Category: Your Money

Correlation Update 07.03.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Weekly Recap: Theoretical, Practical, Poetical

world.2015-02-28.2015-03-05

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +1.31%
CAC(FRA) +0.26%
UKX(GBR) -0.50%
NKY(JPN) +0.92%
SPX(USA) -1.58%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +1.18%
INMEX(MEX) -1.69%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +3.14%
XU030(TUR) -4.96%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -3.11%
SHCOMP(CHN) -2.09%
NIFTY(IND) +0.40%
INDEXCF(RUS) -1.73%
TOP40(ZAF) +0.16%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -4.55%
WTI Crude Oil +0.53%
Natural Gas +5.13%
Heating Oil -4.87%
RBOB Gasoline -4.74%
Ethanol +0.14%
Metals
Gold 100oz -4.11%
Platinum -2.33%
Silver 5000oz -3.64%
Copper -2.95%
Palladium +0.12%

Currencies

USDEUR:+3.27% USDJPY:+1.00%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.34%
USDMXN(MEX) +3.67%
USDNGN(NGA) -1.42%
USDTRY(TUR) +4.60%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +7.84%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.10%
USDINR(IND) +0.54%
USDRUB(RUS) -2.14%
USDZAR(ZAF) +3.30%
Agricultural
Cocoa -0.29%
Corn -0.91%
White Sugar +0.64%
Coffee (Arabica) -4.00%
Orange Juice -0.99%
Soybean Meal -4.37%
Soybeans -4.83%
Sugar #11 -3.31%
Cattle +1.93%
Feeder Cattle +3.76%
Lean Hogs -2.39%
Coffee (Robusta) -2.03%
Cotton -1.98%
Lumber -4.72%
Wheat -5.37%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -0.35%
Markit CDX NA IG +0.41%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +2.92%
Markit iTraxx Australia -0.54%
Markit iTraxx Europe +0.53%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +1.62%
Markit iTraxx Japan -0.27%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -0.48%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.04%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +1.08%
The Nifty barely managed to keep its head above water this week.
The ECB finally announced the details of its QE program and it looks like it fell short of what the market expected.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-02-28.2015-03-05

Index Returns

index performance.2015-02-28.2015-03-05

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-02-28.2015-03-05

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-02-28.2015-03-05

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -0.78% 64/68
2 +0.39% 70/62
3 +0.02% 68/65
4 +0.53% 63/68
5 +0.01% 64/68
6 +0.39% 71/61
7 +1.16% 70/63
8 +0.99% 62/69
9 +1.12% 66/66
10 (mega) +1.09% 73/60
Market cap performance was encouraging…

Top Winners and Losers

CIPLA +8.42%
BAJAJFINSV +8.65%
SUNPHARMA +14.02%
NMDC -8.45%
COALINDIA -7.62%
CAIRN -6.12%
Pharma was on fire this week…

ETF Performance

JUNIORBEES +1.39%
INFRABEES +0.90%
GOLDBEES +0.71%
BANKBEES +0.19%
NIFTYBEES +0.16%
CPSEETF -0.84%
PSUBNKBEES -0.99%
The Juniors outperformed the Nifty…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-02-27.2015-03-05

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.00 +0.13%
GSEC SUB 1-3 -0.28 -0.18%
GSEC SUB 3-8 -0.13 +0.82%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.09 +0.72%
The rate cut was more of a shock than a surprise…

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought for the weekend

Aristotle talked about three kinds of work: theoretical, practical, and poetical.
The first searches for truth.
The second is practical with an objective around action.
The third, however, is lost in our modern culture.

Source: Produce More by Removing More

Holi Bell 06.03.2015

Your world at 9am

world.2015-03-06

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +1.00%
CAC(FRA) +0.94%
UKX(GBR) +0.61%
NKY(JPN) +1.00%
SPX(USA) +0.12%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +0.22%
INMEX(MEX) +0.79%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -0.82%
XU030(TUR) -1.85%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -0.20%
SHCOMP(CHN) +0.13%
NIFTY(IND) +0.17%
INDEXCF(RUS) +0.07%
TOP40(ZAF) +0.77%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +0.86%
Ethanol +0.00%
Heating Oil +0.54%
Natural Gas -0.32%
RBOB Gasoline +0.66%
WTI Crude Oil +0.61%
Metals
Copper +0.00%
Gold 100oz +0.00%
Palladium +0.42%
Platinum +0.07%
Silver 5000oz +0.24%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.06% USDJPY:-0.08%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.03%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.02%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.00%
USDTRY(TUR) -0.08%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +0.78%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.03%
USDINR(IND) -0.15%
USDRUB(RUS) -0.28%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.23%
Agricultural
Cattle +0.00%
Cocoa +0.00%
Coffee (Arabica) -0.48%
Coffee (Robusta) +0.00%
Corn -0.26%
Cotton +0.00%
Feeder Cattle +0.00%
Lean Hogs +0.00%
Lumber +0.00%
Orange Juice +0.00%
Soybean Meal -0.12%
Soybeans +0.10%
Sugar #11 +0.60%
Wheat +0.00%
White Sugar +0.00%

Must reads

ECB will buy bonds that carry a negative yield, as long as that doesn’t fall below the rate it charges banks on deposits, which is -0.20%. (WSJ)

Infosys and Wipro in fight to renew Rs 12,000 crore outsourcing contract that will expire this year. Last time around, HCL Tech ate their lunch. (ET) [stockquote]HCLTECH[/stockquote] [stockquote]INFY[/stockquote] [stockquote]WIPRO[/stockquote]

Will we soon have FDI in retail? (LiveMint)

Indian GDP numbers: did bureaucrats take something that was not broken and fix it until it was? (FT)

EPFO will once again consider diversifying its investment pattern to park 5-15% of its corpus in equity and infrastructure trusts. (ET)

Goldman: “The twin forces of regulation and technology are opening the door for an expanding class of competitors to capture profit pools long controlled by banks.” (FT)

Good luck and have a nice long weekend!

Monthly Recap: A Dozen Things Taught by Warren Buffett

world.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +6.61%
CAC(FRA) +7.54%
UKX(GBR) +2.92%
NKY(JPN) +6.36%
SPX(USA) +4.95%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +3.04%
INMEX(MEX) +8.10%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +1.83%
XU030(TUR) -6.16%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +10.38%
SHCOMP(CHN) +3.11%
NIFTY(IND) +0.41%
INDEXCF(RUS) +6.75%
TOP40(ZAF) +4.55%

Commodities

Energy
Heating Oil +15.87%
Ethanol +4.71%
Natural Gas +1.65%
WTI Crude Oil +4.03%
Brent Crude Oil +19.84%
RBOB Gasoline +38.27%
Metals
Silver 5000oz -4.07%
Palladium +6.05%
Copper +7.54%
Gold 100oz -4.89%
Platinum -3.99%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.87% USDJPY:+1.87%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +2.06%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.30%
USDNGN(NGA) +7.50%
USDTRY(TUR) +2.56%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +5.81%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.30%
USDINR(IND) -0.05%
USDRUB(RUS) -11.87%
USDZAR(ZAF) -0.01%
Agricultural
Coffee (Arabica) -15.10%
Orange Juice -13.76%
White Sugar -3.00%
Cocoa +6.99%
Lean Hogs +0.07%
Wheat +2.68%
Coffee (Robusta) -2.39%
Corn +3.30%
Feeder Cattle -4.76%
Lumber -7.83%
Cattle -1.67%
Cotton +7.53%
Soybean Meal +6.62%
Soybeans +7.05%
Sugar #11 -6.49%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.80%
Markit CDX NA IG -6.65%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -12.04%
Markit iTraxx Australia -12.42%
Markit iTraxx Europe -8.36%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -53.54%
Markit iTraxx Japan -4.43%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -1.77%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.03%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) -1.59%
Most world markets ended in the green. The energy complex clocked in some impressive gains as well…

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Index Returns

index performance.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -0.87% 66/66
2 -3.59% 63/68
3 +3.03% 62/70
4 -1.24% 54/77
5 +1.86% 67/65
6 +1.88% 68/64
7 -0.26% 59/72
8 +3.20% 74/58
9 +1.42% 67/65
10 (mega) -0.02% 66/66
Mid-caps caught a bid but large-caps were mostly in the red…

Top Winners and Losers

BHARATFORG +21.26%
JINDALSTEL +23.38%
SIEMENS +28.31%
UNIONBANK -18.00%
RCOM -13.94%
AUROPHARMA -13.17%
Make defense stuff in India…

ETF Performance

JUNIORBEES +0.31%
NIFTYBEES -0.04%
CPSEETF -0.36%
BANKBEES -1.65%
INFRABEES -1.76%
GOLDBEES -5.38%
PSUBNKBEES -6.40%
Not takers for PSU banks and their bag of worries…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-01-30.2015-02-28

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.19 +0.55%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.34 +0.01%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.08 +0.09%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.04 +0.07%
A flat yield curve means you only get to clip the coupon…

Interbank lending rates

mibor.30days.2015-02-28

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thoughts to sum up the month

A business with terrific economics can be a bad investment if it is bought for too high a price. In other words, a sound investment can morph into a rash speculation if it is bought at an elevated price.

Source: A Dozen Things Taught by Warren Buffett in his 50th Anniversary Letter that will Benefit Ordinary Investors