Category: Your Money

Analysis: HINDUNILVR

Today’s pick is HINDUNILVR [stockquote]HINDUNILVR[/stockquote]. The stock has been on an uptrend through-out the year. The stock experienced its 52-week high of Rs. 580 in mid-October and then corrected itself to find support at Rs. 525. Since then the stock is undergoing a pennant formation. In the last three months, the stock has moved -6% vs. +3% of the Nifty’s.

HINDUNILVR technical analysis chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are in no man’s land unable to give any directional suggestion. Short-term technical just saw a 9×18 bullish cross-over.

The MACD line is moving close to the signal line and the dropping histogram levels are suggesting an imminent bearish crossover for the line. The long-term and short-term GMMA lines are very constrained and hence are not suggesting any direction to the scrip.

HINDUNILVR correlation chart

HINDUNILVR’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.23, which is positive. The scrip will be replicating the movement of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

HINDUNILVR volatility chart

HINDUNILVR has a historical volatility in the range of 0.3 to 0.7. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the lower end of the range.

Given these technicals, we suggest a short-term and a long-term watch for the script. The investor is advised to be on a lookout for a decisive breakout of the pennant in either direction to make any directional call.

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Analysis: JETAIRWAYS

Today’s pick is JETAIRWAYS [stockquote]JETAIRWAYS[/stockquote]. The stock has been on an uptrend through-out the year, but it picked up momentum since November and it continues to rise. The stock experienced its 52-week high of Rs. 639 in mid-December and is headed towards the same again after a slight correction. In the last three months, the stock has moved a whopping +59% vs. +3% of the Nifty’s.

JETAIRWAYS technical analysis chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are close to the over-bought territory but historical levels of these indicators suggest that the stock has more room to run before it corrects. Besides, short-term 4×9 and 4×18 just saw a bullish cross-over.

The MACD line is moving close to the signal line and the rising histogram levels are suggesting an imminent bullish crossover of the line. The long-term GMMA lines are well dispersed, giving out a very positive outlook for the stock.

JETAIRWAYS Correlation chart

JETAIRWAYS’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.56, which is positive and strong. The scrip will be replicating the movement of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

JETAIRWAYS volatility chart

JETAIRWAYS has a historical volatility in the range of 0.4 to 1.2. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the higher end of the range and should act as point of caution for traders in case the divergences in RSI and CMO come into play.

Given these technicals, we suggest a short-term and a long-term BUY for the scrip. It’s a good idea to ride the momentum with trailing stop-losses in place to book profits if a trend-reversal were to take place.

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Analysis: WIPRO (WIT)

Today’s pick is WIPRO [stockquote]WIPRO[/stockquote]. The stock began 2012 with a slight upside move to see resistance around the Rs. 450 levels. After testing that resistance for 2 months, the stock started moving downwards till it reached Rs. 340. This acted as support for the stock in the later months as well. And post November, the stock has been on an up-trend. In the last three months, the stock has moved +10% vs. +5% of the Nifty’s.

WIPRO Technical analysis chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are closing towards the over-bought territory.

The MACD line is moving above the signal line in a bullish mode confirmed by the increasing histogram levels. The long-term GMMA lines are moving very close to each other unable to suggest any bias for the long-term. Although, the short-term GMMA lines are suggesting a bullish move given the expansion of the lines.

WIPRO correlation chart

WIPRO’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.56, which is positive and strong. The scrip will be replicating the movement of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

WIPRO volatility chart

WIPRO has a historical volatility in the range of 0.3 to 0.8. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the lower end of the range.

WIPRO Analyst coverage

Analysts are kind of bullish for the stock, given the high average ratings from various analysts. Better earnings this quarter could add on to the glory of the stock.

Given these technicals, we suggest a short-term hold and a long-term BUY for the scrip. We suggest traders to use trailing stop-losses in order to book profits if a trend-reversal were to take place.

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