Strategy Performance Roundup

We have been tracking different investment strategies through our Themes – a handy way to create, track and allocate capital to different investment strategies. As our frequent readers know, we do a “doodh ka doodh pani ka pani” theme whenever analysts come out with portfolio recommendations. Add to the mix our own value and quantitative strategies, and we have a fairly wide array of investment options for investors to choose from.

Here’s a roundup of how the different Themes performed, and the performance of ETFs over the same time-frame. Because at the end of the day, if the Nifty ETF out-performs the bheja-fry, why bother?

Three Months

From 2013-9-13 to 2013-12-13

Value strategies are usually perceived to require a long time to pan out. But our Quality-to-Price portfolio left the nearest competitor in the dust. Also, you got rewarded for going down the market-cap tables.

Should you have invested in ETFs, these are the returns over the same period.

BANKBEES +11.56%
JUNIORBEES +10.57%
PSUBNKBEES +10.08%
NIFTYBEES +5.64%
INFRABEES +2.82%
GOLDBEES +1.71%
Not bad, but not very encouraging to the efficient market hypothesizers.

Two Months

From 2013-10-15 to 2013-12-13

Mid-caps continued to out-perform large-caps. But cheap stocks were probably getting fully-priced at this point.

Should you have invested in ETFs, these are the returns over the same period.

PSUBNKBEES +15.93%
BANKBEES +9.91%
JUNIORBEES +4.38%
NIFTYBEES +1.53%
GOLDBEES +0.20%
PSU Banks caught a bid after getting hammered relentlessly for over a year. But even the Junior Nifty couldn’t beat a quantitative or hand-crafted portfolio.

One month

From 2013-11-14 to 2013-12-13

Should you have invested in ETFs, these are the returns over the same period.

BANKBEES +5.11%
PSUBNKBEES +4.72%
NIFTYBEES +2.01%
INFRABEES +1.50%
JUNIORBEES +0.61%
GOLDBEES -2.82%
Very little to talk about here except point out that during all three periods, gold was the worst investment to make.

Conclusions

Well, three months is a very small window to draw any meaningful conclusions but here are some observations:

  1. Quantitative Value had 2 in the top 5 performers over the last 3 and 2 months. It is as close to “Investing Without Emotions” that you will ever get.
  2. ETFs turned in some very meh returns.
  3. Banks and mid-caps have been out-performing.
  4. Gold lost its luster – but don’t tell that to Indian house-wives 🙂