married. You pick a place where it likely won’t rain, a time of year where it doesn’t rain much and then you cross your fingers and hope that your probabilistic forecast was smart. But you don’t just go and get married anywhere in the world just because the weather is difficult to predict.

Source: We Are All Charlatans!

Weekly Recap: Wiener’s Laws

world.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -3.15%
CAC(FRA) -1.49%
UKX(GBR) -2.76%
NKY(JPN) -0.56%
SPX(USA) -1.37%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -1.82%
INMEX(MEX) -1.86%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -0.56%
XU030(TUR) -3.28%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -1.55%
SHCOMP(CHN) +0.78%
NIFTY(IND) -1.88%
INDEXCF(RUS) +0.18%
TOP40(ZAF) -3.59%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -0.96%
Ethanol -5.53%
Heating Oil -0.32%
Natural Gas +4.81%
RBOB Gasoline +2.21%
WTI Crude Oil +1.35%
Metals
Copper -1.62%
Gold 100oz +0.03%
Palladium -3.99%
Platinum -2.64%
Silver 5000oz -2.23%

Currencies

USDEUR:+1.21% USDJPY:+0.30%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.65%
USDMXN(MEX) +1.59%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.35%
USDTRY(TUR) +1.23%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +1.60%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.23%
USDINR(IND) +0.54%
USDRUB(RUS) +1.93%
USDZAR(ZAF) +1.31%
Agricultural
Cattle +1.71%
Cocoa +0.85%
Coffee (Arabica) +3.76%
Coffee (Robusta) +1.24%
Corn -2.56%
Cotton -3.36%
Feeder Cattle +1.22%
Lean Hogs +0.71%
Lumber -0.40%
Orange Juice +0.70%
Soybean Meal -5.19%
Soybeans -4.96%
Sugar #11 +14.81%
Wheat +0.11%
White Sugar +4.54%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.47%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.62%
Markit CDX NA IG +2.16%
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL +4.37%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +2.42%
Markit iTraxx Australia +3.32%
Markit iTraxx Europe +1.58%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +10.58%
Markit iTraxx Japan +2.76%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -1.81%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.04%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +1.93%
The dollar rally continued and most equity markets ended the week in the red. It took S&P’s pat on the head for the Indian markets to post a decent number on the board. Things could have been much worse if not for that. This may not be “taper tantrum” but as the US embarks on tighter monetary policy, capital has a tendency to flee frontier/emerging markets.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Index Returns

index performance.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -10.46% 62/80
2 -6.95% 63/79
3 -7.08% 57/85
4 -6.95% 54/88
5 -6.63% 49/93
6 -5.12% 62/80
7 -6.80% 54/88
8 -6.25% 63/79
9 -5.39% 65/77
10 (mega) -2.06% 69/73
Midcaps and Smallcaps bled out. The Nifty maybe down 1.88% but just look at the rest of the market…

Top Winners and Losers

ITC +3.42%
GSKCONS +5.25%
GLAXO +8.18%
OFSS -15.09%
BANKINDIA -14.23%
JINDALSTEL -12.65%
Flight to safety? OFSS doesn’t count because it paid out a dividend of Rs 485/- per share… JSPL got dinged because of the coal verdict…

ETFs

GOLDBEES -0.13%
CPSEETF -0.40%
NIFTYBEES -1.50%
BANKBEES -2.53%
JUNIORBEES -3.50%
PSUBNKBEES -6.04%
INFRABEES -6.21%
WTF?! All ETFs in the red?

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.01 +0.15%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.02 +0.29%
GSEC SUB 3-8 -0.19 +0.66%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.35 +2.52%
Long end of the curve is probably over-bought at this point… But then again, falling inflation and an expectation of rate-cuts will do that.

Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-09-19.2014-09-26

Bank Nifty OI

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Theme Performance

Thought for the weekend

To make planes safer these days, engineers have designed automated systems that basically allow the planes to fly themselves. An unintended consequence of increased safety for the plane is increased complexity for the pilots. Industry experts have warned of the side effects that can arise from this increased complexity for a number of years now. One of the cautionary voices was that of an engineer named Earl Wiener. Here’s “Wiener’s Laws” adapted to the financial markets:

Every device creates its own opportunity for human error.
Any financial model is only as good as the person or team using it.

Exotic devices create exotic problems.
Complex strategies can create unforeseen complications.

Digital devices tune out small errors while creating opportunities for large errors.
Risk comes in many forms and some models can lead to a false sense of security if you’re not aware of the imbedded risks.

Some problems have no solution.
You have to choose which form of risk you want to deal with, risk now or risk in the future.

It takes an airplane to bring out the worst in a pilot.
Financial markets magnify bad behavior in even some of the most intelligent people.

Whenever you solve a problem, you usually create one. You can only hope that the one you created is less critical than the one you eliminated.
There’s no such thing a perfect portfolio or process. Every strategy involves trade-offs.

Sources:
When Exotic Devices Create Exotic Problems
The Human Factor