Author: stockviz

Correlation Update 17.10.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Index Update 10.10.2015

MOMENTUM

We run our proprietary momentum scoring algorithm on indices just like we do on stocks. You can use the momentum scores of sub-indices to get a sense for which sectors have the wind on their backs and those that are facing headwinds.

Traders can pick their longs in sectors with high short-term momentum and their shorts in sectors with low momentum. Investors can use the longer lookback scores to position themselves using our re-factored index Themes.

You can see how the momentum algorithm has performed on individual stocks here.

Here are the best and the worst sub-indices:

index momentum best 365 2015-10-09 png

index momentum best 50 2015-10-09 png

index momentum worst 365 2015-10-09 png

index momentum worst 50 2015-10-09 png

Relative Strength Spread

CNX_500 relative-spread-index 50 2015-10-09 png

Refactored Index Performance

50-day performance, from July 29, 2015 through October 09, 2015:

Trend Model Summary

Index Signal % From Peak Day of Peak
CNX AUTO LONG
11.52
2015-Jan-27
CNX BANK LONG
14.42
2015-Jan-27
CNX COMMODITIES LONG
35.32
2008-Jan-04
CNX CONSUMPTION LONG
5.71
2015-Aug-05
CNX ENERGY LONG
33.93
2008-Jan-14
CNX FMCG LONG
7.96
2015-Feb-25
CNX INFRA LONG
53.04
2008-Jan-09
CNX IT SHORT
87.64
2000-Feb-21
CNX MEDIA LONG
18.06
2008-Jan-04
CNX METAL LONG
66.60
2008-Jan-04
CNX MNC SHORT
9.28
2015-Aug-10
CNX NIFTY LONG
8.97
2015-Mar-03
CNX PHARMA LONG
4.00
2015-Apr-08
CNX PSE LONG
33.36
2008-Jan-04
CNX PSU BANK SHORT
40.81
2010-Nov-05
CNX REALTY LONG
90.30
2008-Jan-14
CNX SERVICE LONG
9.02
2015-Mar-03
And just like that, momentum is back!

Correlation Update 10.10.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Index Update 02.10.2015

MOMENTUM

We run our proprietary momentum scoring algorithm on indices just like we do on stocks. You can use the momentum scores of sub-indices to get a sense for which sectors have the wind on their backs and those that are facing headwinds.

Traders can pick their longs in sectors with high short-term momentum and their shorts in sectors with low momentum. Investors can use the longer lookback scores to position themselves using our re-factored index Themes.

You can see how the momentum algorithm has performed on individual stocks here.

Here are the best and the worst sub-indices:

index momentum best 365 2015-10-01 png

index momentum best 50 2015-10-01 png

index momentum worst 365 2015-10-01 png

index momentum worst 50 2015-10-01 png

Relative Strength Spread

CNX_500 relative-spread-index 50 2015-10-01 png

Refactored Index Performance

50-day performance, from July 22, 2015 through October 01, 2015:

Trend Model Summary

Index Signal % From Peak Day of Peak
CNX AUTO SHORT
15.03
2015-Jan-27
CNX BANK SHORT
16.57
2015-Jan-27
CNX COMMODITIES LONG
38.24
2008-Jan-04
CNX CONSUMPTION SHORT
7.34
2015-Aug-05
CNX ENERGY LONG
36.33
2008-Jan-14
CNX FMCG LONG
10.30
2015-Feb-25
CNX INFRA LONG
54.62
2008-Jan-09
CNX IT SHORT
87.57
2000-Feb-21
CNX MEDIA SHORT
18.02
2008-Jan-04
CNX METAL LONG
69.95
2008-Jan-04
CNX MNC SHORT
9.50
2015-Aug-10
CNX NIFTY SHORT
11.62
2015-Mar-03
CNX PHARMA SHORT
4.99
2015-Apr-08
CNX PSE LONG
35.62
2008-Jan-04
CNX PSU BANK SHORT
42.81
2010-Nov-05
CNX REALTY SHORT
90.62
2008-Jan-14
CNX SERVICE SHORT
10.92
2015-Mar-03
Dispersion is around its all-time lows – momentum algos will be struggling to find a toe-hold. Besides, the only thing that has worked in the last few months is long-only pharma and IT – both long USD trades.

Correlation Update 02.10.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.