Options Daily 17.06.2019

NIFTY Summary:

  1. Jun 11900 calls added 1,67,025 contracts.
  2. Jun 12300 calls shed 1,03,950.
  3. Jun 11400 puts added 94,725.
  4. Jun 11800 puts shed 1,17,450.

Our trend model indicates a SHORT on the NIFTY and SHORT on the BANKNIFTY.

Avg. True Range

NIFTY.50 NIFTY.BANK
3 115.27 464.88
5 124.42 488.22
10 141.14 523.00
20 156.35 546.21

NIFTY 50 NIFTY BANK
TrueRange 116.35 523.70
TrueHigh 11914.05 31032.65
TrueLow 11797.70 30508.95
Avg. True Range

NIFTY.50 NIFTY.BANK
3 115.27 464.88
5 124.42 488.22
10 141.14 523.00
20 156.35 546.21

NIFTY 50 NIFTY BANK
TrueRange 116.35 523.70
TrueHigh 11914.05 31032.65
TrueLow 11797.70 30508.95
Avg. True Range

NIFTY.50 NIFTY.BANK
3 115.27 464.88
5 124.42 488.22
10 141.14 523.00
20 156.35 546.21

NIFTY 50 NIFTY BANK
TrueRange 116.35 523.70
TrueHigh 11914.05 31032.65
TrueLow 11797.70 30508.95

Nifty 50 Returns Density Plot

NIFTY 50 kernel density plot

JUN NIFTY OI

JUN NIFTY OI chart

JUN BANKNIFTY OI

JUN BANKNIFTY OI chart

NIFTY Weighted Avg. Open Interest

NIFTY Weighted Avg. Open Interest chart

JUN NIFTY Volatility

JUN NIFTY Volatility chart

JUN BANKNIFTY Volatility

JUN BANKNIFTY Volatility chart
Dotted lines indicated actual underlying volatility. Solid lines are IVs.

VIX Density Plot

VIX kernel density plot

5-day forecast based on ARMA(0,0)+GARCH(1,1) model:

VIX 12.84 12.84 12.84 12.84 12.84
σ 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.07

Marketwide OI

Securities under ban today: IDBI, PCJEWELLER, RELCAPITAL, RELINFRA.

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