Monthly Recap: Good Investing Hurts

world.2015-08-31.2015-09-30

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -5.84%
CAC(FRA) -4.25%
UKX(GBR) -2.98%
NKY(JPN) -5.88%
SPX(USA) -2.58%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -5.43%
INMEX(MEX) -2.18%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +5.16%
XU030(TUR) -1.22%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -3.23%
SHCOMP(CHN) -4.78%
NIFTY(IND) +0.24%
INDEXCF(RUS) -5.20%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.20%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil -8.90%
Ethanol +4.85%
Natural Gas -5.45%
RBOB Gasoline -15.74%
WTI Crude Oil -5.77%
Heating Oil -7.15%
Metals
Gold 100oz -1.51%
Platinum -9.61%
Copper +2.15%
Silver 5000oz -0.68%
Palladium +8.89%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.68% USDJPY:-0.80%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +4.31%
USDMXN(MEX) +1.02%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.17%
USDTRY(TUR) +3.91%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +8.66%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.34%
USDINR(IND) -1.38%
USDRUB(RUS) +2.21%
USDZAR(ZAF) +4.24%
Agricultural
Coffee (Arabica) +0.21%
Wheat +6.04%
Coffee (Robusta) -1.52%
Orange Juice -18.53%
Soybean Meal -4.62%
White Sugar +8.38%
Cattle -13.66%
Lumber -3.66%
Soybeans -0.61%
Cocoa +2.59%
Corn +5.98%
Cotton -7.19%
Feeder Cattle -11.86%
Lean Hogs +7.97%
Sugar #11 +20.58%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -2.28%
Markit CDX NA HY -2.05%
Markit CDX NA IG +7.87%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +2.50%
Markit iTraxx Australia +9.68%
Markit iTraxx Europe +13.38%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +66.06%
Markit iTraxx Japan +5.91%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -2.27%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.00%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +0.97%
A painful month for the markets finally came to an end with a relief rally. Chinese rebalancing away from an investment driven economy to a consumption driven one is forcing a new economic world order. And just when things seemed to be improving in Europe, the Volkswagen scandal hit and dragged everybody down. Investors seem to have quit pretty much every risk-asset…

International ETFs

This gives you an idea of how widespread the carnage was. India was one of the few markets that managed to end September in the green.
global.etf.performance.2015-08-31.2015-09-30

Gold

US rate hike jitters has pushed precious metals down for most of this year. With 2010’s hyper-inflation fears morphing into 2015’s deflation, gold has seen a massive sell-off…
gold futures usd september

Oil

Saudi’s kept the pump running, hoping to drive US shale operators out of business. But slowing global growth and an appreciating US Dollar might have had a bigger impact on oil prices…
oil wti futures usd september

US Dollar

usd september

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-08-31.2015-09-30

Index Returns

index.performance.2015-08-31.2015-09-30

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -1.65% 68/63
2 -0.57% 71/59
3 -1.01% 61/69
4 +0.97% 64/67
5 +0.84% 68/62
6 -2.22% 60/71
7 -1.06% 63/68
8 +1.48% 62/68
9 +0.03% 67/64
10 (mega) -2.04% 64/67
Large caps bore the brunt of the selloff…

Top Winners and Losers

SRTRANSFIN +13.78%
RPOWER +14.67%
RELCAPITAL +19.59%
MOTHERSUMI -24.10%
BHARATFORG -22.29%
BOSCHLTD -16.47%
Auto stocks got shellacked because nobody knows how deep the Volkswagen scandal runs…

ETF Performance

BANKBEES +0.16%
NIFTYBEES -0.82%
GOLDBEES -1.82%
JUNIORBEES -2.38%
CPSEETF -3.21%
PSUBNKBEES -4.22%
INFRABEES -6.32%
Hopefully, the 50bps rate cut will breathe some life into these…

Yield Curve

yieldCurve.2015-08-31.2015-09-30

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
0 5 -0.28 +1.35%
5 10 -0.23 +1.85%
10 15 -0.15 +1.77%
15 20 -0.21 +2.54%
20 30 -0.20 +2.77%
Bonds rallied on the back of rate cuts. Is the bulk of the move done?

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Foreign Institutional Investments

fii-investments.2014-01-01.2015-09-30

Domestic Institutional Investments

dii-investments.2014-01-01.2015-09-30

Thought to sum up the month

There are four types of investment returns:

  • Consistently bad.
  • Mostly bad and occasionally good.
  • Mostly decent and occasionally good.
  • Consistently good and fraudulent.

Look at the long-term history of great investors, and you’ll find they occupy the third category.

Source: Good Investing Hurts