Tag: weekly

Weekly Recap: Opiate for the masses

nifty heatmap

The Nify rallied +3.20% (3.62% in USD) as investors chose to ignore the gloom-and-doom surrounding realty and focused on the positives in IT.

Index Performance

index performance

Top winners and losers

ADANIENT +10.79%
RANBAXY +10.80%
DLF +11.06%
COALINDIA -8.87%
GODREJCP -5.49%
HINDALCO -3.22%
It appears that recovery trade is getting underway…

ETFs

BANKBEES +3.79%
PSUBNKBEES +3.70%
JUNIORBEES +3.25%
NIFTYBEES +3.12%
INFRABEES +2.91%
GOLDBEES +0.63%
Bank ETFs rallied and it looks like PSU banks are turning the corner – thanks to Prof. Rajan…

Advancers and Decliners

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

Yields are down on the back of internationalization efforts of the RBI. Although much work needs to done, the markets seem to be giving RBI the benefit of the doubt…

yield curve

Interbank Rates

… and banks are lending freely to each other, as evidenced by the falling MIBOR rates.

interbank rates

Sector Performance

sector performance

Thought for the Weekend

Does social media keep people confused, misled and doped up? Social media keeps us engaged in the activities of semi-imaginary role playing and distracts us from events and action in the real world. As long as we’re busy pretending to be cool or acting outraged online, we won’t be fully present or even really care about legitimate problems. In giving us a chimerical outlet to speak our minds, get distracted playing a role in a game, and get our fix of dopamine, social media is the perfect opiate for keeping the masses deluded and powerless.

Source: The perfect opiate for the masses

Weekly Recap: Time is not money

nifty performance heatmap

The market opened October with a bang, rallying 3% (+5.3% in USD terms).

Index Performance

Pretty much everything except FMCG ended in green.

index performance

Top Winners and Losers

YESBANK +9.74%
SAIL +10.21%
BANKINDIA +10.48%
APOLLOHOSP -4.91%
HINDUNILVR -3.30%
NTPC -3.29%
SAIL away…

ETFs

BANKBEES +5.00%
PSUBNKBEES +2.83%
NIFTYBEES +2.61%
INFRABEES +2.52%
JUNIORBEES +1.12%
GOLDBEES -1.88%
Banks staged an impressive rally…

Advancers and Decliners

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

The curve seems to be normalizing…

india yield curve chart

Interbank Rates

… and so are interbank lending rates.

mibor

Sector Performance

sector performance

Thought for the weekend

Thinking about time has the opposite effect on people from thinking about money. It makes them more honest than normal, rather than less so. Moreover, the more reflective they are, the more honest they become.

Source: Time is not money

Weekly Recap: The fallacy of inept bad guys

Nifty performance

The Nifty ended the week -2.98% (-2.30% in USD terms.) Banks took much of the heat.

Index Performance

index performance

Top Winners and Losers

ZEEL +6.59%
ASHOKLEY +6.74%
APOLLOHOSP +9.39%
YESBANK -14.45%
DLF -12.97%
BANKINDIA -11.42%
Yesbank continued its roller-coaster ride…

ETFs

INFRABEES +2.50%
JUNIORBEES -0.08%
GOLDBEES -0.44%
NIFTYBEES -2.79%
PSUBNKBEES -5.90%
BANKBEES -6.64%
Is infrastructure finally turning the corner or is this a dead-cat bounce after tumbling last week?

Advancers and Decliners

advance decline ratio

Yield Curve

Long term rates ended higher – it looks like the market is pricing in 50bps rate hike?

yield curve

Interbank Rates

The rates that banks charge each other has come down over the last 30 days. Does it mean that the liquidity crunch is nearing an end?

interbank rates

Sector Performance

sector performance

Thought for the Weekend

It means assuming the opposition is a legitimate threat until they prove otherwise, rather than assuming that they’re incompetent. Most of all, it means abandoning the belief that we deserve to win, and instead believing we have to earn all of our victories the hard way.

Source: The fallacy of inept bad guys

Weekly Recap: The Market for Lemons

nifty weekly performance heatmap

Nifty ended the week +2.76% (INR) +5.31% (USD) as both the markets and INR rallied on the back of the non-taper announcement from the US Fed.

Index Performance

Realty took a hit yesterday on the back of RBI’s 25bps rate hike (previously: here)

indexperf.2013-09-13.2013-09-20

Top winners and losers

SRTRANSFIN +13.54%
JSWSTEEL +17.30%
YESBANK +26.62%
RANBAXY -26.98%
GSKCONS -7.04%
BHEL -5.15%
All over the place, as the market tries to make up its mind…

ETFs

BANKBEES +5.05%
JUNIORBEES +3.13%
PSUBNKBEES +2.83%
NIFTYBEES +2.81%
GOLDBEES +1.58%
INFRABEES -4.55%
Banks rallied on the back of “no-taper” but are likely to give up most of their gains as RBI’s tightening stance sinks in…

Advancers and Decliners

adline2.2013-09-13.2013-09-20

Yield Curve

What exactly did the RBI do? Short term-yields have actually come down in spite of the 25bps increase in repo-rate. Ajay Shah tries to explain the head-scratcher here: The RBI has just intensified the muddle.

yieldCurve.2013-09-13.2013-09-20

Sector Performance

sectorperf.2013-09-13.2013-09-20

Thought for the weekend

Markets characterized by asymmetric information between sellers and buyers commonly resulted in declining quality of products offered for sale. In a market where the quality of products for sale is difficult to determine (such as used cars), if the majority of offerings are low quality “lemons,” buyers will come to distrust sellers and drive the average transaction price down to the “lemon price.” In this environment, the sellers of high quality used cars will only be offered lemon prices, since buyers can’t tell the difference. And since lemon prices are below the true value of the high quality vehicles, the sellers of good used cars will choose not to sell, eventually resulting in a market with only lemons being offered for sale.

Source: The market for idiocy

Ginormous USDINR chart

e385268aacd8409fa1847a6a47595868635153561016570285

Weekly Recap: Surprise is information

nifty performance

The Nifty rallied 3% (in INR) and 6.5% (in USD) in a week that saw the rupee rally and hope return to the Indian growth story.

Index Performance

All indices, except for IT, ended the week in green.

index performance

Top Winners and Losers

UNIONBANK +14.84%
PNB +14.87%
BANKINDIA +17.31%
TECHM -5.22%
YESBANK -4.01%
CAIRN -3.58%
You should probably buy this dip in Tech Mahindra…

ETFs

PSUBNKBEES +8.05%
INFRABEES +4.77%
NIFTYBEES +3.12%
BANKBEES +2.71%
JUNIORBEES +2.61%
GOLDBEES -3.14%
PSU Banks retraced most of their losses of the past week. Gold continued to tumble.

Advancers and Decliners

Bulls see hope in the A/D ratio…

advance decline ratio

Yield Curve

Long-term rates rose but the curve continues to be inverted…

yield curve

Sector Performance

Most sectors ended the week in the green…

sector performance

Thought for the weekend

Surprise is information. So an organization that puts all its effort into planning, tracking, monitoring and documenting to minimize surprise and the chance of failure prevents itself from acquiring and spreading information, and consequently from learning.

Source: Why Organizations Should Embrace Randomness Like Ant Colonies