Weekly Recap: Investing vs Flipping

world.2015-10-01.2015-10-09

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +6.18%
CAC(FRA) +6.21%
UKX(GBR) +5.66%
NKY(JPN) +4.36%
SPX(USA) +4.73%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +8.65%
INMEX(MEX) +4.12%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -3.37%
XU030(TUR) +6.45%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +8.88%
SHCOMP(CHN) +4.27%
NIFTY(IND) +3.00%
INDEXCF(RUS) +6.24%
TOP40(ZAF) +5.65%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +9.37%
Natural Gas +4.09%
Heating Oil +3.53%
Ethanol -2.34%
RBOB Gasoline +3.14%
WTI Crude Oil +9.25%
Metals
Copper +4.76%
Silver 5000oz +8.97%
Palladium +5.16%
Platinum +8.59%
Gold 100oz +3.85%

Currencies

USDEUR:-1.48% USDJPY:+0.20%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -8.85%
USDMXN(MEX) -2.69%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.43%
USDTRY(TUR) -3.89%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -6.14%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.19%
USDINR(IND) -1.19%
USDRUB(RUS) -6.23%
USDZAR(ZAF) -4.16%
Agricultural
Cocoa -2.16%
Coffee (Robusta) +3.98%
Cotton +3.77%
Sugar #11 +7.09%
Lean Hogs +1.75%
Lumber +8.36%
Orange Juice +10.30%
Soybean Meal +1.05%
White Sugar +3.09%
Coffee (Arabica) +7.78%
Feeder Cattle +6.87%
Wheat -2.17%
Cattle +8.30%
Corn -1.86%
Soybeans +0.83%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +1.73%
Markit CDX NA HY +2.03%
Markit CDX NA IG -9.85%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -18.19%
Markit iTraxx Australia -11.71%
Markit iTraxx Europe -7.10%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -37.22%
Markit iTraxx Japan -8.18%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -2.20%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.00%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) -6.68%
Not even the Fed knows when it is going to raise rates but that did not prevent the markets to party like its 1999.

Global ETFs (USD)

global.etf.performance.2015-10-01.2015-10-09

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-10-01.2015-10-09

Index Returns

For a deeper dive into indices, check out our weekly Index Update.
index.performance.2015-10-01.2015-10-09

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) +4.84% 74/57
2 +7.45% 83/47
3 +4.50% 76/54
4 +6.77% 74/56
5 +5.63% 74/56
6 +5.99% 71/60
7 +4.23% 71/59
8 +3.29% 74/56
9 +1.77% 66/64
10 (mega) +1.89% 65/66
Green is the color of passion…

Top Winners and Losers

HINDALCO +18.41%
TATAMOTORS +19.71%
VEDL +24.22%
MARUTI -6.64%
IBULHSGFIN -6.62%
RECLTD -3.99%
Have metals finally found a bottom?

ETF Performance

CPSEETF +5.23%
PSUBNKBEES +4.51%
INFRABEES +2.98%
NIFTYBEES +2.86%
BANKBEES +2.65%
GOLDBEES +1.96%
JUNIORBEES +1.59%
Gold finally found some takers…

Yield Curve

yieldCurve.2015-10-01.2015-10-09

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
0 5 -0.02 +0.22%
5 10 -0.04 +0.37%
10 15 -0.04 +0.47%
15 20 -0.03 +0.45%
20 30 -0.04 +0.59%
Bonds continued their rate-cut rally. Plus, FPIs can now buy more.

Investment Theme Performance

Momentum came back with a bang! Pretty much every investment strategy ended this week in the green…

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought for the weekend

  1. High stock prices, just like high house prices, are harbingers of low returns.
  2. Investing in price-depressed residential rental property in Atlanta is like investing in EM equities today—the future expected long-term yield is much superior to their respective high-priced alternatives.
  3. Many parallels exist between the political/economic environment and the relative valuation of U.S. and EM equities in the periods from 1994 to 2002 and 2008 to 2015.
  4. Our forecast of the 10-year real return for U.S. equities is 1% compared to that of EM equities at 8%, now valued at less than half the U.S. CAPE.

Source: Investing versus Flipping

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