{"id":2112963,"date":"2019-09-18T16:36:52","date_gmt":"2019-09-18T11:06:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=2112963"},"modified":"2019-09-18T20:59:52","modified_gmt":"2019-09-18T15:29:52","slug":"portfolio-churn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2019\/09\/18\/portfolio-churn\/","title":{"rendered":"Portfolio Churn"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>There is a famous scene in the &#8220;Wolf of Wall Street&#8221; where Matthew McConaughey (Mark Hanna) is explaining to Leonardo DiCaprio (Jordan Belfort) the concept of <em>fugazi<\/em>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>Mark Hanna:&nbsp;<\/strong>Number one rule of Wall Street. Nobody&#8230; and I don&#8217;t care if you&#8217;re Warren Buffet or if you&#8217;re Jimmy Buffet. Nobody knows if a stock is gonna go up, down, sideways or in f***ing circles. Least of all, stockbrokers, right? You know what a fugazi is?&#8221;<\/p><p><strong>Jordan Belfort:&nbsp;<\/strong>*Fugayzi*, it&#8217;s a fake.<\/p><p><strong>Mark Hanna:&nbsp;<\/strong>*Fugayzi*, fugazi. It&#8217;s a whazy. It&#8217;s a woozie. It&#8217;s fairy dust. it doesn&#8217;t exist. It&#8217;s never landed. It is no matter. It&#8217;s not on the elemental chart. It&#8217;s not f***ing real.<\/p><cite><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imdb.com\/title\/tt0993846\/characters\/nm0000190\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"IMDB (opens in a new tab)\">IMDB<\/a><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gross returns of a high turnover portfolio is just that &#8211; fugazi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Assume that there is an investment strategy that produces 12% in gross returns every year. Notionally, $1 should grow to $3.11 in 10 years. However, even if you assume brokerage charges are zero, demat charges don&#8217;t exist and there are no other taxes whatsoever, STT &#8211; Securities Transaction Tax &#8211; will take a slice of the portfolio at every churn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A x600 churn, where 25% of the portfolio is replaced every month, will leave you only $2.94 in 10 years. A x1200 churn, where 50% of the portfolio is replaced every month &#8211; not uncommon with most momentum strategies &#8211; will leave you with only $2.79.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2019\/09\/index-5d824d2f0b189-1024x512.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2113023\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2019\/09\/index-5d824d2f0b189-1024x512.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2019\/09\/index-5d824d2f0b189-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2019\/09\/index-5d824d2f0b189-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2019\/09\/index-5d824d2f0b189-250x125.png 250w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2019\/09\/index-5d824d2f0b189.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>12% notional returns<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>And STT is not the only tax that is paid on a direct-equity portfolio. Capital gains tax of 10-15% also apply. These taxes have a non-linear impact on a portfolio&#8217;s compounded returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investors should keep these in mind while comparing direct-equity portfolio returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, mutual fund NAVs are <em><strong>net<\/strong><\/em> returns. It is highly inappropriate to compare gross direct-equity returns with mutual fund NAVs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Code for this analysis can be found on <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"github (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/stockviz\/plutons\/blob\/master\/transaction-cost-analysis.ipynb\" target=\"_blank\">github<\/a>. You can play around with it on <a href=\"https:\/\/pluto.studio\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"pluto (opens in a new tab)\">pluto<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There is a famous scene in the &#8220;Wolf of Wall Street&#8221; where Matthew McConaughey (Mark Hanna) is explaining to Leonardo DiCaprio (Jordan Belfort) the concept of fugazi: Mark Hanna:&nbsp;Number one rule of Wall Street. Nobody&#8230; and I don&#8217;t care if you&#8217;re Warren Buffet or if you&#8217;re Jimmy Buffet. Nobody knows if a stock is gonna &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2089693,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3471],"tags":[960],"class_list":["post-2112963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing-insight","tag-returns","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2112963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2112963"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2112963\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2089693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2112963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2112963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2112963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}