Tag: weekly

Weekly Recap: Possible vs Probable

nifty performance

The NIFTY ended -1.23% for the week in spite of Friday’s +1.92% rally. The worst hit was the Metals Index, down 5.33% for the week.

Index Performance

Index performacne

Top Winners and Losers (CNX 100)

RELIANCE +3.96%
GSKCONS +4.20%
IDEA +6.07%
TITAN -17.36%
ADANIENT -14.50%
JINDALSTEL -12.91%
Titan has been taking it on the chin lately – a combination of their recent expansion meeting RBI restrictions on gold imports and their diamond sales not taking off as hoped. Jindal Steel got charge-sheeted by the CBI, so its not surprising that it was one of the biggest fallers in the metals complex.

 

ETFs

JUNIORBEES -4.46%
INFRABEES -3.18%
BANKBEES -3.06%
NIFTYBEES -1.20%
GOLDBEES -0.70%
PSUBNKBEES +1.71%
It looks like some bottom fishing occurred in PSU banks, but the sector’s troubles are well documented. There was pretty much no place to hide this week.

 

Advancers-Decliners (CNX 100)

ad line

The AD line is showing a slight uptick. Bulls will be keeping a close eye on the sustainability front.

Yield Curve

Is the bond market signalling that there’s not going to be a rate cut this week? Rising short-term yields doesn’t bode well for the rate-cut chorus boys.
yield curve

Sector Performance

Here’s a more nuanced break out of what happened over the week across different sectors.
sector performance

Thought for the weekend

It is possible that you could get hit by lightning, or win the lottery, or marry a supermodel. When we describe something as possible, we mean there is a non-zero likelihood of that outcome — it could happen; we just don’t know if it will or will not, but it might. Probable is more nuanced mathematics — there is a n% chance of a given outcome, where n = a number between 0-100.
Anything that is Probable must by definition be Possible; However, not everything that is Possible is going to be Probable.

Source: Possible versus Probable

Weekly Recap

NIFTY 50 Heat map

The Nifty ended -1.75% for the week. Financials were the worst hit while IT eked out some gains.

Index Performance

index performance

Top Winners and Losers (CNX 100)

JSWSTEEL +5.53%
GLAXO +5.59%
RCOM +9.49%
MPHASIS -8.89%
UBL -7.26%
TITAN -7.17%
Surprisingly, JSW Steel was one of the best performers – in spite of the macro being unkind to the metals sector in general. And all the talk about HP selling off its stake in MphasiS wasn’t enough for the stock to hold on to its all time highs.

 

ETFs

NIFTYBEES -1.72%
BANKBEES -0.78%
INFRABEES -0.64%
JUNIORBEES -0.15%
PSUBNKBEES +0.19%
GOLDBEES +1.95%
Gold was one of the few bright spots for ETF investors. However, given the recent drop in gold prices given Friday’s NFP numbers, the future for gold does not look all that bright. The slide in USD-INR seem to eclipse other factors for the time being.

 

Advancers-Decliners (CNX 100)

advancers decliners

Bulls beware: the AD line seems to be indicating that the recent rally was probably more smoke than fire.

Yield Curve

I find it hard to believe that short-term rates actually rose. Don’t we have a rate-cut in store this week? Interesting…
yield curve movement

Sector Performance

Here’s a more nuanced break out of what happened over the week across different sectors.
sector performance

Good luck!

Weekly Recap

NIFTY.2013-03-18.2013-03-22

The NIFTY ended on a bearish note, melting down -3.26% for the week.
Biggest losers were RELINFRA (-18.36%), DLF (-15.25%) and JPASSOCIAT (-14.43%).
And the biggest winners were LUPIN (+2.91%), ITC (+1.23%) and HINDUNILVR (+0.11%).fii.2013-03-18.2013-03-22
Decliners eclipsed advancers 47 vs 3

Gold: +1.04%, Banks: -5.67%. Infrastructure: -0.96%,
Net FII flows for the week: $315.10 mm (Equity) and $219.03 mm (Debt)

At the begining of this week we gave a long call for LUPIN in this post.

 

Weekly Recap

NIFTY.2013-03-11.2013-03-15

The NIFTY ended on a bearish note, melting down -2.44% for the week.
Biggest losers were BAJAJ-AUTO (-8.10%), ICICIBANK (-6.30%) and HINDALCO (-5.63%).
And the biggest winners were RANBAXY (+8.86%), SIEMENS (+7.69%) and ASIANPAINT (+7.30%).
Decliners eclipsed advancers 34 vs 16fii.2013-03-11.2013-03-15
Gold: +0.46%, Banks: -2.89%. Infrastructure: -2.32%,
Net FII flows for the week: $636.37 mm (Equity) and $203.94 mm (Debt)

 

 

 

Weekly Recap

NIFTY.2013-03-04.2013-03-08

The NIFTY ended on a bullish note, shooting up +4.16% for the week.
Biggest losers were HINDUNILVR (-3.31%), AMBUJACEM (-2.67%) and BAJAJ-AUTO (-0.73%).
And the biggest winners were IDFC (+9.76%), SESAGOA (+8.57%) and ICICIBANK (+7.85%).
Advancers lead decliners 44 vs 6
Gold: -0.22%, Banks: +3.96%. Infrastructure: +1.27%,
Net FII flows for the week: $364.58 mm (Equity) and $353.58 mm (Debt)