{"id":7324,"date":"2011-08-03T12:33:11","date_gmt":"2011-08-03T07:03:11","guid":{"rendered":"index.php\/?p=7324"},"modified":"2011-08-03T12:33:11","modified_gmt":"2011-08-03T07:03:11","slug":"morgan-stanley-india-heading-for-the-worst-growth-since-the-credit-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2011\/08\/03\/morgan-stanley-india-heading-for-the-worst-growth-since-the-credit-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley: India &#8211; Heading for the Worst Growth Since the Credit Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Following the credit crisis, India, like many other developed and emerging economies, resorted to fiscal and monetary stimulus to push growth back to its pre-crisis trend immediately.<\/p>\n<p>This easy approach of loose fiscal and monetary policy did boost growth strongly &#8211; but the low productivity dynamic accompanying it meant that the country faced challenges of inflation, the current account deficit and tight inter-bank liquidity.<\/p>\n<p>Investment spending: We do not have good real-time indicators for investment trends, but it appears that investment spending is also beginning to slow, based on the quarterly results of a select few engineering and construction companies for the quarter ending June 2011, and the steel production trend.<\/p>\n<p>Government spending: While state government spending data are not available, the monthly central government spending data indicate that government spending has declined on a year-on-year basis in May and June 2011.<\/p>\n<p>Auctioning of coal blocks: The government has been working on an amendment to the Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Act to allow allocation of coal mining rights on a competitive-bidding basis.<\/p>\n<p>Land acquisition bill: Land acquisition has emerged as a prominent political issue, with farmers complaining about poor compensation and the loss of livelihood subsequent to the land acquisition.<\/p>\n<p>We expect the sum of food, fertilizer and fuel subsidies to be 2.1% of GDP in F2012, up from 1.8% in F2008 (including off-budget expenditure).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.morganstanley.com\/views\/gef\/index.html#anchora7c269d4-bcea-11e0-ad7a-d1beffe6e25d\">Morgan Stanley &#8211; Global Economic Forum<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Following the credit crisis, India, like many other developed and emerging economies, resorted to fiscal and monetary stimulus to push growth back to its pre-crisis trend immediately. This easy approach of loose fiscal and monetary policy did boost growth strongly &#8211; but the low productivity dynamic accompanying it meant that the country faced challenges of &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[47],"class_list":["post-7324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-your-money","tag-morgan-stanley","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7324"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7324\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}