Author: shyam

Review: The Psychology of Technical Analysis

The Psychology of Technical Analysis: Profiting From Crowd Behavior and the Dynamics of PriceWe have discussed various styles of investing, including one based on technical analysis. Technical analysis flies in the face of the efficient-market hypothesis. EMH says that the prices of assets already reflect all past publicly available information. However, by using technical analysis, one is trying to use past data to project future prices, something that wouldn’t be possible under EMH.

Even if EMH were to be true for individuals, people behave differently when they are in groups. Sometimes a person will be relatively individualistic and at other times the same person will be relatively willing to conform to expectations imposed by others. Individual behaviour is not easily predictable, but group behaviour is.

Over the next few posts, I will be reviewing chapters, in sequence, of the book: The Psychology of Technical Analysis. Hope you will join me in the journey towards discovering the secrets of technical analysis!

Enhanced by Zemanta

Appetite for Indian IPOs wanes

The amount of money raised through initial public offerings in India has fallen by more than 80 per cent year on year. In the past six months there have been 22 listings in India, raising a combined $780m – down on the same period last year when just over $4bn was raised in India through 28 IPOs. This could be because of heightened PE activity, with players looking to preempt companies from going public.

Read more about IPO performance here.

Source: Appetite for Indian IPOs wanes – FT.com.

5 Measures to Ignore

The New York Times of November 10, 1919, repor...

Image via Wikipedia

Previously, we had discussed what to look for while buying stocks. Irrespective of whether you are fundamental or technical investor, there are some key metrics that you should follow to screen stocks. However, even though some metrics have complicated math, they can be completely misleading when it comes to their predictive power. 

Measures like Beta, Analyst Recommendations, P/E and PEG typically have very little bearing to how the stock eventually performs. To read more about the 5 measures to ignore while screening stocks, hop on over to Smart Money here.

Enhanced by Zemanta