{"id":1998481,"date":"2014-07-31T11:28:48","date_gmt":"2014-07-31T05:58:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/?p=1998481"},"modified":"2014-09-09T11:56:52","modified_gmt":"2014-09-09T06:26:52","slug":"60-time-works-everytime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stockviz.biz\/index.php\/2014\/07\/31\/60-time-works-everytime\/","title":{"rendered":"60% of the time, it works everytime"},"content":{"rendered":"

When I was in high school, we were taught about “truth tables<\/a>.” It is a mathematical table used in logic to tell whether a propositional expression is true for all legitimate input values. Watching pundits speak on TV is makes you wonder how they could ever have passed high school algebra. <\/p>\n

The Can’t Lose Argument<\/h3>\n

Beware those who are never wrong. The “Can’t Lose Argument” goes something like this: A data point will be mentioned, and no matter what the net change in that data — up, down or neutral — it is somehow bad for markets. <\/p>\n

Link: If You Can’t Lose,You’re a Loser<\/a><\/p>\n

There is always a divergence<\/h3>\n

Sometimes they matter, sometimes they don\u2019t. Sometimes one key divergence that was extremely important ends up meaning exactly zero the next time around. A single divergence, in and of itself, has all of the reliable predictive power of a bowl of chicken bones spilled out across the table.<\/p>\n

Link: There’s ALWAYS a divergence<\/a><\/p>\n

Macro-tainment<\/h3>\n

It\u2019s crucial to recognize that macroeconomics is something that even the world\u2019s smartest economists still don\u2019t understand very well, and that political ideology and economic reality don\u2019t mix.<\/p>\n

Link: When Entertainment Passes for Investment Advice<\/a><\/p>\n

Related:<\/strong> Musings on stock-market forecasts<\/a><\/p>\n

Enjoy this video:<\/p>\n