Author: shyam

Quick! Throw your money away now!

Are we witnessing the rise Neo-Socialism? The words change, the data-set is new, but the story remains the same:

 

With globalisation, the share going to labour has withered everywhere, in countries as diverse as China, India, the UK, USA and Norway. In the future, the only way those relying on labour could raise their living standards will be by sharing the rental income gained by finance and capital investment in the global economy. We must imagine a new system of distribution, in which the whole of society receives a share of the rental income currently being taken wholly by financial capital.

 

Plus, there is a new acronym to be worried about, ESC (Economic Stabilisation Credit) aka individual, unconditional basic income.

Read the whole thing here.

Because three heads are better than one

I have been compiling and maintaining different investment themes for a while now. We have the Quant and Story themes that reflect investment strategies that have proved to be successful over different time-horizons and market conditions. I am proud to introduce a couple of themes that have come from contributors outside of StockViz. Now users of StockViz will benefit from different perspectives that outsiders bring.

Velocity

The Velocity Theme is an equally weighted momentum theme that will be re-balanced at most once a month. Our own home-grown Momentum 200 Theme uses an efficiently weighted portfolio and ignores stocks that have split over last year. It will be interesting to see how a slight tweaking of momentum setups impact performance over the long term.

Long Term Equity

The Long Term Equity Theme is a portfolio of stocks and ETFs for an extremely long time-horizon. “Set it and forget it” if you will. I am thrilled to have someone who thinks with a different hat – we are mostly quantitative in our approach, even our fundamental analysis is quantitative. But that doesn’t mean that a long-term buy-and-forget approach will not work.

You can follow each of themes by clicking on the “Follow” button under each of these themes.

Most loved and hated stocks by funds

Is there value in knowing what stocks were bought and sold by mutual funds?

We took a look at stocks that were exited by mutual funds and we ranked them according to the market value dumped. The 10 most hated stocks:

 

NTPC [stockquote]NTPC[/stockquote]
COALINDIA [stockquote]COALINDIA[/stockquote]
IDEA [stockquote]IDEA[/stockquote]
PETRONET [stockquote]PETRONET[/stockquote]
RELIANCE [stockquote]RELIANCE[/stockquote]
HEXAWARE [stockquote]HEXAWARE[/stockquote]
CAIRN [stockquote]CAIRN[/stockquote]
BAJAJ-AUTO [stockquote]BAJAJ-AUTO[/stockquote]
BALKRISIND [stockquote]BALKRISIND[/stockquote]
EXIDEIND [stockquote]EXIDEIND[/stockquote]
POWERGRID [stockquote]POWERGRID[/stockquote]

 

And similarly, the 10 most loved stocks:

AXISBANK [stockquote]AXISBANK[/stockquote]
BHARTIARTL [stockquote]BHARTIARTL[/stockquote]
WIPRO [stockquote]WIPRO[/stockquote]
TATASTEEL [stockquote]TATASTEEL[/stockquote]
RANBAXY [stockquote]RANBAXY[/stockquote]
DRREDDY [stockquote]DRREDDY[/stockquote]
SSLT [stockquote]SSLT[/stockquote]
INGVYSYABK [stockquote]INGVYSYABK[/stockquote]
MRF [stockquote]MRF[/stockquote]
BHARATFORG [stockquote]BHARATFORG[/stockquote]

Its still early days to see if fund decisions have any meaningful impact after disclosure. We’ll keep you posted!

Note:

 

  1. Portfolio data as-of 2013-10-31
  2. Only open ended funds that were in the “accumulation” phase were considered
  3. Funds named “growth” and with the “direct” option alone were considered
  4. Market value as-of closing 2013-10-31

 

Sunday Long Reads

How can God be sure that this no Super-God?

There’s a strong instinct to abdicate that responsibility – to look at things like global warming, poverty, environmental destruction, human misery in all its forms and say “God will take care of that.” The truth is, whether you like it or not, it’s all on you. The responsibility for those weaker than yourself is not on God’s or the free market’s or history’s or evolution’s head, it’s on your head.

Noah Smith: God and SuperGod

Privatization of Natural Monopolies

Textbook arguments in favor of privatization: Lower prices. Better service. Greater simplicity. Increased investment in infrastructure. More consumer choice.

Reality: The Average Russian, as opposed to the 135 oligarchs controlling 40% of Russia’s wealth, would have been better off had The Party remained in power.

So, the next time somebody tries to convince you of the benefits of privatizing your natural monopoly, remember that, adapting Frank Zappa’s apt words, there is a big difference between kneeling down before the altar of privatization and bending over.

Freedom To Choose (…to be buggered)

German vs. Swedish approach to prostitution

Germany: enacted a law to remove the stigma from sex work by giving prostitutes full rights to health insurance, pensions and other benefits. Employing sex-workers and providing them with a venue became legal. The idea was that responsible employers running safe and clean brothels would drive pimps out of the market.

Sweden: made it criminal to pay for sex (pimping was already a crime). By stigmatising not the prostitutes but the men who paid them, even putting them in jail, the Swedes hoped to come close to eliminating prostitution.

A giant Teutonic brothel

America: A case of secular stagnation?

During the period 1960-85, when the U.S. economy seemed able to achieve full employment without bubbles, our labor force grew an average 2.1% annually. In part this reflected the maturing of the baby boomers, in part the move of women into the labor force.

Now look forward. The Census projects that the population aged 18 to 64 will grow at an annual rate of only 0.2% between 2015 and 2025. Unless labor force participation not only stops declining but starts rising rapidly again, this means a slower-growth economy, and thanks to the accelerator effect, lower investment demand.

Secular Stagnation, Coalmines, Bubbles, and Larry Summers

The 8 Qualities of Cultured People

What is needed is constant work, day and night, constant reading, study, will… Every hour is precious for it.

Anton Chekhov on the 8 Qualities of Cultured People