Monthly Recap: April Angst

world.2016-03-31.2016-04-29

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +0.74%
CAC(FRA) +1.00%
UKX(GBR) +1.08%
NKY(JPN) -0.55%
SPX(USA) +0.22%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -0.14%
INMEX(MEX) +0.12%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -0.96%
XU030(TUR) +2.39%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +7.81%
SHCOMP(CHN) -2.18%
NIFTY(IND) +1.44%
INDEXCF(RUS) +4.38%
TOP40(ZAF) +0.72%

Commodities

Energy
Natural Gas +9.63%
Brent Crude Oil +19.35%
WTI Crude Oil +18.78%
Ethanol +7.67%
Heating Oil +16.52%
RBOB Gasoline +12.21%
Metals
Gold 100oz +4.91%
Silver 5000oz +16.23%
Palladium +9.91%
Copper +3.65%
Platinum +10.43%

Currencies

USDEUR:-0.56% USDJPY:-5.32%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.45%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.99%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.03%
USDTRY(TUR) -0.91%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -4.40%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.38%
USDINR(IND) +0.12%
USDRUB(RUS) -3.34%
USDZAR(ZAF) -3.57%
Agricultural
Cattle -13.57%
Lean Hogs +14.21%
Soybean Meal +22.41%
Feeder Cattle -10.82%
Wheat +1.48%
Coffee (Arabica) -5.56%
Coffee (Robusta) +5.78%
Corn +11.55%
Cotton +8.51%
Lumber -5.54%
Orange Juice -12.86%
Soybeans +12.23%
Sugar #11 +6.16%
Cocoa +7.24%
White Sugar +5.30%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.60%
Markit CDX NA HY +0.89%
Markit CDX NA IG -4.40%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -6.15%
Markit iTraxx Australia -9.74%
Markit iTraxx Europe -1.61%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -9.50%
Markit iTraxx Japan -21.20%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +0.33%
An eventful month with the RBI cutting rates, ICICI dropping a bomb, BOJ holding off on more QE and oil recovering…

International ETFs (USD)

global.etf.performance.2016-03-31.2016-04-29

Nifty Heatmap

NIFTY 50.2016-03-31.2016-04-29

Index Returns

index.performance.2016-03-31.2016-04-29

Market Cap Decile Performance

deciles.perf.2016-04-29

Top Winners and Losers

UPL +12.60%
DLF +12.85%
VEDL +15.53%
NHPC -14.49%
BHARATFORG -8.59%
UBL -7.88%
High beta stocks rebounded from Jan/Feb lows…

ETF Performance

GOLDBEES +5.98%
BANKBEES +3.70%
JUNIORBEES +3.05%
INFRABEES +2.94%
CPSEETF +2.69%
PSUBNKBEES +1.03%
NIFTYBEES +0.49%
Is infra the next story?

Yield Curve

yieldCurve.2016-03-31.2016-04-29

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
0 5 -0.05 +0.77%
5 10 -0.06 +0.92%
10 15 -0.04 +0.94%
15 20 -0.12 +1.75%
20 30 -0.08 +1.50%
Bonds rebounded…

Investment Theme Performance

Midcap recovery under way…

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Institutional flows

FII’s seen renewing their love affair with Indian bonds…

fii-investments.2014-01-01.2016-04-29

dii-investments.2014-01-01.2016-04-29

US Treasuries

Gilts are in the process of normalizing.
ust-ind-10yr-spread.2014-01-01

Is spread between 2s and 10s calling a bluff on a Fed rate hike?

ust-yield-curve.2s10s

Thought to sum up the month

Chance plays a far larger role in life outcomes than most people realize. And yet, the luckiest among us appear especially unlikely to appreciate our good fortune. Wealthy people overwhelmingly attribute their own success to hard work rather than to factors like luck or being in the right place at the right time.

That’s troubling, because seeing ourselves as self-made—rather than as talented, hardworking, and lucky—leads us to be less generous and public-spirited. It may even make the lucky less likely to support the conditions (such as high-quality public infrastructure and education) that made their own success possible.

Source: Why Luck Matters More Than You Might Think

What I read this month

What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars:
_20160501_111546

Amazon