Weekly Recap: Luck

world.2015-03-13.2015-03-20

Equities

Major
DAX(DEU) +1.16%
CAC(FRA) +1.54%
UKX(GBR) +4.18%
NKY(JPN) +1.59%
SPX(USA) +3.09%
MINTs
JCI(IDN) +0.31%
INMEX(MEX) -0.34%
NGSEINDX(NGA) -4.51%
XU030(TUR) +8.13%
BRICS
IBOV(BRA) +7.21%
SHCOMP(CHN) +7.25%
NIFTY(IND) -0.89%
INDEXCF(RUS) +0.05%
TOP40(ZAF) +1.57%

Commodities

Energy
RBOB Gasoline +1.30%
Brent Crude Oil +0.34%
Ethanol +2.84%
Natural Gas +1.79%
Heating Oil +0.14%
WTI Crude Oil +3.02%
Metals
Copper +3.36%
Gold 100oz +2.84%
Silver 5000oz +7.74%
Platinum +1.95%
Palladium -2.08%

Currencies

USDEUR:-3.13% USDJPY:-1.03%

MINTs
USDIDR(IDN) -0.61%
USDMXN(MEX) -2.95%
USDNGN(NGA) +0.10%
USDTRY(TUR) -2.27%
BRICS
USDBRL(BRA) -0.74%
USDCNY(CHN) -0.87%
USDINR(IND) -0.79%
USDRUB(RUS) -4.89%
USDZAR(ZAF) -3.59%
Agricultural
Cocoa -2.31%
Feeder Cattle +1.07%
Lumber +3.09%
Wheat +4.38%
Soybean Meal -4.06%
White Sugar +1.27%
Cattle +2.99%
Corn +2.53%
Orange Juice +0.61%
Coffee (Arabica) +10.90%
Coffee (Robusta) +8.70%
Cotton +3.23%
Lean Hogs -5.21%
Soybeans -0.15%
Sugar #11 -0.55%

Credit Indices

Index Change
Markit CDX EM +0.29%
Markit CDX NA HY +0.29%
Markit CDX NA IG -1.59%
Markit iTraxx Asia ex-Japan IG -0.24%
Markit iTraxx Australia +0.39%
Markit iTraxx Europe +2.11%
Markit iTraxx Europe Crossover +12.07%
Markit iTraxx Japan -2.77%
Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe +1.53%
Markit LCDX (Loan CDS) -0.04%
Markit MCDX (Municipal CDS) -1.14%
The US Dollar got beat up on Fed’s re-assurance to the markets that it is in no hurry to raise rates. Precious metals rallied and oil caught a break. Most equity markets ended in the green except for India.

Index Returns

index performance.2015-03-13.2015-03-20

Market Cap Decile Performance

Decile Mkt. Cap. Adv/Decl
1 (micro) -5.00% 56/77
2 -4.91% 59/74
3 -4.09% 56/77
4 -2.81% 58/74
5 -4.43% 62/71
6 -3.76% 60/73
7 -3.01% 59/73
8 -1.63% 60/73
9 -0.96% 70/63
10 (mega) -1.39% 67/66
Mid- and small-cap stocks took it on the chin this week on the sudden realization that the (earnings) emperor has no clothes.

Top Winners and Losers

M&MFIN +3.04%
YESBANK +3.57%
GSKCONS +3.61%
JINDALSTEL -11.67%
RCOM -9.93%
BAJAJFINSV -8.07%
Is RCOM equity headed towards its intrinsic value of zero?

ETF Performance

JUNIORBEES -0.31%
GOLDBEES -0.44%
NIFTYBEES -0.57%
CPSEETF -0.66%
BANKBEES -0.83%
PSUBNKBEES -1.33%
INFRABEES -3.27%
No ETF in the green zone this week. In spite of the volatility, BANKBEES kept its losses less than a point.

Yield Curve

yield Curve.2015-03-13.2015-03-20

Bond Indices

Sub Index Change in YTM Total Return(%)
GSEC TB -0.14 +0.19%
GSEC SUB 1-3 -0.09 +0.47%
GSEC SUB 3-8 -0.19 +1.12%
GSEC SUB 8 -0.13 +1.32%
The long-end recovered a bid from last week’s tumble…

Investment Theme Performance

Equity Mutual Funds

Bond Mutual Funds

Thought to sum up the week

“Lucky” people are adept at creating and noticing chance opportunities (such as meeting an important businessman at a café), listen to their intuition, have positive expectations that create self-fulfilling prophesies, and have a relaxed and resilient attitude about life’s trials. Poor unlucky souls are more tense and anxious than lucky ones.

Source: How luck works

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