{"id":590581,"date":"2020-06-28T06:30:22","date_gmt":"2020-06-28T06:30:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2020\/06\/28\/static-vs-tactical-allocation\/"},"modified":"2021-09-14T10:13:49","modified_gmt":"2021-09-14T04:43:49","slug":"static-vs-tactical-allocation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2020\/06\/28\/static-vs-tactical-allocation\/","title":{"rendered":"Static vs. Tactical Allocation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What makes sense and for whom.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Our <a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/2020\/06\/09\/mitigating-sequence-risk-through-asset-allocation\/\">first post<\/a> discussed one of the biggest risk that investors face: sequence-of-returns risk. One way to mitigate this is through asset allocation. You can just put half your investments in equities and half in bonds to reduce your over-all risk. An alternative is <a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/2020\/06\/22\/tactical-allocation-an-introduction-part-ii\/\">tactical allocation<\/a>. In tactical allocation, you use a signal, like an SMA (Simple Moving Average) or equity valuations to switch between equities and bonds. Here, at any given point in time, you are fully invested in one asset class.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, which one is \u201cbetter?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The answer is, \u201cit depends!\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It depends on the investor\u2019s tax slab and whether it is going to be a lump-sum investment or a SIP. For lump-sums, investors are better off with a tactical approach (bonus if you are in a lower tax slab.) For SIP investors, static allocation makes more sense because you can maintain proportions without selling the over-allocated asset. And, surprisingly, the frequency of re-balance did not matter for static allocation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Re-balance Frequency for Static Allocation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Our back-test shows that there is <em>no difference to overall returns between monthly and annual re-balance frequencies<\/em>. Focus on the black line on the following charts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Monthly re-balance:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg15.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg1.png\" width=\"1400\" height=\"800\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg1.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1400,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:27609,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null}\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg15.png\" rel=\"noopener\">\n<style><![CDATA[\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-800-1400 {\n            padding-bottom: 57.14285714285714%;\n            padding-bottom: min(57.14285714285714%, 800px);\n            width: 100%;\n            height: 0;\n          }\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-800-1400 img {\n            max-width: 1400px;\n            max-height: 800px;\n          }\n        ]]><\/style>\n<\/a><p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg15.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Annual re-balance:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg16.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg4.png\" width=\"1400\" height=\"800\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg4.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1400,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:23782,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null}\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg16.png\" rel=\"noopener\">\n<style><![CDATA[\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-800-1400 {\n            padding-bottom: 57.14285714285714%;\n            padding-bottom: min(57.14285714285714%, 800px);\n            width: 100%;\n            height: 0;\n          }\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-800-1400 img {\n            max-width: 1400px;\n            max-height: 800px;\n          }\n        ]]><\/style>\n<\/a><p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg16.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Static vs. Tactical &#8211; Rolling 10-year Returns<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Static allocation returns have been converging with those of the tactical strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-728-1456\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg17.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg7.png\" width=\"1456\" height=\"728\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg7.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:728,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:67179,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null}\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-728-1456\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg17.png\" rel=\"noopener\">\n<style><![CDATA[\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-728-1456 {\n            padding-bottom: 50%;\n            padding-bottom: min(50%, 728px);\n            width: 100%;\n            height: 0;\n          }\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-728-1456 img {\n            max-width: 1456px;\n            max-height: 728px;\n          }\n        ]]><\/style>\n<\/a><p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-728-1456\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg17.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<p><code>Green: static 50\/50 allocation, monthly re-balance<\/code><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><code>Red dot: static 50\/50 allocation, annual re-balance<\/code><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><code>Brown: 50-day SMA, weekly sampling<\/code><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The above chart reinforces a couple of points we made earlier:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><p>Sequence-of-returns risk is real. <\/p><\/li><li><p>Large impact of when you start and stop your investments (\u201cluck\u201d factor,) is real.<\/p><\/li><li><p>Excess returns in a back-test could be because of high transaction costs or lack of liquidity. In such cases, expect excess returns to diminish as those factors improve.<\/p><\/li><li><p>Barring a couple of instances, annually re-balanced returns were within the range of those that were re-balanced monthly.<\/p><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tax impact<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If you do a worst-case tax impact analysis on both static vs tactical (SMA) strategies, over the long-arch of time, tactical wins. In the chart below, static allocation is the ALLOC.NET-ST (green) line and tactical is the  SMA.NET-ST (red) line. <\/p>\n\n\n<p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg18.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg10.png\" width=\"1400\" height=\"800\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg10.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1400,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:23231,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null}\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg18.png\" rel=\"noopener\">\n<style><![CDATA[\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-800-1400 {\n            padding-bottom: 57.14285714285714%;\n            padding-bottom: min(57.14285714285714%, 800px);\n            width: 100%;\n            height: 0;\n          }\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-800-1400 img {\n            max-width: 1400px;\n            max-height: 800px;\n          }\n        ]]><\/style>\n<\/a><p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-800-1400\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg18.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<p>However, if you are a SIP investor, then you don\u2019t need to sell the over-allocated asset under a static-allocation setup &#8211; you could just buy the under-allocated one till it falls back in line. So, if you plot the after-tax returns of tactical allocation with pre-tax returns of static allocation by year:<\/p>\n\n\n<p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-728-1456\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg0.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg0.png\" width=\"1456\" height=\"728\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg0.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:728,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:64647,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null}\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-728-1456\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg0.png\" rel=\"noopener\">\n<style><![CDATA[\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-728-1456 {\n            padding-bottom: 50%;\n            padding-bottom: min(50%, 728px);\n            width: 100%;\n            height: 0;\n          }\n          a.image2.image-link.image2-728-1456 img {\n            max-width: 1456px;\n            max-height: 728px;\n          }\n        ]]><\/style>\n<\/a><p><a class=\"image-link image2 image2-728-1456\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/ffcdn\/ffimg0.png\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<p>Years 2011 through now, there is hardly any difference between them. They both turn in annualized gains in the low 7% range &#8211; adding about 1.25% over an all equity portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><p>For lump-sums, choose tactical. For SIP choose static allocation.<\/p><\/li><li><p>Don\u2019t ignore bonds. There are periods where a bulk of the returns are driven them.<\/p><\/li><li><p>Don\u2019t ignore the role of taxes in DIY. For example, a mutual fund that wraps the SMA strategy would enjoy a 2+ % boost in annualized returns.<\/p><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Static vs. Tactical Allocation: How to decide what is right for you?\" width=\"1020\" height=\"574\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/doO5iZ8myMw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What makes sense and for whom. Our first post discussed one of the biggest risk that investors face: sequence-of-returns risk. One way to mitigate this is through asset allocation. You can just put half your investments in equities and half in bonds to reduce your over-all risk. An alternative is tactical allocation. In tactical allocation, &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3471],"tags":[3913],"class_list":["post-590581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investing-insight","tag-allocation","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=590581"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590581\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=590581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=590581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=590581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}