Category: Your Money

Investment Theme Performance Roundup

WHAT IS A “THEME”?

A StockViz Investment Theme is a portfolio of stocks that follows a particular strategy. It is a convenient way for you to:

  1. stick to a strategy
  2. follow a preset rebalancing schedule
  3. think in terms of your portfolio strategy rather than individual stocks
  4. avoid common behavioral pitfalls
  5. systematically track your P&L and strategy performance

WHAT IS AN INVESTMENT STRATEGY?

An investment strategy is a specific way of going about the process of investing. It identifies specific variables that define a stock. Variables can be anything: risk, style, sector, balance-sheet items, etc..

By mapping specific Themes to your account, you ensure that you stay pure to your strategy allocation. And that there is no “flying by the seat of your pants” investing.

HOW HAVE YOUR THEMES PERFORMED?

Theme Commencement Performance NIFTYBEES Performance JUNIORBEES Performance
Market Fliers
2013-Oct-28
64.79%
24.5%
35.1%
Magic Formula Investing
2013-Aug-19
68.67%
39.89%
48.38%
Enterprise Yield
2013-Sep-16
49.51%
30.24%
46.46%
Pharma 10
2013-Jul-17
8.36%
27.88%
35.85%
Pharma Growth
2013-Jul-17
13.01%
27.88%
35.85%
Private Banks
2013-Jul-15
28.82%
26.61%
33.45%
Quality to Price
2013-Aug-28
132.47%
43.5%
54.91%
Gold and Jewellery
2013-Jul-15
-0.34%
26.61%
33.45%
Alcohol and Tobacco
2013-Jul-25
8.84%
29.05%
38.35%
Industrial Value
2014-Jun-02
13.57%
4.27%
1.36%
Market Elephants
2013-Sep-02
28.51%
37.15%
49.96%
Balance-sheet Strength
2013-Sep-11
93%
28.88%
45.66%
For-Profit Education
2013-Jul-25
81.33%
29.05%
38.35%
Momentum 200
2013-Aug-19
42.34%
39.89%
48.38%
Financial Strength Value
2013-Sep-13
56.54%
30.06%
45.69%

Detail of draw-downs can be found here.

Performance Charts

Gold and Jewellery.2013-07-15.2014-06-17

Private Banks.2013-07-15.2014-06-17

Quality to Price.2013-08-28.2014-06-17

Enterprise Yield.2013-09-16.2014-06-17

Magic Formula Investing.2013-08-19.2014-06-17

Pharma 10.2013-07-17.2014-06-17

Pharma Growth.2013-07-17.2014-06-17

Market Fliers.2013-10-28.2014-06-17

Financial Strength Value.2013-09-13.2014-06-17

Momentum 200.2013-08-19.2014-06-17

Balance-sheet Strength.2013-09-11.2014-06-17

For-Profit Education.2013-07-25.2014-06-17

Industrial Value.2014-06-02.2014-06-17

Market Elephants.2013-09-02.2014-06-17

Alcohol and Tobacco.2013-07-25.2014-06-17

WHAT SHOULD I DO NEXT?

You should open a demat account with StockViz and invest through our Themes.

Rates and USDINR Update

We recently pulled up a chart of Indian 10 year rates to show how the interest rate curve went all bullish on Modi. But given the all around bullishness, we were curious as to how the 10-year rate differential between US Treasuries and Indian GSecs looked.

UST vs. GSecs

ust-ind-10yr-spread

The spread compression is nowhere near all-out bullishness and may have more room to run.

USDINR

The recent ISIS induced flight-to-safety notwithstanding, USDINR has tagged along the spread.

USDINR

Even if ISIS ends up occupying Iraq, given that their primary source of revenue is going to be oil, they might just decide to pump more of it. Our expectation is that once we get past the current knee-jerk reaction, the above trends will reassert themselves.

Related

It’s important to be politically agnostic and think about the potential market impact of the event. There are three sources of event risk that could cause the markets to swoon:

  1. Iraq
  2. Russia-Ukraine
  3. Chinese financial crisis

“My conclusion is that the so-called tail-risk are wrong and the immediate threat posed by tail-risk is lower than the market thinks.”

Source: Apocalypse Later

Weekly Recap: Avoiding Stupidity

Equities

world.2014-06-06.2014-06-13

The Nifty ended the week -0.54% (-1.01% in USD terms)

Major
DAX(DEU) -0.74%
CAC(FRA) -0.83%
UKX(GBR) -1.17%
NKY(JPN) +0.14%
SPX(USA) -0.65%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -0.21%
INMEX(MEX) -0.56%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -0.03%
XU030(TUR) -1.65%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +3.45%
SHCOMP(CHN) +2.01%
NIFTY(IND) -0.54%
INDEXCF(RUS) +1.09%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.95%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +3.58%
Ethanol -0.09%
Heating Oil +4.00%
Natural Gas +1.06%
RBOB Gasoline +4.01%
WTI Crude Oil +4.01%
Metals
Copper -0.98%
Gold 100oz +1.85%
Palladium -3.62%
Platinum -1.21%
Silver 5000oz +2.63%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.72% USDJPY:-0.53%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.35%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.76%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.38%
USDTRY(TUR) +2.02%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -1.14%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.64%
USDINR(IND) +1.00%
USDRUB(RUS) -0.02%
USDZAR(ZAF) +0.82%
Agricultural
Cattle +4.81%
Cocoa +1.08%
Coffee (Arabica) +1.60%
Coffee (Robusta) +4.04%
Corn -2.14%
Cotton +2.55%
Feeder Cattle +3.65%
Lean Hogs +0.77%
Lumber +1.41%
Orange Juice +1.01%
Soybean Meal -4.22%
Soybeans -2.21%
Sugar #11 +0.24%
Wheat -5.37%
White Sugar +1.04%

Nifty heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-06-06.2014-06-13

Index Returns

index performance.2014-06-06.2014-06-13

Top winners and losers

ASIANPAINT +7.29%
COLPAL +7.62%
HCLTECH +8.38%
HINDPETRO -13.72%
M&MFIN -13.29%
DLF -12.12%
While you were not looking, Asian Paints suddenly went from being a laggard to one of the best performers this week.

ETFs

GOLDBEES +1.57%
NIFTYBEES +0.28%
PSUBNKBEES -0.88%
BANKBEES -1.58%
INFRABEES -2.05%
JUNIORBEES -2.89%
A healthy correction or is the Iraq problem going to tip us over?

Investment Theme Performance

High beta meltdown and the revenge of a diversified portfolio. In the worlds of Howard Marks: “Almost everything about superior investing is a two edged sword: If you concentrate your portfolio, your mistakes will kill you. If you diversify, the payoff from your successes will be diminished.”

Sector Performance

Why are paper companies rallying?

sector performance.2014-06-06.2014-06-13

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-06-06.2014-06-13

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-06-06.2014-06-13

Thought for the weekend

The strategy for winning in tennis is to avoid mistakes. The way to avoid mistakes is to be conservative and keep the ball in play, letting the other fellow have plenty of room in which to blunder his way to defeat, because he, being an amateur will play a losing game and not know it.

Source: Avoiding Stupidity is Easier than Seeking Brilliance