Monthly Recap: Rationality vs. Institutional Imperative

Equities

world equity markets 2014-04-30.2014-05-30

The Nifty pitched in with a +7.97% bump (+10.35% in USD terms)

Major
DAX(DEU) +3.54%
CAC(FRA) +0.72%
UKX(GBR) +0.95%
NKY(JPN) +2.29%
SPX(USA) +2.40%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +1.11%
INMEX(MEX) +2.27%
NGSEINDX(NGA) +7.77%
XU030(TUR) +7.85%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) -0.25%
SHCOMP(CHN) +0.63%
NIFTY(IND) +7.97%
INDEXCF(RUS) +9.65%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.91%

Commodities

Energy
Brent Crude Oil +1.35%
Ethanol +4.87%
Heating Oil -1.51%
Natural Gas -5.54%
RBOB Gasoline -1.18%
WTI Crude Oil +3.40%
Metals
Copper +3.96%
Gold 100oz -3.39%
Palladium +3.27%
Platinum +1.79%
Silver 5000oz -2.08%

Currencies

USDEUR:+1.73% USDJPY:-0.42%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) +0.99%
USDMXN(MEX) -1.73%
USDNGN(NGA) -1.36%
USDTRY(TUR) -0.88%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) +0.13%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.20%
USDINR(IND) -2.04%
USDRUB(RUS) -2.15%
USDZAR(ZAF) +0.52%
Agricultural
Cattle -5.59%
Cocoa +6.21%
Coffee (Arabica) -13.98%
Coffee (Robusta) -10.70%
Corn -9.49%
Cotton -9.02%
Feeder Cattle +8.98%
Lean Hogs -3.53%
Lumber -7.36%
Orange Juice +2.80%
Soybean Meal -0.75%
Soybeans -2.53%
Sugar #11 +0.58%
Wheat -11.99%
White Sugar -1.45%

Nifty Heatmap

CNX NIFTY.2014-04-30.2014-05-30

Index Performance

index performance.2014-04-30.2014-05-30

Top Winners and Losers

DLF +49.91%
SSLT +51.31%
PFC +58.80%
DRREDDY -9.07%
GLENMARK -8.61%
DIVISLAB -7.68%
Pharma got whacked badly… it was a real estate and industrial show…

ETFs

INFRABEES +28.66%
PSUBNKBEES +23.23%
JUNIORBEES +14.23%
BANKBEES +13.71%
NIFTYBEES +7.57%
GOLDBEES -10.54%
Like a rocket…

Investment Theme Performance

Every single investment strategy ended in the green…

Sector Performance

sector performance.2014-04-30.2014-05-30

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2014-04-30.2014-05-30

Interbank lending rates

mibor.30days.2014-05-30

Thought to sum up the month

Warren Buffett:

My most surprising discovery: the overwhelming importance in business of an unseen force that we might call “the institutional imperative.”

For example:

  1. As if governed by Newton’s First Law of Motion, an institution will resist any change in its current direction;
  2. Just as work expands to fill available time, corporate projects or acquisitions will materialize to soak up available funds;
  3. Any business craving of the leader, however foolish, will be quickly supported by detailed rate-of-return and strategic studies prepared by his troops; and
  4. the behavior of peer companies, whether they are expanding, acquiring, setting executive compensation or whatever, will be mindlessly imitated.

Source: Warren Buffett: These were my biggest early mistakes