Weekly Recap: 8 Truths

world equity markets 2014-07-18.2014-07-25

The Nifty posted a decent +1.65% this week (+1.96% in USD) in spite of Friday’s sell off.

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) -0.78%
CAC(FRA) -0.11%
UKX(GBR) +0.62%
NKY(JPN) +1.59%
SPX(USA) +0.16%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +0.04%
INMEX(MEX) +0.70%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -1.41%
XU030(TUR) +2.49%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +1.15%
SHCOMP(CHN) +3.28%
NIFTY(IND) +1.65%
INDEXCF(RUS) -2.43%
TOP40(ZAF) -0.37%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +1.03%
Ethanol +1.91%
Heating Oil +2.17%
Natural Gas -4.23%
RBOB Gasoline +0.10%
WTI Crude Oil -1.26%
Metals
Copper +1.89%
Gold 100oz -1.08%
Palladium -0.19%
Platinum -0.50%
Silver 5000oz +0.00%

Currencies

USDEUR:+0.73% USDJPY:+0.47%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.32%
USDMXN(MEX) -0.10%
USDNGN(NGA) -0.09%
USDTRY(TUR) -1.39%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +0.10%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.26%
USDINR(IND) -0.30%
USDRUB(RUS) +0.03%
USDZAR(ZAF) -1.23%
Agricultural
Cattle +4.70%
Cocoa +2.80%
Coffee (Arabica) +9.03%
Coffee (Robusta) +1.09%
Corn -2.42%
Cotton -5.41%
Feeder Cattle +2.91%
Lean Hogs -2.67%
Lumber +0.06%
Orange Juice -3.14%
Soybean Meal +4.63%
Soybeans +2.82%
Sugar #11 +1.00%
Wheat +1.22%
White Sugar -0.47%

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY heatmap.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

Index Returns

index performance.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Advance/Decline
1 (micro-cap) -6.16% 68/66
2 -0.32% 62/72
3 -3.25% 60/74
4 -0.68% 62/72
5 +0.39% 70/64
6 -2.19% 60/74
7 +0.03% 65/69
8 -1.79% 60/74
9 -0.05% 66/68
10 (mega-cap) +1.07% 70/64
Most of the market performance was centered around large-caps.

Top Winners and Losers

HDFC +8.62%
ASIANPAINT +9.81%
GLENMARK +11.84%
CAIRN -10.61%
CROMPGREAV -8.26%
DLF -7.35%
A dick move by Cairn sent its stock reeling. After insisting that it need the cash for expansion (and not paying it out in dividends and being less than honest about its buyback), it loans $1.25 billion to Vedanta. Independent directors sleeping at the wheel as usual.

ETFs

NIFTYBEES +1.47%
BANKBEES +0.09%
INFRABEES -0.79%
JUNIORBEES -1.64%
GOLDBEES -1.70%
PSUBNKBEES -4.69%
Banks vs. PSU banks – its a walk off!

Investment Theme Performance

We have this thing called “Refract” going on where we plan to take the NSE equity only portion of a mutual fund’s portfolio and setup an equally weighted theme. Its a live experiment, so follow along…

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

Advance Decline

advance.decline.line2.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

July Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.JUL.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

August Nifty OI

nifty.puts.calls.AUG.2014-07-18.2014-07-25

Thought for the weekend

8 things that you understand intellectually, but don’t accept in reality.

  1. Anyone can outperform at any time, no one can outperform all the time.
  2. Persistence of performance is nearly non-existent.
  3. Taxes and commissions matter.
  4. Smart doesn’t equal good.
  5. Incentives matter.
  6. The crowd is always at its most wrong at the worst possible time.
  7. Fear is significantly more powerful than greed.
  8. There is no pleasure without the potential for pain.

Source: Truths Investors Simply Cannot Accept