Tag: weekly

Correlation Update 14.02.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Weekly Recap: The Ultimate Equalizer

world.2015-01-30.2015-02-06

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +1.42%
CAC(FRA) +1.88%
UKX(GBR) +1.54%
NKY(JPN) -0.15%
SPX(USA) +2.50%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +1.00%
INMEX(MEX) +4.34%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +1.43%
XU030(TUR) -4.83%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +4.41%
SHCOMP(CHN) -4.19%
NIFTY(IND) -1.68%
INDEXCF(RUS) +6.54%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.40%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +10.69%
Natural Gas -3.56%
Heating Oil +8.80%
Ethanol +3.84%
RBOB Gasoline +9.52%
WTI Crude Oil +9.96%
Metals
Copper +3.17%
Gold 100oz -3.40%
Platinum -1.20%
Silver 5000oz +0.00%
Palladium +1.49%

Currencies

USDEUR:-0.18% USDJPY:+1.44%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.40%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.98%
USDNGN(NGA) +2.87%
USDTRY(TUR) +1.19%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +3.61%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.10%
USDINR(IND) -0.27%
USDRUB(RUS) -4.59%
USDZAR(ZAF) -1.34%
Agricultural
Cotton +3.32%
Feeder Cattle -5.77%
Lean Hogs -5.17%
Cocoa +2.84%
Coffee (Robusta) +0.78%
Orange Juice -2.21%
Soybean Meal -0.30%
Sugar #11 -1.56%
White Sugar -0.23%
Coffee (Arabica) +2.84%
Corn +4.05%
Lumber -1.77%
Soybeans +1.33%
Wheat +4.92%
Cattle +0.87%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.23%
Markit CDX NA HY +0.20%
Markit CDX NA IG -0.16%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -2.37%
Markit iTraxx Australia -1.91%
Markit iTraxx Europe -1.10%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -7.98%
Markit iTraxx Japan -0.66%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +1.02%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.05%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +1.79%
Looks like the dollar rally stalled out and the energy complex got a huge boost. US and European markets ended in the green. Credit narrowed as well.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-01-30.2015-02-06

Index Returns

index performance.2015-01-30.2015-02-06

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-01-30.2015-02-06

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-01-30.2015-02-06

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -1.85% 69/63
2 -0.11% 62/70
3 +0.28% 68/64
4 -0.64% 66/65
5 -0.72% 68/64
6 -0.69% 67/65
7 -1.03% 55/76
8 -0.74% 67/65
9 -2.18% 64/68
10 (mega) -2.59% 64/68
The market sank as a whole…

Top Winners and Losers

HCLTECH +9.09%
CAIRN +9.13%
UPL +16.29%
CROMPGREAV -16.12%
ADANIPORTS -11.98%
HINDPETRO -11.30%
Oil prices staged a smart bounce back: CAIRN #winning, HPCL #loser.

ETF Performance

INFRABEES -0.17%
GOLDBEES -1.12%
CPSEETF -1.44%
NIFTYBEES -1.66%
JUNIORBEES -1.86%
BANKBEES -5.38%
PSUBNKBEES -9.61%
Bank results were a splash of cold water on a market driven by hopium. Will the budget rescue?

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-01-30.2015-02-06

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.02 +0.15%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.07 +0.14%
GSEC SUB 3-8 -0.11 +0.36%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.11 +0.79%
Nothing to do but to clip that coupon and hit the links…

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought for the weekend

One of the hardest parts about investing is that no matter what it is that you buy there will almost certainly be another investor, asset class, sector, fund or security that will be outperforming you at any given point in time. Behavior is the ultimate equalizer in the markets. Most investors will always prefer to invest based on a narratives over evidence.

Source: @awealthofcs

Correlation Update 07.02.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.

Weekly Recap: You would have fired Keynes

world.2015-01-23.2015-01-30

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +0.42%
CAC(FRA) -0.79%
UKX(GBR) -1.22%
NKY(JPN) +0.93%
SPX(USA) -3.20%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -0.65%
INMEX(MEX) -4.70%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -0.84%
XU030(TUR) -2.36%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -3.57%
SHCOMP(CHN) -4.22%
NIFTY(IND) -0.30%
INDEXCF(RUS) -1.44%
TOP40(ZAF) +3.35%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +8.76%
Natural Gas -9.78%
RBOB Gasoline +9.15%
Heating Oil +2.68%
WTI Crude Oil +4.59%
Ethanol -4.48%
Metals
Gold 100oz -1.21%
Platinum -2.23%
Copper -0.39%
Palladium -0.48%
Silver 5000oz -6.52%

Currencies

USDEUR:-0.39% USDJPY:-0.26%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +1.71%
USDMXN(MEX) +2.26%
USDNGN(NGA) -1.49%
USDTRY(TUR) +4.01%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +3.87%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.35%
USDINR(IND) +0.71%
USDRUB(RUS) +8.50%
USDZAR(ZAF) +2.12%
Agricultural
Cattle +2.97%
Soybean Meal -0.93%
White Sugar -2.52%
Cocoa -1.70%
Corn -4.21%
Feeder Cattle -0.83%
Soybeans -1.54%
Coffee (Arabica) +0.56%
Coffee (Robusta) +1.80%
Lumber +4.47%
Wheat -5.64%
Cotton +3.58%
Lean Hogs -2.73%
Orange Juice -4.10%
Sugar #11 -2.50%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -0.47%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.41%
Markit CDX NA IG +0.80%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -2.99%
Markit iTraxx Australia -1.67%
Markit iTraxx Europe +0.81%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +3.18%
Markit iTraxx Japan -2.11%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +0.12%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) +0.02%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +0.38%
India got off lightly in the carnage this week.
US large-cap earnings were weak due to the rapid appreciation of the US Dollar.
Oil found a bid but precious metals were hit.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-01-23.2015-01-30

Index Returns

index performance.2015-01-23.2015-01-30

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-01-23.2015-01-30

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-01-23.2015-01-30

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -8.74% 67/70
2 -7.77% 65/73
3 -4.87% 55/82
4 -4.92% 64/74
5 -2.13% 68/69
6 -3.39% 68/70
7 -0.75% 65/73
8 -0.09% 64/73
9 +0.30% 66/72
10 (mega) +2.15% 69/69
Large caps were the best performers …

Top Winners and Losers

BPCL +10.98%
ADANIENT +11.25%
HINDPETRO +13.91%
UNIONBANK -16.81%
BANKBARODA -13.42%
BANKINDIA -9.53%
Bank earnings were a rude wake-up call about the true state of the current economy. Bad loans from the previous boom continue to haunt financials.

ETF Performance

INFRABEES +1.07%
JUNIORBEES +1.04%
NIFTYBEES +0.31%
GOLDBEES +0.06%
CPSEETF -0.08%
BANKBEES -0.66%
PSUBNKBEES -4.44%
Given how poorly government owned enterprises are managed, why own any PSE at all?

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-01-23.2015-01-30

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB +0.07 +0.13%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.14 +0.06%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.05 +0.09%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.00 +0.21%
Unchanged.

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought for the weekend

John Maynard Keynes was also an extraordinary investor. He was a fundamental, focused investor, similar to Warren Buffett in that he practiced buy and hold in a select group of stock holdings. But even with a small number of holdings he still tried to diversify his risks.

But given the volatility of his returns, there is no way investors would put up with this type of drawdowns in today’s investment world. Keynes would certainly be fired if he were managing money this way today.

Source: Would Keynes Have Been Fired as a Money Manager Today?

Correlation Update 31.01.2015

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one year daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one year daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Bank Nifty one month daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one year daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

Midcap one month daily return correlations

A lot of thick blue squares mean that positive correlations are high. Red squares mean negative correlations are high. Whites are the doldrums.