Weekly Recap: Leadering

world.2015-03-05.2015-03-13

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +3.46%
CAC(FRA) +0.95%
UKX(GBR) -3.17%
NKY(JPN) +2.68%
SPX(USA) -2.10%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -0.45%
INMEX(MEX) +1.43%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +1.17%
XU030(TUR) -5.02%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -3.26%
SHCOMP(CHN) +3.83%
NIFTY(IND) -3.24%
INDEXCF(RUS) -7.54%
TOP40(ZAF) -2.62%

Commodities

Energy
Heating Oil -9.11%
RBOB Gasoline -6.43%
WTI Crude Oil -12.16%
Brent Crude Oil -10.01%
Ethanol -5.40%
Natural Gas -3.75%
Metals
Gold 100oz -4.17%
Palladium -3.70%
Platinum -5.31%
Copper +0.75%
Silver 5000oz -3.70%

Currencies

USDEUR:+4.98% USDJPY:+1.01%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +1.66%
USDMXN(MEX) +1.68%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.06%
USDTRY(TUR) +0.99%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +7.61%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.12%
USDINR(IND) +1.28%
USDRUB(RUS) +2.23%
USDZAR(ZAF) +5.29%
Agricultural
Coffee (Robusta) -9.60%
Cotton -4.92%
Soybean Meal +0.75%
Soybeans -0.77%
Cattle -0.03%
Lumber -5.63%
Orange Juice -3.39%
Sugar #11 -4.84%
Wheat +5.67%
Coffee (Arabica) -3.41%
Lean Hogs -7.64%
Cocoa -2.97%
Corn -2.21%
Feeder Cattle +3.22%
White Sugar -2.66%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM -1.16%
Markit CDX NA HY -0.13%
Markit CDX NA IG +3.42%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG +6.08%
Markit iTraxx Australia +1.60%
Markit iTraxx Europe -0.90%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover -9.29%
Markit iTraxx Japan -0.06%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe -2.06%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.02%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) +2.18%
The markets threw a taper tantrum with rising rates in the US almost a certainty this year.
QE pushed the Euro down to ~parity vs. the US Dollar.
It was a bad week for the commodity complex as well as the rise in USD pummeled pretty much everything.

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2015-03-05.2015-03-13

Index Returns

index performance.2015-03-05.2015-03-13

Sector Performance

sector performance.2015-03-05.2015-03-13

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2015-03-05.2015-03-13

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -4.85% 66/68
2 -2.91% 61/72
3 -1.30% 64/69
4 -0.80% 67/67
5 +0.51% 64/69
6 -0.18% 62/71
7 +1.14% 68/66
8 +0.52% 69/64
9 +0.37% 66/67
10 (mega) -1.01% 62/72
A bit of green in the belly of the beast but red in the large- and small-cap zones.

Top Winners and Losers

CONCOR +12.25%
BHARTIARTL +15.05%
IDEA +21.36%
HINDALCO -11.07%
LICHSGFIN -9.69%
ADANIENT -9.34%
Not a good week for high-beta. Telecom stocks rallied…

ETF Performance

INFRABEES +3.79%
JUNIORBEES -0.43%
CPSEETF -1.34%
GOLDBEES -2.67%
NIFTYBEES -3.13%
PSUBNKBEES -3.71%
BANKBEES -4.79%
Banks and financials got beat up pretty bad…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-03-05.2015-03-13

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.05 +0.19%
GSEC SUB 1-3 +0.20 +0.04%
GSEC SUB 3-8 +0.27 -0.76%
GSEC SUB 8 +0.18 -1.32%
The long-end of the curve wilted – given the rate of revisions in GDP estimates, our policy makers are more or less flying blind. Not a comforting thought if you are a bond investor.

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought for the weekend

Human leadership is almost entirely leadering. It is:
90% flying starling bullshit that just looks meaningful,
9% poorly calibrated goose-like navigational inertia reflecting ancient realities that have almost certainly shifted, and
1% lion-like roaring and posturing by a charismatic few.

Leaders like to call the three elements agility, mission and vision.

Source: The Art of Agile Leadership