Author: shyam

Book Review: A First-Class Catastrophe

A First-Class Catastrophe (Amazon,) is about Black Monday – October 19, 1987 – the worst day in Wall Street history when the market fell 22.6%. The author, Diana B. Henriques, presents a thoroughly researched, yet revetting account of why it happened, the key players and why it will happen again.

The actual lesson is that human beings do not cope well in a crisis when speed, complexity, secrecy, and fear all batter our emotions at the same time. We panic — or, most of us do. We are not the cool, rational investors postulated in academic theories, and we never will be.

The problem is that US regulators continue to approach the markets in a piecemeal manner that make wholesome regulations impossible to achieve. As long as they are more focused on protecting their turf, the markets are stuck in a doom loop.

Recommendation: Worth a read.

Asset Allocation

Introduction

How does an equity/bond 2-asset portfolio look like?
Read: Allocating a Two-Asset Portfolio

A three asset portfolio

Indian midcaps + bonds with Nasdaq-100 ETF. Is there a benefit to using portfolio optimization algorithms after taxes and transaction costs are taken into account?
Read: Allocating a Three-Asset Portfolio, Equal Weighted and Allocating a Three-Asset Portfolio, Optimized

Adding gold into the mix

Does gold have a role to play in a systematic, diversified portfolio?
Read: Allocating a Four-Asset Portfolio

Investing in a systematic, diversified portfolio

A ready-to-invest Theme, the EQUAL-III, that takes care of keeping track of everything.
Read: The EQUAL-III Theme

Expected Returns

What are the range of expected SIP returns under prudent asset allocation schemes?
Read: SIP: Expected Returns

Lumpsum or SIP?

Introduction

What are the return profiles of dollar cost averaging (DCA or SIP) vs. one-time (lumpsum) investing?
Read: Lumpsum vs. Dollar Cost Averaging (SIP)

Thinking in probabilities

If you model the returns, how do returns and losses look across lumpsum and SIP investing?
Read: Lumpsum vs. SIP: Thinking in Probabilities

It all depends on when you start and stop

Shuffling returns to generate alternate universes.
Read: The Path Dependency of SIP Returns

Buying the Dip

Introduction

We often hear about “buying the dip.” What exactly is a dip? Is buying the dip better than a daily SIP?
Read: introduction

Using drawdowns to time purchases

What happens if you buy an index only when it is trading 10% below its previous 100-day peak?
Read: Systematic Buy-the-Dip

Using SMA crosses to time purchases

When a lower SMA (say, 3-day) crosses an upper SMA (say, 200-day) an uptrend is identified. What if one only buys when such a crossover occurs?
Read: Systematic Buy-the-Dip, SMA crosses

SIP frequency

Which one is better? Daily SIP or monthly SIP?
Read:StockViz: Daily vs. Monthly SIP