Forensics: NIFTY Options

Charting options is a tough task. The price of the option is probably the last thing that is important. Implied volatility (IV), underlying volatility (σ) and option greeks play a big part in putting on successful option trades. We ran a tool that we developed on ATM Nifty options that tries to capture most of these moving parts.

2013-01-31 Nifty Call Analysis

Observe:

  • Theta (θ) declines.
  • Vega declines.
  • Rho converges to zero.
  • Call Delta is, on an average, around 0.54 (std. dev. of 0.075)
  • Call IV has been stable and decreasing since January this year: (0.150260, 0.149456, 0.147249, 0.136280)

Nifty Call Delta and IV

Nifty Put Delta and IV

March 2014 charts

Calls
2014-03-27.CE

Puts
2014-03-27.PE

Pictures say a thousand words, don’t they? Stay tuned for more.