Tag: weekly

Weekly Recap: Everything Has A Price

nifty weekly performance heatmap

The Nifty ended the week +1.72% (+1.53% in USD terms). It was week with a lot of surprises. The market expected the RBI to raise rates but it held steady. The consensus was that the US Fed would hold off tapering but it announced a $10B taper. Three months ago, stock markets around the world fell on taper fears, but rallied when the taper was finally announced.

Index Performance

IT stocks rallied on improving US and Eurozone fundamentals. Glaxo’s buyback offer pushed MNC & Pharma indices.

index weekly performance

Top Winners and Losers

SRTRANSFIN +10.53%
CUMMINSIND +11.18%
GLAXO +19.13%
UBL -4.21%
HDFCBANK -3.67%
JINDALSTEL -3.60%
Cummins can finally be moved to “value in motion” from “value in waiting.”

ETFs

JUNIORBEES +4.08%
INFRABEES +2.36%
NIFTYBEES +1.60%
PSUBNKBEES +1.39%
BANKBEES -1.27%
GOLDBEES -2.07%
Gold is turning out to be a rout this year. Looks like the US Fed has engineered a perfect recovery…

Advancers and Decliners

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

RBI’s decision to hold rates steady lead to a pretty adjustment…

yield curve

Investment Theme Performance

Market elephants had a windfall gain due to Glaxo’s buyback offer. Momentum themes turned in a strong show as well.

*Contributed Themes

Sector Performance

weekly sector performance

Thought for the Weekend

If you thought women disliked randy ads, think again.

When men and women view sex-based ads featuring a cheap watch versus an expensive one, their reactions differ. Men’s reactions don’t vary much, regardless of how much the watch costs. Women, in contrast, strongly dislike the sexual ad when it’s selling a very cheap watch, but they tolerate it when it’s selling a watch that’s expensive.

Source: Women Will Tolerate Sexually Explicit Ads — at the Right Price

Weekly Recap: *This* Much

weekly nifty performance heatmap

The euphoria of anti-Congress soon gave way to the reality of stagflation: Nifty ended the week -1.46% (-2.19% in USD terms)

Index Performance

Risk off… Infra and Banks took it on the chin.

weekly index performance chart

Top Winners and Losers

HCLTECH +4.84%
SSLT +5.27%
INDHOTEL +6.97%
BHEL -9.80%
PFC -9.72%
ADANIENT -9.47%
High beta, industrial and power stocks got thrashed…

ETFs

GOLDBEES -1.00%
NIFTYBEES -1.71%
JUNIORBEES -2.20%
BANKBEES -2.92%
INFRABEES -3.98%
PSUBNKBEES -4.50%
I think this is the first time I’m seeing ALL ETFs in the red… there really was no place to hide except for IT.

Advancers and Decliners

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

Rate hike priced in. The only silver lining is that it has a positive slope…

india yield curve

Investment Theme Performance

*Contributed Themes

Sector Performance

weekly sector performance

Thought for the Weekend

One forecast that is almost certain to be correct is that market forecasts are almost certain to be wrong. As a species, you humans are terrible about making predictions. Forget forecasting big events that are not in your control, such as the economy or the market, you cannot even forecast your own behavior. If you could, the fitness and diet industries would be bankrupt.

Source: Why Do Forecasters Keep Forecasting?
Related: Forecasting is a Sham – Prepare – Don’t Predict!

Weekly Recap: Waste Time Properly

Nifty weekly performance heatmap

The Nifty shot up +1.36% (+2.55% in USD terms)

Index Performance

Cyclical and Bank stocks drove the rally…

Weekly index performance

Top Winners and Losers

JINDALSTEL +9.82%
AXISBANK +10.71%
TATAPOWER +11.19%
GODREJCP -6.56%
HINDUNILVR -5.90%
ASHOKLEY -3.27%
The market is chasing a new dawn… and hoping for a lotus bloom…

ETFs

PSUBNKBEES +5.75%
BANKBEES +5.35%
INFRABEES +3.88%
NIFTYBEES +1.80%
JUNIORBEES +1.77%
GOLDBEES -1.04%
Bye-bye Gold? Also, PSU Banks… really?

Advancers and Decliners

Green/brown shoots for market depth?

advance decline ratio

Yield Curve

Yields actually went up last week. The fixed-income market doesn’t seem to be sharing the stock-market’s enthusiasm…

weekly india yield curve

Interbank Rates

interbank lending rates

Investment Theme Performance

Value and high-beta baskets outperformed momentum. Once again, trend followers are having a tough time…

Sector Performance

weekly sector performance

Thought for the Weekend

If you want your brain to unconsciously process a math problem, it would be better to have the distractor be something totally different, like playing tennis, rather than something similar, like a spatial puzzle.

People who engage in “workplace Internet leisure browsing” are about 9% more productive than those who don’t.

Finally, break time — the last unmanaged part of the workday — will no longer be a waste of time.

Source: How To Waste Time Properly

Weekly Recap: Poverty Thoughts

Nifty weekly performance heatmap

The Nifty shot up +3.01% (+4.05% in USD terms) this week. Midcaps and banks led the way…

Index Performance

index weekly performance

Top Winners and Losers

BHEL +14.00%
CROMPGREAV +15.70%
JPASSOCIAT +16.16%
APOLLOHOSP -4.57%
MPHASIS -3.21%
BHARTIARTL -2.65%
JP Associates did a parabolic up-move… next stop: infinity!

ETFs

BANKBEES +4.50%
NIFTYBEES +2.86%
INFRABEES +2.41%
PSUBNKBEES +2.30%
JUNIORBEES +1.94%
GOLDBEES -0.14%
Banks stole the show, followed by infrastructure… the market might be smelling a turnaround and likes it!

Advancers and Decliners

Can you spot the small uptick in sentiment?

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

india yield curve

Interbank Rates

mibor interbank rates

Investment Theme Performance

High beta outperformed while Velocity lagged… regime change in progress?

Sector Performance

Why in the name of God are textile stocks rallying? I thought we long since ceded to industry to Bangladesh and Vietnam?

india weekly sector performance

Thought for the Weekend

Heart wrenching:

You have to understand that we know that we will never not feel tired. We will never feel hopeful. We will never get a vacation. Ever. We know that the very act of being poor guarantees that we will never not be poor. It doesn’t give us much reason to improve ourselves.

Source: Why I Make Terrible Decisions, or, poverty thoughts

Weekly Recap: Mathematics, Common Sense, and Good Luck

nifty weekly performance heatmap

Nifty ended the week down -1.00% (-0.94% in USD terms). Media and pharma dragged.

Index Performance

weekly index performance

Top winners and losers

MCDOWELL-N +4.67%
CROMPGREAV +4.91%
CUMMINSIND +6.81%
ZEEL -8.67%
SSLT -8.65%
BAJAJ-AUTO -7.15%
Taper much? Bajaj Auto: a parabolic up move followed by an equally swift down-move (what were they smoking?)

ETFs

PSUBNKBEES +1.36%
INFRABEES -0.64%
GOLDBEES -0.65%
JUNIORBEES -0.84%
NIFTYBEES -0.88%
BANKBEES -1.65%
PSU Banks – they are so bad that they are good…

Advancers and Decliners

Have all the weak hands finally been shaken out?

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

india yield curve

Interbank Rates

mibor interbank lending rates

Investment Theme Performance

High beta got crushed, and the market discovered value…

Thought for the weekend

Jim Simons, the founder of Renaissance Technologies:

I’ll tell you some guiding principles that I think would work very well:
One thing I’ve always done is do something new.
Second, collaborate with the best people you possibly can.
Be guided by beauty.
Don’t give up.
Finally, hope for some good luck.

Source: Secret Sauce: Jim Simons on Life and Building a Business