{"id":40890303,"date":"2023-06-03T10:32:24","date_gmt":"2023-06-03T05:02:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=40890303"},"modified":"2023-06-03T10:32:35","modified_gmt":"2023-06-03T05:02:35","slug":"hedging-momos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2023\/06\/03\/hedging-momos\/","title":{"rendered":"Hedging Momos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2022\/11\/27\/trending-momentum\/\" target=\"_blank\">Previously<\/a>, we discussed how momentum itself trends and how that can be used to manage risk. Using simple moving averages showed promise when it came to some versions of our slow momentum models (see <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2022\/11\/28\/trending-momentum-models\/\" target=\"_blank\">Trending Momentum Models<\/a>). However, given the faster turnover of our Momos, it wasn&#8217;t a suitable approach (see <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2022\/12\/04\/trending-momo-models\/\" target=\"_blank\">Trending Momo Models<\/a>). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What if we shorted the NIFTY to hedge against market-risk instead?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.1A6C40B8-BDF1-43E5-829C-E3265BDB7F1A.cum_-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40890313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.1A6C40B8-BDF1-43E5-829C-E3265BDB7F1A.cum_-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.1A6C40B8-BDF1-43E5-829C-E3265BDB7F1A.cum_-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.1A6C40B8-BDF1-43E5-829C-E3265BDB7F1A.cum_-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.1A6C40B8-BDF1-43E5-829C-E3265BDB7F1A.cum_-250x143.png 250w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.1A6C40B8-BDF1-43E5-829C-E3265BDB7F1A.cum_.png 1400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.AFD0DFFF-2EA7-4E4D-BA50-D9CC0E4B5052.cum_-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40890323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.AFD0DFFF-2EA7-4E4D-BA50-D9CC0E4B5052.cum_-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.AFD0DFFF-2EA7-4E4D-BA50-D9CC0E4B5052.cum_-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.AFD0DFFF-2EA7-4E4D-BA50-D9CC0E4B5052.cum_-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.AFD0DFFF-2EA7-4E4D-BA50-D9CC0E4B5052.cum_-250x143.png 250w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.AFD0DFFF-2EA7-4E4D-BA50-D9CC0E4B5052.cum_.png 1400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.22849AAA-554B-4859-B06E-760B1902104B.cum_-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40890333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.22849AAA-554B-4859-B06E-760B1902104B.cum_-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.22849AAA-554B-4859-B06E-760B1902104B.cum_-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.22849AAA-554B-4859-B06E-760B1902104B.cum_-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.22849AAA-554B-4859-B06E-760B1902104B.cum_-250x143.png 250w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.22849AAA-554B-4859-B06E-760B1902104B.cum_.png 1400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The na\u00efve approach, tagged &#8220;HEDGE_FULL&#8221; above, shorts the NIFTY in proportion to the rolling beta of the strategy. Turns out, this is a very sub-optimal way to go about it. Hence &#8220;HEDGE_SMART&#8221;, that tries to minimize the basis risk inherent in this approach, adds about 3-4% to the strategy&#8217;s returns (likely eaten away by transaction costs &amp; taxes) and reduces the max-drawdown by a significant amount.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"493\" height=\"241\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.stats_.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40890343\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.stats_.png 493w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.stats_-300x147.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2023\/06\/simple.nifty_.stats_-250x122.png 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 493px) 100vw, 493px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The question is whether the benefit of lower drawdowns is worth the added cost and complexity? In the case of Velocity, it could be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/freefloat.substack.com\/p\/a-gentle-introduction-to-hedging\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A Gentle Introduction to Hedging<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/2020\/04\/02\/risk-management-is-not-free-part-iii-hedging\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Risk Management is Not Free, Part III: Hedging<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Previously, we discussed how momentum itself trends and how that can be used to manage risk. Using simple moving averages showed promise when it came to some versions of our slow momentum models (see Trending Momentum Models). However, given the faster turnover of our Momos, it wasn&#8217;t a suitable approach (see Trending Momo Models). What &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2106273,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3471],"tags":[3491,4033],"class_list":["post-40890303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing-insight","tag-momentum","tag-risk","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40890303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40890303"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40890303\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2106273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40890303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40890303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40890303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}