{"id":886861,"date":"2013-05-06T14:01:09","date_gmt":"2013-05-06T08:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=886861"},"modified":"2013-05-06T14:01:09","modified_gmt":"2013-05-06T08:31:09","slug":"the-money-and-bond-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2013\/05\/06\/the-money-and-bond-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"The Money and Bond Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over the next couple of weeks, we\u2019ll explore the money markets and bond markets. There\u2019s a lot to cover in this topic! Let\u2019s start with some terms and concepts used in the fixed income space. Reference for this post is \u2018An Introduction to Global Financial Markets\u2019 by Stephen Valdez.<\/p>\n<h3>The Rate of Interest<\/h3>\n<p>So far, we\u2019ve talked casually of the rate of interest for borrowing and lending. Of course, there\u2019s more to it that that\u2026for one, the rate of interest is not fixed, it differs for different borrowers. Naturally, the rate of interest of borrowing for the government might be less than that for private companies. Additionally, the rate changed for a short term loan might be lesser than a loan of a long duration.<\/p>\n<h3>Risk<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/File:The_risk_pool.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"zemanta-img-inserted zemanta-img-configured alignleft\" title=\"The Risk Pool\" alt=\"The Risk Pool\" src=\"http:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/en\/0\/09\/The_risk_pool.jpg\" width=\"100\" height=\"149\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Put quite simply, a lender will feel more confident lending to a government than to a private company. After all, the government is unlikely to default on its payment (though it has been known to happen!). Thus, the government rate becomes the benchmark rate for other companies. For example, an American corporate wishing to borrow for say, 3 months, may be expected to pay <i>\u2018Treasuries plus 1%\u2019 <\/i>meaning 1% more than the current rate for US government Treasury bills. You might also here this referred to as <i>\u2018Treasuries plus 90 bps\u2019<\/i>. What does bps mean? Bps stands for <i>basis points<\/i> and a <i>basis point <\/i>is 1\/100 of a percentage point. Therefore, 50bps = 0.5%. The difference between any given rate and the benchmark US government rate will be called the <i>spread <\/i>or <i>\u2018the spread over Treasuries\u2019<\/i>.<\/p>\n<h3>Maturity<\/h3>\n<p>Theoretically speaking, lenders will expect a higher rate of interest for lending money for 5 years than for 3 months. This relationship between the rate of interest and time is called the <i>yield curve<\/i>.<\/p>\n<h3>Yield<\/h3>\n<p><i>Yield <\/i>is a very important term in finance. <i>Yield<\/i> is the return on investment expressed as an annual percentage. We\u2019ll get back to what yield is after tackling some related concepts.<\/p>\n<h3>Par\/Nominal Value<\/h3>\n<p>Bonds have a <i>par<\/i> or <i>nominal value<\/i>. This is the <i>principal<\/i> amount on which the rate of interest is based and which will be repaid at maturity. Let\u2019s take an example. You buy a bond with a par value of $100 with a maturity of 10 years and interest rate of 10%. You would think the yield on this bond would be 10%, right? You would be right only if you don\u2019t consider the secondary market in this picture.<\/p>\n<p>Suppose, 2 years later you decide to sell the bond as you need some money. However, the interest rate has changed in the interim. Now the interest rate for similar governments bonds is 12.5%. When you try to sell your bond with 10% interest rate in the market, no one would be willing to pay $100 for it, when they can get the same bond in the market with a higher return. They might be willing to pay you $80 because your bond pays $10 per year (10% interest) and $10 is 12.5% of $80 giving a comparable yield to that available in the market. The market price of your bond is less than the par value you paid for it to give the desired yield of 12.5%. So, when interest rates went up, the <i>price <\/i>of your bond went down.<\/p>\n<p>Say you didn\u2019t sell your bond then and now, two more years down the road are thinking of selling it. However, now things have changed again and the current interest rate for similar bonds is 8%. You will have no shortage of buyers now because 10% is very attractive if the market rate is 8%. The market price of your bond is more than the par value you paid for it to give a yield of 8%. So, as interest rates went down, the <i>price <\/i>of your bond went up.<\/p>\n<h3>Interest Yield<\/h3>\n<p>In the above examples, we have calculated what is known as <i>Interest Yield. <\/i>Quite simply, it is the interest amount (coupon)\/price of the bond. <i>Interest yield<\/i> is also known as <i>simple<\/i>, <i>flat<\/i>, <i>running<\/i> and <i>annual<\/i> yield. This is a good metric but not very useful.<\/p>\n<h3>Gross Redemption Yield<\/h3>\n<p>Unfortunately, in our above examples and calculations, we omitted one crucial factor \u2013 <i>redemption.<\/i> In the first example above, when the current market interest rate is 12.5%, an investor can do one of these two things \u2013<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Buy the new government bond at 12.5% buy paying $100 par value \u2013 interest yield 12.5%<\/li>\n<li>Buy the existing 10% bond for $80 price \u2013 interest yield 12.5%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>What we forgot, is that when the bond is <i>redeemed <\/i>at the end of 10 years, the government will pay $100 back. In case 1 above, there is no capital gain as the initial investment is also $100. In case 2, there is a capital gain of $20. This means we need a more comprehensive calculation that not only includes the interest yield but also the capital gain or loss at <i>redemption<\/i>. This is the <i>Gross Redemption Yield<\/i> or <i>Yield to Maturity.<\/i> The formula to calculate this is quite complication so we won\u2019t go into that here. We are taking the future stream of revenue \u2013 interest and redemption \u2013 and calculating the yield that would equate this value to the bond\u2019s current price. Alternatively, we could start with a desired yield and calculate the price of the bond that would achieve that yield. This is how bond dealers calculate the price of bonds which is why yield is so important.<\/p>\n<h3>Credit Ratings<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/commons.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/File:Capitalmarketinefficiency.PNG\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"zemanta-img-inserted zemanta-img-configured alignright\" title=\"English: illustrates how a risk premium reduce...\" alt=\"English: illustrates how a risk premium reduce...\" src=\"http:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/2\/22\/Capitalmarketinefficiency.PNG\/300px-Capitalmarketinefficiency.PNG\" width=\"180\" height=\"142\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We said the lower the amount of <i>risk <\/i>associated with a borrower, the lower her rate of interest will be. This is said to reflect the <i>creditworthiness<\/i> of the borrower, meaning she is unlikely to default. Some markets (for instance, the US) want the <i>creditworthiness<\/i> of the borrower to be officially assigned a <i>credit rating<\/i> that will help guide investors in their decisions. There are several companies in the ratings business with the most important being \u2013 Standard &amp; Poor\u2019s and Moody\u2019s. The S&amp;P Ratings go from AAA to D. A bond rated \u2018D\u2019 is either already in default of is expected to default soon. \u00a0Bonds above BBB rating are of top quality \u2013 <i>investment grade. <\/i>Bond below BB rating are called <i>junk bonds.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Stay tuned for more&#8230;<\/p>\n<h6 class=\"zemanta-related-title\" style=\"font-size: 1em\">Related articles<\/h6>\n<ul class=\"zemanta-article-ul zemanta-article-ul-image\" style=\"margin: 0;padding: 0;overflow: hidden\">\n<li class=\"zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li\" style=\"padding: 0;background: none;float: left;vertical-align: top;text-align: left;width: 84px;font-size: 11px;margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px\"><a style=\"padding: 2px;text-decoration: none\" href=\"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2013\/04\/13\/introduction-to-financial-markets\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;border: 0;width: 80px\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/i.zemanta.com\/159812458_80_80.jpg\" \/><\/a><a style=\"overflow: hidden;text-decoration: none;line-height: 12pt;height: 80px;padding: 5px 2px 0 2px\" href=\"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2013\/04\/13\/introduction-to-financial-markets\/\" target=\"_blank\">Introduction to Financial Markets<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li\" style=\"padding: 0;background: none;float: left;vertical-align: top;text-align: left;width: 84px;font-size: 11px;margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px\"><a style=\"padding: 2px;text-decoration: none\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/gundlach-bond-bears-absolutely-wrong-2013-5\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;border: 0;width: 80px\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/i.zemanta.com\/165619835_80_80.jpg\" \/><\/a><a style=\"overflow: hidden;text-decoration: none;line-height: 12pt;height: 80px;padding: 5px 2px 0 2px\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/gundlach-bond-bears-absolutely-wrong-2013-5\" target=\"_blank\">GUNDLACH: Anyone Who Says Interest Rates Will Rise Soon Is &#8216;Absolutely Wrong&#8217;<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li\" style=\"padding: 0;background: none;float: left;vertical-align: top;text-align: left;width: 84px;font-size: 11px;margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px\"><a style=\"padding: 2px;text-decoration: none\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/moneybeat\/2013\/04\/24\/rwanda-meet-the-wall-of-money\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;border: 0;width: 80px\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/i.zemanta.com\/162813591_80_80.jpg\" \/><\/a><a style=\"overflow: hidden;text-decoration: none;line-height: 12pt;height: 80px;padding: 5px 2px 0 2px\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/moneybeat\/2013\/04\/24\/rwanda-meet-the-wall-of-money\/\" target=\"_blank\">Rwanda, Meet the Wall of Money<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li\" style=\"padding: 0;background: none;float: left;vertical-align: top;text-align: left;width: 84px;font-size: 11px;margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px\"><a style=\"padding: 2px;text-decoration: none\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/fed-may-engineer-bond-market-sell-off-2013-4\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;border: 0;width: 80px\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/i.zemanta.com\/163597752_80_80.jpg\" \/><\/a><a style=\"overflow: hidden;text-decoration: none;line-height: 12pt;height: 80px;padding: 5px 2px 0 2px\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/fed-may-engineer-bond-market-sell-off-2013-4\" target=\"_blank\">The Fed May Decide To Engineer A Major Sell-Off In The Bond Market When It Exits<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"zemanta-article-ul-li-image zemanta-article-ul-li\" style=\"padding: 0;background: none;float: left;vertical-align: top;text-align: left;width: 84px;font-size: 11px;margin: 2px 10px 10px 2px\"><a style=\"padding: 2px;text-decoration: none\" href=\"http:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/2013\/05\/03\/bangladesh-bonds-idUKL3N0DK1NZ20130503?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=rbssFinancialServicesAndRealEstateNews\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;border: 0;width: 80px\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/i.zemanta.com\/noimg_52_80_80.jpg\" \/><\/a><a style=\"overflow: hidden;text-decoration: none;line-height: 12pt;height: 80px;padding: 5px 2px 0 2px\" href=\"http:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/2013\/05\/03\/bangladesh-bonds-idUKL3N0DK1NZ20130503?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=rbssFinancialServicesAndRealEstateNews\" target=\"_blank\">Bangladesh confirms dollar bond plan<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"zemanta-pixie\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;height: 15px\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"zemanta-pixie-img\" style=\"border: none;float: right\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/img.zemanta.com\/pixy.gif?x-id=eb51c17c-bddc-4962-bd0b-2bc037f83890\" \/><\/div>\n<p>[stockquote]SHALPAINTS[\/stockquote] <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the next couple of weeks, we\u2019ll explore the money markets and bond markets. There\u2019s a lot to cover in this topic! Let\u2019s start with some terms and concepts used in the fixed income space. Reference for this post is \u2018An Introduction to Global Financial Markets\u2019 by Stephen Valdez. The Rate of Interest So far, &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":886931,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[1591],"class_list":["post-886861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-your-money","tag-introduction","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/886861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=886861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/886861\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/886931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=886861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=886861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=886861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}