Mark Twain ♥ StockViz

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Did you know that even though Mark Twain made a substantial amount of money through his writing, he lost a great deal of it through investments, mostly in new inventions and technology? He lost not only the bulk of his book profits but also a substantial portion of his wife’s inheritance. So much so that he had to file for bankruptcy!

Twain lost $300,000 (equal to $8,058,462 today) on the Paige typesetting machine. He also had a publishing house that went broke trying to sell a biography of Pope Leo XIII.

His state of affairs turned for the better after he befriended the financier Henry Rogers, a principal of Standard Oil, who helped him completely reorganize his personal finances.

If he were alive today, we would’ve advised Twain that just because you are good at one thing, it doesn’t mean that your expertise automatically translates to investing money. He would have loved StockViz for that advise. And Tom, Huck and Joe Harper would have had all the time in the world to be the pirates that they wanted to be!

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Analysis: MARICO

Today’s pick is MARICO [stockquote]MARICO[/stockquote]. The stock has been in an uptrend since the very beginning of the year. It touched the 52 week high of Rs. 232 a couple of weeks ago, and is still continuing in the upwards direction. In the last three months, the stock is up 15% vs. 5% of the Nifty’s.

MARICO technical chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are in no man’s land suggesting no direction for the stock.

The MACD line and the signal line are moving close to each other – directionless. Both long-term and short-term GMMA lines are well dispersed giving a very prominent bullish signal for the stock. Short-term technical gave a 4×9 bullish signal for the stock last week.

MARICO correlation chart

MARICO’s average correlation of 0.35 with the Nifty is positive. The stock will replicate the movements of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

MARICO volatility chart

MARICO has a historical volatility in the range of 0.4 to 0.8. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the lower range.

To conclude, given these technicals, the stock is a short-term BUY. Following the current trend in the progress, the scrip is also a long term BUY.

Disclaimer: The author has a long position in this stock

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Alan Turing ♥ StockViz

200px-Alan_Turing_photoAlan Turing is considered the father of modern computers and artificial intelligence. He was the first to give a formalization of the concepts of “algorithm” and “computation” with the Turing machine. He also developed the “Turing Test”: a test of a machine’s ability to exhibit intelligent behavior, equivalent to or indistinguishable from, that of an actual human.

He said: “I propose to consider the question, ‘Can machines think?’ Are there imaginable digital computers which would do well in the imitation game?”

StockViz would fail the Turing Test – we are proud to be machine-like in our thinking. We Invest Without Emotion. However, we are sure that Alan Turing would be proud to see our machines – his creations – at work. Alan Turing, we salute thee!

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Analysis: AMBUJACEM

Today’s pick is AMBUJACEM [stockquote]AMBUJACEM[/stockquote]. The stock started an uptrend in June, after a range-bound start for the year. After reaching its 52 week high of Rs. 223/- in October, the stock has been under a pennant formation. In the last three months, the stock is up 8% vs. 7% of the Nifty’s.

AMBUJACEM Technical Chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are in no man’s land suggesting no direction for the stock.

The MACD line and the signal line are moving close to each other – directionless. Also, both long-term and short-term GMMA lines are too constricted to give any signal. Short-term technical gave a 18×4 bearish signal for the stock yesterday.

AMBUJACEM Correlation Chart

AMBUJACEM’s average correlation of 0.52 with the Nifty is positive. The stock will replicate the movements of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

AMBUJACEM Volatility Chart

AMBUJACEM has a historical volatility in the range of 0.3 to 0.8. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the lower range.

To conclude, given these technicals, the stock is a short-term HOLD. For the long-term a directional bet could be made once we see a break-out of the pennant so we suggest a long-term HOLD.

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Isaac Newton ♥ StockViz

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How would Newton trade stocks if he were alive?

Having lost $2.72 million USD in today’s money due to speculation in The South Sea Company stock in the 1720s, he would be very vary about hyped-up stocks that go up without a reason. He claimed to have said: “I can calculate the motions of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.”

However, a little known fact is that Newton first invested a small amount prior to the South Sea bubble and exited at a profit in the early stages before the bubble really got going. Newton then sees his friends getting rich as the bubble really gets going and re-enters near the peak of the bubble with a lot of money. Newton had to exit broke after the stock falls roughly back to where he had initially invested just a small amount of money.

If Newton were to be alive today, he would using our Trailing Stop Loss alerts.

How are you protecting your profits?

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