{"id":2029041,"date":"2015-07-10T13:25:38","date_gmt":"2015-07-10T07:55:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=2029041"},"modified":"2015-07-10T13:25:38","modified_gmt":"2015-07-10T07:55:38","slug":"banknifty-butterflies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2015\/07\/10\/banknifty-butterflies\/","title":{"rendered":"BANKNIFTY Butterflies"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Introduction<\/h3>\n<p>So far, we have focused on the NIFTY for selling butterflies (Part <a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2015\/07\/09\/butterfly-option-strategy-introduction\/\" target=\"_blank\">I<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2015\/07\/09\/selling-nifty-butterflies\/\" target=\"_blank\">II<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2015\/07\/10\/a-simple-nifty-short-call-butterfly-back-test\/\" target=\"_blank\">III<\/a>.) How would this look on the BANKNIFTY? <\/p>\n<h3>CNX BANK Index Returns<\/h3>\n<p>First, let&#8217;s have a look at the 30-day rolling returns of the CNX BANK Index, from 2010 to the present, the whole population:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015.png\" alt=\"day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2029061\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015-400x300.png 400w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2010-2015-900x675.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><i>Median: 1.79%<\/i><\/small><\/p>\n<p>2014-present:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015.png\" alt=\"day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2029051\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015-400x300.png 400w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2014-2015-900x675.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><i>Median: 2.21%<\/i><\/small><\/p>\n<p>Beginning of 2015-present:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015.png\" alt=\"day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2029071\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015-400x300.png 400w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/day-30-rolling.BANKNIFTY.2015-2015-900x675.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><i>Median: flat<\/i><\/small><\/p>\n<p>Currently, the index is around 18700. That means a 100-point move translates to 100\/18700 ~0.5%<\/p>\n<h3>Expiry-to-Expiry Back-test<\/h3>\n<p>If we do the same <a href=\"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2015\/07\/10\/a-simple-nifty-short-call-butterfly-back-test\/\" target=\"_blank\">back-test we did to the NIFTY<\/a>, this is what we find:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY.png\" alt=\"butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY\" width=\"2200\" height=\"700\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2029081\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY.png 2200w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY-300x95.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY-1024x326.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY-500x159.png 500w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/07\/butterfly.returns.BANKNIFTY-900x286.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p>As with the NIFTY, the trade makes money if you know how to cut your losses. However, when the trade is live, how do we know what the future volatility of the underlying is going to look like? Without risk-management, a short-call butterfly strategy will encounter out-sized losses that wipe out all prior incremental gains.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction So far, we have focused on the NIFTY for selling butterflies (Part I, II, III.) How would this look on the BANKNIFTY? CNX BANK Index Returns First, let&#8217;s have a look at the 30-day rolling returns of the CNX BANK Index, from 2010 to the present, the whole population: Median: 1.79% 2014-present: Median: 2.21% &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3471,9],"tags":[3411,3561,1200],"class_list":["post-2029041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investing-insight","category-your-money","tag-banknifty","tag-butterfly","tag-options","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2029041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2029041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2029041\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2029041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2029041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2029041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}