The Psychology of Technical Analysis: Ch. 12-13

There are three categories of price patterns that yield profitable signals.

Trend-line break

This signal is given when the market price level penetrates the extension of a straight line drawn through successive troughs (in a rising market) or successive peaks (in a falling market).

EMC Corp. (EMC) Trend example chart from StockCharts.com

 

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Trend example chart from StockCharts.com

 

Head and Shoulders

CNET Networks, Inc. (CNET) Head and Shoulders Top example chart from StockChartsThe H&S formation is similar in shape to a silhouette of a person’s head and shoulders. In the case of a top formation, the ‘left shoulder’ is formed by the period of price weakness just prior to the market moving to a new high; the ‘head’ is formed by the new high itself; and the ‘right shoulder’ is formed by a period of price strength just after the new height. The base of both the left and right shoulder occur at roughly the same price levels – you can draw a ‘neckline’ between the two. A sell signal is generated when prices penetrate the neckline.

Multiple top/bottom

Gillette Co. (G) Double Top Reversal example chart from StockCharts.com

A trading signal is generated when the price bounces away from a particular level at least twice. At market peaks, such a pattern is called the double top.

This is one of a series of posts reviewing The Psychology of Technical Analysis by Tony Plummer.

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