Tag: ETF

On why passive investing is a risky strategy

If you are buying an investment fund, there are two main strategies you’ll encounter – active management and passive management. Passive investing is essentially the replication of an index or benchmark. For example, buying the NIFTYBEES ETF that replicates the Nifty 50 index. The aim of active investing is to deliver returns that are superior to the stock market that the companies sit within. An actively managed fund can offer you the potential for much higher returns than what a particular market is already providing. The debate as to which of these strategies is better has been raging on for the better part of the last 20 years. Whenever stock-market indices recover from a crash, the debate re-emerges.

The problem with passive investment is that passive management is only theoretically possible.

any evaluation of passive investment funds to be complete should include withdrawal activity during draw-downs, something that can be viewed as active management by the part of the investor imposed on the passive fund.

Also, most funds that call themselves “active” are actually “passive.”

the representation of closet index funds and traditional index funds have risen to the point where they now represent approximately 40% of the active universe—making the exercise of differentiating them from true active managers more important than ever.

Traditional passive investing, using indices weighted according to market capitalisation, works best in the kind of long bull markets that ignore fundamentals, because at the end of the day, you effectively end up buying high and selling low.

Investors should be careful of simplistic arguments and biased data while allocating capital. While I remain a fan of ETFs to get broad-market exposure, it is by no means the be-all-end-all of investment choices.

Sources:
Passive Investing in Stock Indices Involves Substantial Risks
Re-thinking the Active vs. Passive Debate

 

India ETFs 2011 Scorecard

SYMBOL NAME 2011 Performance
KOTAKPSUBK Kotak Mahindra – PSU Bank ETF -42%
PSUBNKBEES Benchmark – PSU Bank ETF -41%
INFRABEES Benchmark – Infrastructure ETF -40%
RELBANK Reliance – Bank ETF -37%
BANKBEES Benchmark – Bank ETF -33%
JUNIORBEES Benchmark – Nifty Junior ETF -32%
M50 Motilal Oswal – M50 ETF -30%
NIFTYBEES Benchmark – Nifty ETF -24%
SHARIABEES Benchmark – Sharia ETF -20%
HNGSNGBEES Benchmark – Hang Seng ETF -3%
GOLDBEES Benchmark – Gold ETF 29%

If you thought a down 25% was bad, Indian banks took it in the chin in 2011. Public Sector Banks lost about 41% while the sector as a whole shed about 33%. So much for “safe” Indian banks. The actively managed Motilal M50 performed worse than the NIFTY. In spite of the year-end weakness, the yellow metal trounced the rest of the market fair and square.

Physical vs. Paper Gold

A London Good Delivery bar, the standard for t...

Image via Wikipedia

ETFs that allow investors to gain exposure to commodities on the stock-market instead of heading over to a futures exchange have seen tremendous growth over the last 5 years. In India, Gold ETFs, like Goldman Sachs’ GOLDBEES and Reliance Mutual’s RELGOLD are exceptionally popular. Given our gold-obsessed culture, it is not every surprising.

The advantages of holding gold in paper form are pretty obvious: no storage costs (save on safety deposit boxes), higher liquidity (sell/buy whenever) and consolidated statements (get your gold exposure along with your equity exposure from your broker).

But what is the catch? It really boils down to why you are buying gold. You definitely can’t wear the GOLDBEES around your neck. But other than for ornaments, people have always looked at gold as a store of value in uncertain times. i.e. disaster insurance. If everything else collapses, well, at least you have your gold that you could (theoretically) barter with. When disaster strikes, good luck trying to convince someone to trade your GOLDBEES.

But if you are not the type of guy who buys gold for insurance and is looking to track the price of gold at a reasonable expense, buy paper. In India, all gold ETFs must be backed by the physical underlying. They cannot stuff it with futures contracts or derivatives and call it a gold ETF. Presently, investment only in physical gold is allowed as per SEBI guidelines.

Gold ETFs, at least in India, are as good as gold.