Analysis: MARUTI

Today’s pick is MARUTI [stockquote]MARUTI[/stockquote]. The stock began 2012 with an uptrend, which ended around mid-April after a series of resistance around Rs. 1,400 levels. This was then followed by a correction to Rs. 1,100 levels till August. The stock has since been on an up-trend and has undergone a flag formation around its 52-week high levels of Rs. 1,539 since the last 6 weeks. In the last three months, the stock has moved +10% vs. +5% of the Nifty’s.

MARUTI technical analysis chart

Oscillators RSI and CMO are in no-man’s land. Also, the short-term technical flashed a 4×18 Bullish cross-over for the scrip yesterday.

The MACD line and the signal line have been moving close to each other, accompanied with the stable histogram levels. Also, long-term GMMA lines are experiencing a contraction which does not suggest any direction to the stock in the near term.

MARUTI Correlation chart

MARUTI’s average correlation with the Nifty is 0.47 is positive. The scrip will be replicating the movement of Nifty. [stockquote]NIFTYBEES[/stockquote]

MARUTI volatility chart

MARUTI has a historical volatility in the range of 0.3 to 0.7. The scrip’s volatility currently is in the lowest part of the range.

To conclude, the stock is undergoing a consolidation phase, and given these technicals, a short-term HOLD is suggested. The long-term direction would be decided based on the bearish or bullish breakout of the current flag.

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