Weekly Recap: The Fallacy of Success

nifty 50 weekly performance heatmap

The Nifty ended the week +1.53% (1.33% in USD terms) largely driven by the metal and energy complex.

Index Performance

index performance chart

Top winners and losers

TATASTEEL +6.82%
BPCL +6.86%
JPASSOCIAT +18.36%
BANKINDIA -6.93%
PFC -5.83%
CANBK -5.42%
It would appear that a “reflation” trade is underway…

ETFs

GOLDBEES +2.89%
BANKBEES +1.69%
NIFTYBEES +1.45%
JUNIORBEES -0.60%
INFRABEES -1.85%
PSUBNKBEES -5.25%
Gold was all over the map this week but PSU Banks got punished…

Advancers and Decliners

advancers and decliners

Yield Curve

The curve seems to be pricing in a rate hike, given high inflation numbers…

yield curve chart

Interbank Rates

… with 3-month bank-to-bank lending still around 10%

mibor interbank rate chart

Sector performance

sector performance chart

Investment theme performance

A roundup of Investment Theme performance this week.

Thought for the weekend

It is perfectly obvious that in any decent occupation (such as bricklaying or writing books) there are only two ways (in any special sense) of succeeding. One is by doing very good work, the other is by cheating. Both are much too simple to require any literary explanation. If you are in for the high jump, either jump higher than any one else, or manage somehow to pretend that you have done so. If you want to succeed at whist, either be a good whist-player, or play with marked cards. You may want a book about jumping; you may want a book about whist; you may want a book about cheating at whist. But you cannot want a book about Success. Especially you cannot want a book about Success such as those which you can now find scattered by the hundred about the book-market. You may want to jump or to play cards; but you do not want to read wandering statements to the effect that jumping is jumping, or that games are won by winners.

Source: The Fallacy of Success