Analysis: TATACOFFEE

Today’s pick is TATACOFFEE [stockquote]TATACOFFEE[/stockquote]. The stock has been on an up-move since the beginning of last year and it still continues. It just saw its 52-week’s high level of Rs. 1,673 a week ago. In the last three months, the stock has moved an astonishing +54% vs. +6% of the Nifty’s.

TATACOFFEE technical analysis chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are currently in no man’s land but are seeing a bearish divergence with the price action. Short-term technical just saw a 9×4 bearish cross-over.

The MACD line has just penetrated the signal line in a bearish move for the stock. Long-term GMMA lines are well dispersed out, suggesting a bullish outlook for the scrip for longer term. However, short-term GMMA lines are starting to move towards each other giving a bearish outlook for the short term.

TATACOFFEE correlation chart

TATACOFFEE’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.56 is positive and strong. The scrip will be replicating the movement of Nifty closely. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

TATACOFFEE volatility chart

TATACOFFEE has a historical volatility in the range of 0.4 to 1.2. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the middle of the range.

Given these technicals, we suggest a short-term Hold. Looking at the well dispersed GMMA lines and the long-term trend in place we suggest a long-term Buy for the script. . It will be beneficial to have trailing stop-losses in place, in order to book profits if a trend-reversal were to take place.

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