Tag: SUZLON

Analysis: SUZLON

Today’s pick is SUZLON [stockquote]SUZLON[/stockquote]. The stock started the year with a series of tops at Rs 30 levels, and then the stock slowly moved down to find support around Rs. 15. After hovering around the same levels for three months it started its current up-move in Late November. In the last three months, the stock has moved +60% vs. +5% of the Nifty’s.

SUZLON Technical Analysis Chart

Oscillator RSI and CMO are close to the over-bought territory. The stock is trading in the upper end of Bollinger band giving a downward bias.

The MACD line is closing in towards the signal line in a bearish manner and is being confirmed by the dropping histogram levels. However, Long-term GMMA lines are quite distant from each other and are giving out a bullish signal for long-term.

SUZLON correlation chart

SUZLON’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.57 which is positive and strong. The scrip will be replicating movement of Nifty closely. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

SUZLON Volatility chart

SUZLON has a historical volatility in the range of 0.4 to 1.2. The scrip’s volatility is currently in the upper end of the range.

Given these technicals, we suggest a short-term sell. For the long-term, the GMMA lines, and strong up-trend are suggesting a BUY. However trailing stop-losses will be of help in case sudden trend-reversal were to take place.

Analysis: SUZLON

Today’s pick is SUZLON [stockquote]SUZLON[/stockquote]. The stock started the year with a steep uptrend to blow past Rs. 30. It hovered around that point for a month, and finally gave up the momentum and slid all the way down to Rs. 15. However, it looks like it is at the beginning of an uptrend, having broken the pennant it was stuck in since December. In the last three months, the stock has moved +28% vs. +5% of the Nifty’s.

SUZLON technical analysis chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are in no man’s land and are not signaling any directional move. Short-term technical just saw a 4×9 and 4X18 bullish cross-over.

The MACD line is moving close to the signal line but the increasing histogram levels are suggesting a bullish outlook. The long-term GMMA lines are starting to flag out suggesting an upcoming long term bullish move for the scrip.

SUZLON correlation chart

SUZLON’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.57, which is positive. The scrip will be replicating the movement of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

SUZLON volatility chart

SUZLON has a historical volatility in the range of 0.4 to 1.0. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the middle of the range.

Given these technicals, we suggest a short-term and a long-term Buy for the script. Also, looking at the volatile history of the stock, we suggest traders to use trailing stop-losses in order to book profits if a trend-reversal were to take place.

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