Weekly Recap: When Evidence Fails

world.2015-10-09.2015-10-16

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +0.08%
CAC(FRA) +0.03%
UKX(GBR) -0.59%
NKY(JPN) -0.80%
SPX(USA) +1.14%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -1.47%
INMEX(MEX) +0.07%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -1.10%
XU030(TUR) -1.05%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -3.27%
SHCOMP(CHN) +6.54%
NIFTY(IND) +0.59%
INDEXCF(RUS) -0.66%
TOP40(ZAF) -0.73%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -4.00%
Ethanol -0.20%
Natural Gas -3.08%
RBOB Gasoline -6.00%
WTI Crude Oil -4.35%
Heating Oil -5.54%
Metals
Copper -0.41%
Palladium -1.68%
Gold 100oz +1.96%
Platinum +3.61%
Silver 5000oz +2.53%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.18% USDJPY:-0.69%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.95%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.17%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.05%
USDTRY(TUR) -0.71%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +5.00%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.14%
USDINR(IND) +0.12%
USDRUB(RUS) -0.53%
USDZAR(ZAF) -1.93%
Agricultural
Cotton +3.23%
Feeder Cattle +2.54%
Lean Hogs -11.45%
Wheat -2.75%
Orange Juice +18.33%
Soybeans +1.64%
Cocoa +1.34%
Coffee (Arabica) -4.16%
Coffee (Robusta) -0.49%
Corn -1.24%
Soybean Meal +1.76%
Sugar #11 +0.70%
Cattle +4.10%
Lumber +5.94%
White Sugar +0.05%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX NA HY -0.72%
Markit CDX NA IG +3.83%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -4.14%
Markit iTraxx Australia -2.90%
Markit iTraxx Europe -1.84%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +4.46%
Markit iTraxx Japan -0.38%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +0.27%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.00%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +0.56%
Risk ON like Donkey Kong this week. All that money that fled EMs fearing a Fed rate hike is finding its way back…

Global ETFs (USD)

global.etf.performance.2015-10-09.2015-10-16

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-10-09.2015-10-16

Index Returns

For a deeper dive into indices, check out our weekly Index Update.
index.performance.2015-10-09.2015-10-16

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) +1.34% 76/59
2 +3.26% 81/53
3 +3.42% 72/62
4 +3.84% 73/62
5 +2.85% 75/59
6 +2.42% 76/58
7 +2.29% 72/63
8 +2.89% 73/61
9 +0.95% 73/61
10 (mega) +0.47% 75/60
Midcaps outperformed large caps…

Top Winners and Losers

RCOM +8.23%
TATAMOTORS +8.35%
NMDC +9.10%
INFY -6.21%
TCS -5.93%
CONCOR -5.79%
IT guys got hit buy a bus…

ETF Performance

INFRABEES +3.03%
BANKBEES +1.98%
PSUBNKBEES +1.66%
GOLDBEES +1.50%
NIFTYBEES +0.67%
JUNIORBEES +0.55%
CPSEETF +0.32%
Green zoned…

Yield Curve

yieldCurve.2015-10-09.2015-10-16

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
0 5 -0.01 +0.16%
5 10 +0.02 +0.05%
10 15 +0.03 -0.04%
15 20 +0.00 +0.13%
20 30 -0.03 +0.41%
The curve remained unchanged…

Investment Theme Performance

High beta took off like a rocket…

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought for the weekend

The investing cycle of good ideas goes something like this:

Early adopters find an anomaly and exploit it for huge gains. More and more smart money begins to figure out this apparent loophole and competition means lower profits to go around. Next come the academics with their research papers that get published in the trade journals and such. Finally, Wall Street picks up on the trend and does their part to create more products than are needed to help everyone else finally jump in on the fad, usually just as the cycle is about to turn.

Source: When Evidence Fails