{"id":2021691,"date":"2015-05-02T13:09:35","date_gmt":"2015-05-02T07:39:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=2021691"},"modified":"2015-05-02T13:09:35","modified_gmt":"2015-05-02T07:39:35","slug":"is-there-a-correlation-between-usdinr-and-tech-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2015\/05\/02\/is-there-a-correlation-between-usdinr-and-tech-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Is there a correlation between USDINR and Tech stocks?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>tl;dr<\/h3>\n<p>No.<\/p>\n<h3>The Myth<\/h3>\n<p>Regular viewers of CNBC might have heard the refrain that &#8220;IT stocks went up because the rupee went down.&#8221; But it turns out that it is the classic case of the journalist\/reporter\/anchor going in search of a reason to explain a random market event. If there is such a correlation, then a scatter plot of USDINR returns vs. CNX IT index returns should unearth it.<\/p>\n<h3>Scatter Plots of Returns<\/h3>\n<p>Weekly:<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly.png\" alt=\"CNX IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2021701\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly.png 1200w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.weekly-900x600.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Daily:<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.daily_.png\" alt=\"CNX IT.USDINR.scatter.daily\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2021711\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.daily_.png 1200w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.daily_-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.daily_-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.daily_-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.scatter.daily_-900x600.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, there is no obvious link between USDINR and technology stocks. But what if the effect manifests after a lag?<\/p>\n<h3>Cross-Correlation Plots of Returns with Lag<\/h3>\n<p>Weekly:<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.weekly1.png\" alt=\"CNX IT.USDINR.ccf.weekly\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2021761\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.weekly1.png 1200w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.weekly1-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.weekly1-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.weekly1-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.weekly1-900x600.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Daily:<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.daily_1.png\" alt=\"CNX IT.USDINR.ccf.daily\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2021771\" srcset=\"https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.daily_1.png 1200w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.daily_1-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.daily_1-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.daily_1-450x300.png 450w, https:\/\/portalvhds29z8xdrqhczq.blob.core.windows.net\/wordpress\/2015\/05\/CNX-IT.USDINR.ccf_.daily_1-900x600.png 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p>Currency moves alone cannot be your go-to explanation for fluctuations in tech stocks. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>tl;dr No. The Myth Regular viewers of CNBC might have heard the refrain that &#8220;IT stocks went up because the rupee went down.&#8221; But it turns out that it is the classic case of the journalist\/reporter\/anchor going in search of a reason to explain a random market event. If there is such a correlation, then &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3471,9],"tags":[3531,2761],"class_list":["post-2021691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investing-insight","category-your-money","tag-myth","tag-quant","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2021691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2021691"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2021691\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2021691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2021691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2021691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}