Weekly Recap: Complex Adaptive

Equities

world equity markets 2014-04-17.2014-04-25

Another flat week for the Nifty (-1.15% in USD terms.)

Major
DAX(DEU) -0.09%
CAC(FRA) +0.27%
UKX(GBR) +0.91%
NKY(JPN) -1.22%
SPX(USA) -0.08%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) -0.26%
INMEX(MEX) -1.97%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -1.09%
XU030(TUR) -3.25%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -1.37%
SHCOMP(CHN) -2.60%
NIFTY(IND) +0.05%
INDEXCF(RUS) -5.63%
TOP40(ZAF) +0.93%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +0.13%
Ethanol +2.92%
Heating Oil -0.56%
Natural Gas -2.07%
RBOB Gasoline +0.79%
WTI Crude Oil -3.36%
Metals
Copper +1.63%
Gold 100oz +0.52%
Palladium +1.30%
Platinum +0.27%
Silver 5000oz +1.02%

Currencies

USDEUR:-0.18% USDJPY:-0.43%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +1.16%
USDMXN(MEX) +0.61%
USDNGN(NGA) -1.20%
USDTRY(TUR) +0.15%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +0.31%
USDCNY(CHN) +0.45%
USDINR(IND) +0.50%
USDRUB(RUS) +1.31%
USDZAR(ZAF) +1.56%
Agricultural
Cattle +0.59%
Cocoa -1.98%
Coffee (Arabica) +1.20%
Coffee (Robusta) +0.76%
Corn +1.92%
Cotton +3.23%
Feeder Cattle +0.88%
Lean Hogs -2.19%
Lumber +2.60%
Orange Juice -2.05%
Soybean Meal +0.41%
Soybeans -1.09%
Sugar #11 +2.94%
Wheat +1.38%
White Sugar +2.87%

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY heatmap 2014-04-17.2014-04-25

Index returns

index performance 2014-04-17.2014-04-25

Top winners and losers

CONCOR +10.64%
M&MFIN +10.65%
YESBANK +12.30%
WIPRO -11.37%
CAIRN -9.18%
CROMPGREAV -6.88%
Wipro tanked on muted outlook. L&T Finance and YES Bank and exploring a merger…

ETFs

PSUBNKBEES +6.75%
JUNIORBEES +2.30%
GOLDBEES +2.14%
BANKBEES +1.94%
NIFTYBEES +0.37%
INFRABEES -9.69%
PSU banks continued to tick up…

Investment Theme Performance

Nice to see all investment strategies end in green this week!

Sector performance

sector performance 2014-04-17.2014-04-25

Yield Curve

What is going on in the short end of the curve?

yield Curve 2014-04-17.2014-04-25

Weekend Reading

Weather is a complex system. The act of predicting does not influence the outcome. Although near-term weather is extremely complex, with many interacting parts leading to higher order outcomes, it does have an element of predictability.

The stock-market is a complex adaptive system. Traders and investors in the market are interacting with one another constantly and adapting their behavior to what they know about others’ behavior. The key element of a complex adaptive system is the social element.

Source: Musings on stock-market forecasts

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