Author: shyam

Weekly Recap: Waiting for Godot

NIFTY 50.2012-06-18.2012-06-22

The NIFTY ended flat for the week.
Biggest losers were HINDALCO (-5.25%), TCS (-3.06%) and SAIL (-2.76%).
And the biggest winners were ONGC (+5.08%), HEROMOTOCO (+4.30%) and POWERGRID (+3.77%).

Advancers lead decliners 29 vs 20
Gold: -0.34%, Banks: +0.03%.

The week began with expectations that the RBI will cut rates – but all that the central bank did was to point a finger at the government and say “your turn.” Thursday saw the US Fed extending Operation Twist (selling short term treasuries while buying long-terms) but failing to deliver on hopes of QE3. You could say Bernanke did an RBI in that he too pointed a finger at the US government sad said “your turn.”

From an India perspective the benefits from a  collapse in oil prices were negated by an almost proportional fall in the Rupee. The only thing that oil prices this low seem to be doing is laying waste to all the “alternative” energy company’s business models that require at least $100 oil.

With Europe throwing fits in the sandbox, anything can happen. Stay hedged!

Daily news summaries are here.

Weekly Recap

NIFTY 50.2012-06-11.2012-06-15

The NIFTY ended on a bullish note, shooting up +1.58% for the week.
Biggest losers were NTPC (-3.72%), BANKBARODA (-2.96%) and DRREDDY (-2.59%).
And the biggest winners were AMBUJACEM (+11.99%), GRASIM (+7.73%) and BPCL (+5.73%).
Advancers lead decliners 28 vs 21
Gold: +2.74%, Infrastructure: -2.26%, Banks: +1.23%.

The markets had enough things to worry about: weekend elections in Greece, slowing global growth, domestic stagflation and policy paralysis. Even though 2012 is mirroring most of 2011, what’s different this time is slowing BRIC growth. The BRICs contributed about half of the international expansion since 2007 but are facing rising headwinds this year. Investors have moved out of emerging market equity funds, India’s 5.3% expansion in the first quarter was the weakest in nine years, Brazil managed a tepid 0.8% even after cutting interest rates and taxes, Russia is forecasting a 4% growth rate as output of oil, the nation’s biggest export, stagnates, and China is targeting growth of 7.5% this year. (Bloomberg)

Have a nice weekend!

Daily news summaries are here.

Weekly Recap: Hope Prevails!

NIFTY 50.2012-06-04.2012-06-08

The NIFTY ended on a bullish note, shooting up +4.02% for the week.
Biggest losers were DRREDDY (-0.60%), RANBAXY (+0.10%) and CIPLA (+0.49%).
And the biggest winners were RELINFRA (+18.50%), LT (+17.31%) and STER (+12.03%).
Advancers lead decliners 48 vs 1
Gold: +0.75%, Infrastructure: +4.67%, Banks: +4.45%.

Hope of a Spanish bank bailout, Greek elections going the right way and QE3 coming out of the US prevailed… for now.

Daily news summaries are here.

Weekly Recap

NIFTY 50.2012-05-28.2012-06-01

The NIFTY ended on a bearish note, melting down -1.69% for the week.
Biggest losers were TATAMOTORS (-17.05%), RELINFRA (-7.61%) and RANBAXY (-6.58%).
And the biggest winners were TATAPOWER (+4.31%), AMBUJACEM (+4.26%) and HINDALCO (+4.16%).

Decliners eclipsed advancers 32 vs 17
Gold: +0.25%, Infrastructure: +0.99%, Banks: -0.72%.

Macro news is decidedly bearish: global growth, from US to China, is slowing down, domestic car sales are weakening, commodity prices are taking a hit. It’s only a matter of time before Central Banks will respond with a new round of monetary easing. Expect the ECB to do something.

Daily news summaries are here.