{"id":40882913,"date":"2021-10-21T18:04:17","date_gmt":"2021-10-21T12:34:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=40882913"},"modified":"2021-10-21T18:04:24","modified_gmt":"2021-10-21T12:34:24","slug":"spdr-sector-etf-anti-momentum-rotation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2021\/10\/21\/spdr-sector-etf-anti-momentum-rotation\/","title":{"rendered":"SPDR Sector ETF Anti-Momentum Rotation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2021\/10\/13\/spdr-sector-etf-momentum-rotation\/\" target=\"_blank\">Previously<\/a>, we saw how buying the best performing sector and holding it for a month didn&#8217;t quite pan out. What if, we bought the worst performing sector instead? The &#8220;Dogs of Sector Spiders,&#8221; if you will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rules of Rotation<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>For ETFs: XLY, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLU<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Calculate rolling returns over n months. Where n = 1, 3, 6, 12.<\/li><li>For the n+1<sup>th<\/sup> month, go long the ETF that had the lowest return in Step 1.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Like before, we split the dataset into <strong>Before 2010<\/strong> and <strong>After 2011<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pick your Fighter<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Before 2010<\/strong> dataset shows rotation by 3- and 6-month look-back periods to be better than buying-and-holding the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-61715c2a0d215-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40882923\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-61715c2a0d215-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-61715c2a0d215-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-61715c2a0d215-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-61715c2a0d215-250x143.png 250w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-61715c2a0d215.png 1400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"672\" height=\"34\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-sr-61715c97251aa.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40882933\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-sr-61715c97251aa.png 672w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-sr-61715c97251aa-300x15.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-training-sr-61715c97251aa-250x13.png 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 672px) 100vw, 672px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The 6-month look-back rotation strategy \u2013 MOM6 \u2013 would&#8217;ve been the strategy to bet on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The SPY Rope-a-Dope<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSure-things\u201d don\u2019t exist in finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-61715d384e94f-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40882943\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-61715d384e94f-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-61715d384e94f-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-61715d384e94f-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-61715d384e94f-250x143.png 250w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-61715d384e94f.png 1400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>MOM6 spent the last decade getting absolutely decimated by the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"661\" height=\"35\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-sr-61715da31c131.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40882953\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-sr-61715da31c131.png 661w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-sr-61715da31c131-300x16.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2021\/10\/spdr.momentum-test-sr-61715da31c131-250x13.png 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 661px) 100vw, 661px\" \/><figcaption>Once again, by simply holding onto the ropes, a passive buy-and-hold S&amp;P 500 investor would\u2019ve come out miles ahead of someone who employed this rotation strategy.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Previously, we saw how buying the best performing sector and holding it for a month didn&#8217;t quite pan out. What if, we bought the worst performing sector instead? The &#8220;Dogs of Sector Spiders,&#8221; if you will. Rules of Rotation For ETFs: XLY, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLU Calculate rolling returns over n &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2106273,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3471],"tags":[31,3491,2761],"class_list":["post-40882913","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing-insight","tag-etf","tag-momentum","tag-quant","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40882913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40882913"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40882913\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2106273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40882913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40882913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40882913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}