Weekly Recap: Why do we want to be rich?

world.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +0.70%
CAC(FRA) -0.99%
UKX(GBR) -0.47%
NKY(JPN) -5.02%
SPX(USA) -2.08%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +1.33%
INMEX(MEX) -1.04%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -5.55%
XU030(TUR) +3.10%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -0.94%
SHCOMP(CHN) -1.40%
NIFTY(IND) -1.02%
INDEXCF(RUS) +1.50%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.97%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -4.30%
Ethanol +9.65%
Heating Oil -2.29%
Natural Gas -2.44%
RBOB Gasoline -0.99%
WTI Crude Oil -3.31%
Metals
Copper -0.99%
Gold 100oz +1.32%
Palladium -3.78%
Platinum +0.05%
Silver 5000oz +0.58%

Currencies

USDEUR:-1.07% USDJPY:-0.89%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.92%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.81%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.39%
USDTRY(TUR) -1.74%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +1.26%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.09%
USDINR(IND) +0.18%
USDRUB(RUS) +0.69%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.12%
Agricultural
Cattle -0.10%
Cocoa -0.97%
Coffee (Arabica) -5.03%
Coffee (Robusta) -2.13%
Corn +3.96%
Cotton -1.90%
Feeder Cattle -0.85%
Lean Hogs -17.59%
Lumber -2.48%
Orange Juice -2.49%
Soybean Meal -2.28%
Soybeans +2.92%
Sugar #11 +0.24%
Wheat +3.36%
White Sugar +1.00%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -1.19%
Markit CDX NA HY -1.17%
Markit CDX NA IG +4.11%
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL +15.62%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +7.44%
Markit iTraxx Australia +6.28%
Markit iTraxx Europe +8.22%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +47.19%
Markit iTraxx Japan +6.47%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +1.20%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.40%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +2.31%
Markets were in full-blown panic mode this week. So much so that the president of the St. Louis Fed, James Bullard, a hawk, had to come out and say that central-bank bond buying should continue beyond its scheduled end this month. And the chief economist at the Bank of England, Andrew Haldane, said “interest rates could remain lower for longer.” Previously, UK interest rates had been expected to rise early next year.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Index Returns

index performance.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Market cap decile performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -9.23% 70/65
2 -3.31% 56/79
3 -3.21% 58/78
4 -2.90% 59/75
5 -3.38% 58/77
6 -2.42% 60/75
7 -3.11% 59/77
8 -1.58% 61/73
9 -2.56% 71/64
10 (mega) -0.98% 67/69
A total bloodbath beyond the mega-caps.

Top winners and losers

LICHSGFIN +6.63%
BANKINDIA +7.90%
UNIONBANK +8.26%
DLF -27.55%
HCLTECH -13.35%
TCS -8.86%
Are rate-cut expectations running ahead of themselves? Rally in banking and home-finance stocks feel a bit overdone. TCS and HCLTECH sold off on earnings. But read this. DLF got royally fcuked by the SEBI.

ETFs

BANKBEES +2.96%
PSUBNKBEES +1.98%
GOLDBEES +1.06%
CPSEETF +0.25%
JUNIORBEES -0.04%
NIFTYBEES -1.11%
INFRABEES -1.63%
A surprising rally in banks while infrastructure remains sick…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.29 +0.24%
GSEC SUB 1-3 -0.65 -0.25%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.01 -0.59%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.03 +0.11%
Curve can’t get any flatter…

Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Bank Nifty OI

bank-nifty.puts.calls.OCT.2014-10-10.2014-10-17

Theme Performance

The CNX 100 Tactical Theme spent the whole week in cash. Both value and momentum strategies got pummeled.

Thought for the weekend

Fearing the future is natural, as is the conviction that ultimately we each must depend on ourselves. But in truth, our safest asset is our collective prosperity. Technological progress and productivity gains continue to make us richer on the supply side.

It would be tragic if productivity gains end up making most of us poorer, just because we find it uncomfortable to face the euthanasia of the rentier.

Source: safe assets, secular stagnation, and financial repression

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