{"id":2002831,"date":"2014-09-06T10:56:47","date_gmt":"2014-09-06T05:26:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=2002831"},"modified":"2014-09-06T10:56:47","modified_gmt":"2014-09-06T05:26:47","slug":"weekly-recap-one-big-bet-buy-hold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2014\/09\/06\/weekly-recap-one-big-bet-buy-hold\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Recap: The One Big Bet of buy-and-hold"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"world.2014-08-28.2014-09-05\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Equities<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Major<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
DAX(DEU)<\/a><\/td>\n+3.01%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CAC(FRA)<\/a><\/td>\n+2.76%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
UKX(GBR)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.72%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NKY(JPN)<\/a><\/td>\n+1.35%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SPX(USA)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.49%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
MINTs<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
JCI(IDN)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.63%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
INMEX(MEX)<\/a><\/td>\n+1.14%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NGSEINDX(NGA)<\/a><\/td>\n-0.48%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
XU030(TUR)<\/a><\/td>\n+1.71%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
BRICS<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
IBOV(BRA)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.31%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SHCOMP(CHN)<\/a><\/td>\n+5.95%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NIFTY(IND)<\/a><\/td>\n+1.67%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
INDEXCF(RUS)<\/a><\/td>\n+3.67%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TOP40(ZAF)<\/a><\/td>\n+1.20%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n

Commodities<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Energy<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Brent Crude Oil<\/td>\n-1.73%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ethanol<\/td>\n-8.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Heating Oil<\/td>\n-0.90%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Natural Gas<\/td>\n-5.58%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RBOB Gasoline<\/td>\n-6.24%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WTI Crude Oil<\/td>\n-1.13%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Metals<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Copper<\/td>\n+0.96%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Gold 100oz<\/td>\n-1.59%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Palladium<\/td>\n-0.87%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Platinum<\/td>\n-1.15%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Silver 5000oz<\/td>\n-2.05%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n

Currencies<\/h3>\n

USDEUR<\/a>:+1.81% <\/span> USDJPY<\/a>:+1.33% <\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
MINTs<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
USDIDR(IDN)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDMXN(MEX)<\/a><\/td>\n-0.35%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDNGN(NGA)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.12%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDTRY(TUR)<\/a><\/td>\n-0.17%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
BRICS<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
USDBRL(BRA)<\/a><\/td>\n-0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDCNY(CHN)<\/a><\/td>\n-0.04%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDINR(IND)<\/a><\/td>\n-0.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDRUB(RUS)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.87%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USDZAR(ZAF)<\/a><\/td>\n+0.59%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Agricultural<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Cattle<\/td>\n+3.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cocoa<\/td>\n-3.62%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Coffee (Arabica)<\/td>\n+1.24%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Coffee (Robusta)<\/td>\n+1.28%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Corn<\/td>\n-4.01%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cotton<\/td>\n-1.55%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Feeder Cattle<\/td>\n+3.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lean Hogs<\/td>\n+10.34%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lumber<\/td>\n-0.83%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Orange Juice<\/td>\n-0.73%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Soybean Meal<\/td>\n+1.53%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Soybeans<\/td>\n+0.98%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sugar #11<\/td>\n-3.65%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Wheat<\/td>\n-4.14%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White Sugar<\/td>\n-2.32%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Credit Indices<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Index<\/th>\nChange<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Markit CDX EM<\/td>\n-0.35%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit CDX NA HY<\/td>\n-0.23%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit CDX NA IG<\/td>\n+0.85%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit CDX NA IG HVOL<\/td>\n+0.36%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG<\/td>\n-4.93%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit iTraxx Australia<\/td>\n-1.97%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit iTraxx Europe<\/td>\n+0.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover<\/td>\n-0.53%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit iTraxx Japan<\/td>\n-3.44%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe<\/td>\n+0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS)<\/td>\n+0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS)<\/td>\n+0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
The energy complex took a major hit this week. While most investors were worried about inflation, it turns out that most central banks are barely winning the war against deflation. The ECB announced their version of Quantitative Easing, the missed employment numbers pushed rate hikes in the US farther out. And it looks like money continued to pour into equities.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Nifty Heatmap<\/h3>\n

\"CNX<\/a><\/p>\n

Index Returns<\/h3>\n

\"indexperformance.2014-08-28.2014-09-05\"<\/p>\n

Sector Performance<\/h3>\n

\"sector<\/a><\/p>\n

Advance Decline<\/h3>\n

\"advance.decline.line2.2014-08-28.2014-09-05\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Market Decile Performance<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Decile<\/th>\nMkt. Cap.<\/th>\nAdv\/Decl<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1 (micro)<\/td>\n+1.33%<\/span><\/td>\n67\/71<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n+4.14%<\/span><\/td>\n73\/64<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n+3.09%<\/span><\/td>\n75\/62<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n+4.68%<\/span><\/td>\n72\/65<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\n+4.56%<\/span><\/td>\n72\/64<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n+4.59%<\/span><\/td>\n79\/59<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\n+3.92%<\/span><\/td>\n77\/60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n+3.25%<\/span><\/td>\n70\/67<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n+3.46%<\/span><\/td>\n67\/70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10 (mega)<\/td>\n+2.07%<\/span><\/td>\n70\/68<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
Midcaps outperformed large caps after spending nearly a month in the doghouse…<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Top winners and losers<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
TATACHEM<\/a><\/td>\n+9.88%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CROMPGREAV<\/a><\/td>\n+11.91%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
UPL<\/a><\/td>\n+19.68%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BHEL<\/a><\/td>\n-7.51%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MCDOWELL-N<\/a><\/td>\n-4.79%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CONCOR<\/a><\/td>\n-4.41%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
Who put Tata Chemicals up there? And what’s up with UPL? FII’s can’t even buy the stock…<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

ETFs<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
JUNIORBEES<\/a><\/td>\n+2.89%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CPSEETF<\/a><\/td>\n+2.74%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
INFRABEES<\/a><\/td>\n+2.59%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NIFTYBEES<\/a><\/td>\n+1.37%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BANKBEES<\/a><\/td>\n+1.30%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PSUBNKBEES<\/a><\/td>\n+0.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GOLDBEES<\/a><\/td>\n-1.66%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
No love for gold… equities FTW!<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Yield Curve<\/h3>\n

\"yieldCurve.2014-08-28.2014-09-05\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Bond Indices<\/h3>\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Sub Index<\/th>\nChange in YTM<\/th>\nTotal Return(%)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
GSEC TB<\/td>\n+0.01<\/span><\/td>\n+0.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GSEC SUB 1-3<\/td>\n-0.10<\/span><\/td>\n-0.15%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GSEC SUB 3-8<\/td>\n+0.35<\/span><\/td>\n-1.15%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GSEC SUB 8<\/td>\n+0.23<\/span><\/td>\n-1.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n
Is the long-end reverting?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Nifty OI<\/h3>\n

\"nifty.puts.calls.SEP.2014-09-04.2014-09-05\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Bank Nifty OI<\/h3>\n

\"bank-nifty.puts.calls.SEP.2014-09-04.2014-09-05\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Thought for the weekend<\/h3>\n

Most investment policies today are Big Bets on world peace. The history of the 20th Century has shown that previously dominant empires can fall. In 1899, which was 15 years before the start of World War I, the Major Powers were:<\/p>\n