Options Daily 18.05.2018

NIFTY Summary:

  1. May 10700 calls added 9,33,750 contracts.
  2. May 11000 calls shed 3,86,550.
  3. May 10300 puts added 2,61,000.
  4. May 10800 puts shed 2,22,975.

Our trend model indicates a SHORT on the NIFTY and SHORT on the BANKNIFTY.

Avg. True Range

NIFTY.50 NIFTY.BANK
3 105.17 332.44
5 98.80 317.17
10 90.83 298.97
20 84.60 291.83

NIFTY 50 NIFTY BANK
TrueRange 112.75 271.55
TrueHigh 10777.25 26283.55
TrueLow 10664.50 26012.00

Nifty 50 Returns Density Plot

NIFTY 50 kernel density plot

MAY NIFTY OI

MAY NIFTY OI chart

MAY BANKNIFTY OI

MAY BANKNIFTY OI chart

NIFTY Weighted Avg. Open Interest

NIFTY Weighted Avg. Open Interest chart

MAY NIFTY Volatility

MAY NIFTY Volatility chart

MAY BANKNIFTY Volatility

MAY BANKNIFTY Volatility chart
Dotted lines indicated actual underlying volatility. Solid lines are IVs.

VIX Density Plot

VIX kernel density plot

5-day forecast based on ARMA(1,2)+GARCH(1,1) model:

VIX 13.47 13.54 13.60 13.65 13.71
σ 0.60 0.63 0.65 0.67 0.69

Marketwide OI

Securities under ban today: DHFL, JETAIRWAYS, JPASSOCIAT, JUSTDIAL, PCJEWELLER, WOCKPHARMA.
market wide position limit chart

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